2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOn a side note: Republican primary polls vs. Democratic primary polls.
Technically, this post belongs neither here nor in GD. Posting here to be safe.
Here are the moving averages of polls concerning the Democratic and Republican primaries.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-gop-primary
The comparison between the two is somewhat remarkable: While the Democratic polls evolve rather slowly, with two main candidates slowly battling it out, the later chart is full of erratic fluctuations. It seems the Democrats have to work hard for every single vote, while the Republican voters are prone to massive and apparently random mood-swings.
I wonder what can be deduced from this comparison regarding the mindset of Democrats and Republicans.
Fumesucker
(45,851 posts)And really only one Democrat has gotten significant air time.
Combine that with the "Not JEB!" aspect of the Republican primary base when the establishment really, really wants JEB! and things get hinky on the Repub side.
Think of the Republican base as a cat that really doesn't want to take a particular medicine and the M$M is trying to make it take that medicine, the struggle can be epic as any cat owner can tell you.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)and Bernie has no chance of pulling out a win. It makes sense that the current "undecideds" will gradually disperse to the remaining candidates in proportions that are similar to the current distribution, and doing the math, it's very clear that in all likelihood that Bernie will not be the nominee.
Republicans are in disarray. Their "abundance of riches" (ha!) means that they must ALL skew so FAR to the right to win votes. After a nominee has been chosen, s/he will find it very difficult and awkward to return to the center-ish to capture more of the centrally located voters. If they do try to do that, their "base" will feel they've been lied to. If they don't, then reasonable voters will see them for the kooks they really are.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Ayup.
demwing
(16,916 posts)especially when all 17 of your choices are wrong, insane, or both.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)First, it says that Democrats see the Democratic candidates' positions as much closer/alike than intra-party partisans would have us think.
Second, the gop is cra cra.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Product A and Product B, that you see as, essentially, offering the same thing; one is slow to change ... Marketers have know that for years.
And even internet psychologists, have known about the gop, too.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)
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