2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHRC or Bernie, a quick show of hands...and O'Malley too
Last edited Thu Nov 12, 2015, 10:48 AM - Edit history (2)
I keep reading that "more people prefer HRC and that's just how it is." Maybe we can put it to the test here and have supporters check in on this thread so we can do a head count. It's not a national cross section, I'm aware. But it will give us an idea of how many supporters of each candidate there are on this site and will hopefully shed some light on all the intense bickering going on. So, if everyone would please respond with a simple Hillary or Bernie and nothing else that would be great. Also, just respond once so we can get a decent headcount.
thanks,
Brian
And if you can, try to just post Hillary or Bernie and stay away from commentary to keep this civil. Thanks
On Edit: The reason I didn't mention O'Malley in this was because he doesn't appear to be the target of any of the vitriol that goes back and forth on this site. You're more than welcome to put his name there if you are an O'Malley supporter. I truly wasn't trying to exclude you.
Thanks to all the Hillary supporters that checked in too. I appreciate it.
To all the Bernie supporters here on DU; When you feel like you're being ganged up on in some threads, just go back to this thread and realize how many Bernie supporters there are on this site and take comfort. Also, stay away from using words like "Hill-bots" and so on. It does nothing to elevate the conversation. Just stay strong and do everything you can to get your candidate elected.
To all the Hillary supporters here on DU; Keep up the good fight. I know you believe strongly in your candidate and that you're outnumbered here on this site so sometimes it must feel like you have to be as vocal as possible. That's cool. Just be aware that some of the gloating can be offensive and annoying to all of these Bernie supporters. There's no need to condescend to anyone here. Just keep doing what you can to get your candidate elected.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)But I would be cool with O'Malley, or pretty much any other D. Just not Hillary.
ruffburr
(1,190 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)JTFrog
(14,274 posts)DU is not representative of the real world. Sorry, that's just the facts.
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)There was a small, somewhat vocal group of people who liked him a lot, but they were not in the sorts of sheer numbers the Bernie supporters are here.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)
to assume that the people who gather here do so in proportions that exceed the percentage that will be found in real life. It's an interesting exercise, but the results shown here won't reflect what is likely to happen in the voting booth.
(Also, it's quite possible that some Hillary supporters may have you on ignore and will never see your question.)
Trajan
(19,089 posts)Serenity now ....
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Just tune out anything you disagree with and listen only to the things you want to hear? There's a name for that, and it's not pretty: circle jerk.
I refuse to do that, no matter how crazy it can make me. Because once you start tuning out all the opposing views and form a self-supporting universe, you lose your grip on reality.
Trajan
(19,089 posts)Why subject myself to gratuitous ugliness, simply because somebody wants to be an ass ...
I won't tolerate the ugly insults, or the lies, or the exaggeration ... Racist? Sexist? ... Really?
So yes, that is how it works ... To think I used to think those people were nice ... I was wrong ...
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)it's the ones who appear to lack the ability to string together a coherent thought. Not really serenity, but less tiresome.
Response to Trajan (Reply #20)
Post removed
willvotesdem
(75 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)But we get it, actual PEOPLE don't count, just old fashioned polls that only poll people with landlines over 50 who have been registered as Dems forever.
The Media deletes their own polls asking their own viewers who won debates, they ignore their own focus groups, and go with the same old methodology which asks more the 70% of people who did NOT watch the debates what THEY think! Lol!
Unscientific people hundreds of thousands of them not to mention tens of thousands of donors to Bernie, none of it matters.
That's fine, I remember this from the last time Hillary ran also.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)I haven't suggested that, have I? If so, it's not what I intended to convey. Or, if that's just a statement about what you actually believe, then I think you're wrong.
I'm confident that reputable polling organizations know how to do their jobs. Individual polls may be exciting or disappointing, specific polling organizations may also have outliers and biased methods (both good and bad) so the trends from all polls are likely to be the most reliable indicator of what's truly going on.
Online polls aren't scientific. Twitter hashtags aren't scientific. Google searches aren't scientific. Never have been, and probably never will be in the foreseeable future. I'm sorry, but that's just the plain truth.
People like Nate Silver might possibly use such factoids when compiling and analyzing all available info, but it's a mistake to draw broad conclusions based on such things. My guess is that pollsters don't actually believe that those things "don't matter" at all, but instead, it's that they don't carry the same weight.
I sympathize with how frustrating it must be for enthusiastic Bernie followers. I'm sure there's a great deal of comfort to be found in online polls at this website. An even MORE comforting poll would be one that's restricted within the confines of the "Bernie Group". But it wouldn't be scientific and wouldn't represent reality.
Regarding landlines and such, I'd be surprised if these polling organizations were completely unaware of landline vs cellphone use in the US, and didn't take such things into consideration.
~ Peace. NJ
cadmium
(1,526 posts)I vote for HRC
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)approximately 85% of DU supports Bernie, with about 13% supporting HRC.
This just shows how out of step DU is from the Democratic Party ... that's, largely, because of an influx, and amplification, of self-described "Independents." It, also, should be noted, that a significant segment of DU:Bernie, has a fairly long history of having nothing positive to say about Democrats, the Democratic Party, or those that are vocal in support of Democrats and the Democratic Party.
So take that as you will.
Ron Green
(9,870 posts)has taken in the past couple of decades and see Bernie's candidacy as a chance to reverse some of the damage. I see the disparity in numbers that you show not as DU being out of step with the party, but as a more active and engaged segment who really think about our future and the need for a new system. Most of the Democratic Party are, to be honest, not involved in the study or even careful observation of politics.
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)It could show how out of step and/or bias the polling is
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Such as this, will always be biased and out of step with real life.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)and have good things to say ONLY about Democrats (although, granted, not all), a few independents and no Republicans. Your generalizations are kind of silly.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)What is silly is thinking/working so hard to make the generalization about you.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)but you can think what you want.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)That work really, really hard to be the victim.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)Please. You don't know me, and I'm the furthest thing from a victim. You and I just happen to disagree on whom we support in the primary...which is fine, as I said. I believe we're all allowed to have opinions here.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)except what you write ... which includes, claiming ownership of a generalized statement about some DUer that you find objectionable.
Response to 1StrongBlackMan (Reply #110)
Blue_In_AK This message was self-deleted by its author.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)only pointing out that generalizations about a large segment of the DU population are probably not warranted. I personally try very hard not to insult Hillary or her supporters, even though daily I have to check myself.
Anyway, have a nice day. Peace, out.
mmonk
(52,589 posts)Hepburn
(21,054 posts)bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Kentonio
(4,377 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)But should Bernie be the nominee I'm all in.
Trajan
(19,089 posts)Absolutely
CentralMass
(16,964 posts)MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)So your self choosing internet straw poll is a farce.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)deutsey
(20,166 posts)Half-Century Man
(5,279 posts)O'Mallay is my second.
In the primary.
I'm looking for more abrupt and greater changes.
FSogol
(47,609 posts)Luciferous
(6,586 posts)stillwaiting
(3,795 posts)Persondem
(2,101 posts)if you think this "poll" has any value other than to see how tilted DU is.
think
(11,641 posts)Sunlei
(22,651 posts)SamKnause
(14,891 posts)Koinos
(2,800 posts)Ignoring him won't make him or his substantial and comprehensive policy statements go away.
Why not edit your thread topic to include him?
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)monmouth4
(10,708 posts)Response to Ned_Devine (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Samantha
(9,314 posts)onecaliberal
(36,594 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)Man of the people. Consistent on the issues.
MissDeeds
(7,499 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)prayin4rain
(2,065 posts)jeepers
(314 posts)broiles
(1,453 posts)Faux pas
(16,343 posts)TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(27,457 posts)Bernie would be nice because it would signal the country is ready for some real socialist type change.
I was a Hillary supporter in 2008 so I will run, not walk, to the polls to vote for her if she is the nominee.
I can't bring myself to say anything bad about any of the candidates. I just can't figure how DUers can tear eachother and the candidates apart. Sad.
On a related note... I know this isn't the most mature thing, but the Clintons back in The White House is going to cause some massive coranries, brain hemorages and assorted meltdowns of some freepers I know. I can't wait to see the Big Dog stroll out on the White House lawn in his robe to get the Sunday paper. Lol. Yeah, I said it wasn't the most mature thing.
Not that Obama didn't cause heartburn. I had these arguments with Obama supporters in 2008 who swore Obama would "bring everybody together" - LOL yeah right. They hate us no matter who is in office and they don't consider Democrats "legitimate".
olddots
(10,237 posts)the idealist and realist not the defeatist .
HDSam
(251 posts)Sanders
Rebkeh
(2,450 posts)woodsprite
(12,582 posts)Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)hay rick
(9,587 posts)My order of preference is Bernie, O'M, Hillary.
I think the overwhelming support for Bernie on DU is indicative of the preference of grassroots activists, not necessarily Democratic voters. Hillary's problem is that the activists will still vote for her if she gets the nomination but they are likely to put their efforts into down ticket races. If Hillary is lucky she might benefit from reverse coat tails. Speaking for myself, I do not expect to work directly for Hillary's campaign if she is nominated, but I expect to work on two down ticket Democratic campaigns and voter turnout.
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Hillary has name recognition. That is what her numbers mean. The media plays on this and practically ignores other candidates.
It's kinda a VHS over Betamax thing.
elleng
(141,926 posts)and I/we appreciate the reason you didn't mention him. Hope things stay that way.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)efilon
(168 posts)Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Corey_Baker08
(2,157 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)mmonk
(52,589 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)bench scientist
(1,107 posts)berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)I'll hold my nose for Clinton if she's the nominee.
kenfrequed
(7,865 posts)He is the best candidate on the overwhelming majority of the issues.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)Response to Ned_Devine (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
TM99
(8,352 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)And I know Facebook isn't scientific, but he seems to be the clear favorite among my friends, as well. Birds of a feather...
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)By a HUGE MARGIN. Just like the population as a whole.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)For the most part, everyone followed the basic rules and just posted a name without explanation and I appreciate that. It keeps there from being a whole lot of back and forth shouting, because that's not what this was about. There of course were some who posted the name and their reasons, and I like your passion, but just a name would be sufficient. And then there were only a few posters who missed the point completely and used it as a chance to undermine the point of this thread. Luckily there were only a few of them.
Thanks
Melurkyoulongtime
(136 posts)SheilaT
(23,156 posts)And as unscientific as this little poll is, I suspect it reflects the strong support out there for him. DUers are invariably much more involved in politics than the rest of the world at large. We pay attention to candidates and their positions and so on long before the average voter, many of whom don't even realize there's going to be a Presidential election until Halloween. So we are way ahead of the curve on name recognition. And at this point, there still is a strong name recognition factor happening, although that's steadily becoming less of an issue.
Keep in mind that at this point eight years ago, Barack Obama was still trailing Hillary Clinton by significant double digits. And all the Hillary supporters back then kept on assuring us that she was inevitable, and that there was practically no point in going to the bother of having caucuses and primaries. This year they are telling us the same comforting thing: Hillary is Inevitable, and get over it.
She's not inevitable, and while the support here for Bernie is probably even greater than it will wind up being in the outside world, I do think he's going to be a huge surprise to Hillary and her supporters.
merrily
(45,251 posts)of the public in general. DU and KOS do seem reflect the hearts and minds of Democrats who actually follow politics closely, but, sadly, many voters cannot name the VP, let alone the Speaker of the House--even when it was still Boehner.
MineralMan
(151,187 posts)Echo...echo..
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)I can delete if you'd like.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)MineralMan
(151,187 posts)I don't have to resist. I just post.
Response to MineralMan (Reply #90)
Post removed
MineralMan
(151,187 posts)Yesterday I was a dick. Today I'm a prick and a jerk who posts "asshole-ish" things.
Just to let you know, I never alert on personal attacks on me.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)I didn't set this thing up to be a pissing contest between you and me. I wanted to see if we could start a thread based on just writing in the name of the candidate they preferred and nothing else. It was a way to get a sense of who DU is comprised of. You came along and decided to not say who you preferred in the primary, but rather "Enjoy the echo...echo...echo". Maybe in your mind that was the funniest thing imaginable to write. Again, I can't pretend to know what goes on in your brain. To me, it just seems like an asshole-ish thing to do. You know, like what a bully would do.
mythology
(9,527 posts)Nobody has to do what you tell them. It's telling that you resorted to childish name calling.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)quickesst
(6,309 posts)...chocolate lovers and 10 strawberry lovers, then ask which they prefer, how do you think that will turn out. Not the best venue for an even-handed poll.
Lancero
(3,276 posts)Despite the rhetoric flying around from both sides, I'd think that both realize that any Democrat would be better then whatever the Circus side-show that the RNC is running could barf up.
quickesst
(6,309 posts).... you are correct. My statement had everything to do with logic, and absolutely nothing to do with politics. Like most here I have my preference for nomination, but will support and vote for the dem nominee no matter who it is. I am a Democrat.
John_Doe80004
(156 posts)but will vote HRC. anything is better than anyone from the Republican Circus
taught_me_patience
(5,477 posts)Bernie runs 90% on DU and 25% in real life among Democrats.
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)Mz Pip
(28,439 posts)I live in CA. Our primary isn't until June. The candidate will be decided way before I vote. So I've decided to keep my blood pressure down and not get caught up in the primary wars.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)Zen Democrat
(5,901 posts)azmom
(5,208 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Oilwellian
(12,647 posts)Z_California
(650 posts)But will vote D no matter what.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)its because he is. There isn't some weird migration to this site from anyone. People just prefer him 80%+. No tin foil hats here. Sometimes a lead is just a lead.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)liberal_at_heart
(12,081 posts)MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)LiberalAndProud
(12,799 posts)Honest to goodness, I don't know anyone who plans to primary for Hillary IRL. I believe that's significant.
Dem2
(8,178 posts)Nomalley.
tzar paul
(50 posts)Howard, that is.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)He's still the biggest reason I got interested in politics
tzar paul
(50 posts)Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Dandilions
(75 posts)It's a disco inferno
Bern baby Bern !!!
beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)stone space
(6,498 posts)kristopher
(29,798 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)MFM008
(20,042 posts)Im for HRC but will vote for the nominee. If we DONT SUPPORT THE DEM NOMINEE we will hand the fate of the world over to republicans who should be in straight jackets with a republican congress. So lets back ourselves into a corner and say if MY person isnt the nominee im not voting. Then go ahead because you will be MOVING to get away from a President Trump, Carson, Rubio or Bush.