2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum45 to 1
Story tonight on NPR relates that Clinton has a 45 to 1 edge over Sanders in endorsements by elected officials - local, state and federal level. Don't ask me to prove the info is correct; I am assuming NPR would not declare that as a fact if it weren't so.
I would love to see the spin of how this equates to Bernie "will" or "can" win. I probably wouldn't be able to follow the circuitous logic since most of the more rabid folks in that camp are on my Ignore list.
45 to 1 is a staggering figure.
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)riversedge
(70,192 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)...as the 'Not Hillary' Party calls them.
brooklynite
(94,503 posts)Last edited Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:52 AM - Edit history (1)
...except for Nina Turner.
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)Few endorsements actually change minds or votes. People generally (but not always) care more about what their neighbor or co-worker thinks than what some politician is favoring.
okasha
(11,573 posts)Yeah, they're important.
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)okasha
(11,573 posts)for a particular candidate.
riversedge
(70,192 posts)things.
George II
(67,782 posts)randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]"There is a crack in everything. That's how the light gets in."
Leonard Cohen, Anthem (1992)[/center][/font][hr]
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)Control-Z
(15,682 posts)but who the hell is Killer Mike? I've seen the name a few times but have no clue. And I don't care enough, I guess, to Google it. Lol
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)Control-Z
(15,682 posts)I guess he's famous?
Romulox
(25,960 posts)jwirr
(39,215 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Historic NY
(37,449 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)....the endorsement of the Mayor of Burlington, Bernie's home town.
Now THAT is a kick in the face!
jkbRN
(850 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Lucky Luciano
(11,253 posts)tularetom
(23,664 posts)those endorsements don't mean jack shit.
But see, the problem for Clinton is not so much whether or not she has the nomination sewn up. She may have already gamed the process sufficiently to ensure that she will be the candidate.
But her problems have just begun once she is nominated. About that time she can expect a mountain of shit to come out regarding influence peddling from the State Department, shady dealing inside the Clinton foundation, and the continuing fallout from emailgate. Not to mention the Clinton scandals from the good old days.
She has as good a chance of being under indictment by the time of the election as she does of actually being elected POTUS.
dsc
(52,155 posts)I don't know the exact number of voters a delegate is supposed to represent but it is way more than 1 and many of those endorsers are delegates.
brooklynite
(94,503 posts)Federal office holders and Governor's all serve as Convention Delegates.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Seriously now, all of that has the sound of wishful thinking. Already to date she has been the most carefully vetted candidate in recent history.
And I can see it now: Hillary vs. Mr. Text Book Narcissistic Complex, or Hillary against Mr. I Really Did Try to Stab My Best Friend, or Hillary vs. Mr. I Shut down the Government Twice. The press will have a field day with those guys.
sleepyvoter
(42 posts)Once the real numbers come through, then it will be painfully obvious that Clinton is not the choice of Democrats.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Link?
Hepburn
(21,054 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Thanks.
Hepburn
(21,054 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)What are you talking about?
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)There are other links that tell us, this time around she learned her lesson about not playing to delegates and realized the importance of endrosements. So you will need to back up your assertions.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)She's probably got the Dem nom locked up.
But unless the GOP nominates a real dickwad, she's not going to find such easy sledding in the General.
postatomic
(1,771 posts)I couldn't agree more, which is why she has been looking past the nomination and toward the General.
okasha
(11,573 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)They're all dick wads in the collective opionion of Democrats,liberals,progressives. But they do have good luck in convincing nonpartisan types that they' are not dickwads. I was referring to absolutely beyond the pale ones, not the typically offensive ones.
okasha
(11,573 posts)And I think Hillary will beat him handily. Most of the crazies have no traction, and the Republican "elders" are just as scared of Trump and Carson as the rest of us.
And Jeb is a dickwad.
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]"There is a crack in everything. That's how the light gets in."
Leonard Cohen, Anthem (1992)[/center][/font][hr]
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Hepburn
(21,054 posts)postatomic
(1,771 posts)In terms of actual people it's more like 85 to 1.
Hillary Clinton has just passed previous nominees before Iowa in terms of clinching the nomination.
All the details here:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/
Half-Century Man
(5,279 posts)I see only one line documenting her endorsements. I assume it is from the current cycle.
Is there a line indicating her endorsements from her last run?
A comparison between the two runs for nomination would be helpful.
postatomic
(1,771 posts)The comparisons are all the candidates that were nominated, so it doesn't show her endorsements in 2008.... since she wasn't the nominee. It also doesn't show Obama or Bill Clinton in their re-election nominations. Hope that is helpful.
Crystalite
(164 posts)Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)brooklynite
(94,503 posts)...the next door effect only gets you so far.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Or maybe they were saying he was going to lose all fifty. I can't keep it straight anymore.
George II
(67,782 posts)...the oligarchy and "Wall Shhhtreet".
So maybe his strategy is indeed to lose all 50 states?
demwing
(16,916 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)This list is very well maintained and updated almost as endorsements are announced.
If we were to zero in on only Governors, Senators, and Representatives (the office-holders with whom a President has to have the cooperation), Clinton actually has a margin of 194 to 2:
Martin O'Malley - 0 Governors, 0 Senators, 1 Representative
Bernard Sanders - 0 Governors, 0 Senators, 2 Representatives
Hillary Clinton - 13 Governors, 38 Senators, 143 Representatives
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Thanks for the link.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)I was looking for the back up info, realizing that there will be those calling for it.
Since I can't find the clip of the news item, but I will give you my support, K&R and confirmation that I'd heard the same thing.
George II
(67,782 posts)Gothmog
(145,130 posts)According to Nate's scoring system, the relative values of endorsement are set forth below http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/
Bernie Sanders 2
Martin O'Malley 1
This is a modern record according to Nate
frylock
(34,825 posts)Gothmog
(145,130 posts)Endorsements are important in the primary process and play a role on how many voters in the true base of the party will be basing their decisions. The number and percentage of endorsements of Hillary Clinton is truly impressive and shows wide support inside the base of the party (i.e., the people who volunteer and work each year on party efforts). Elected officials who got elected due to the efforts of the base of the party are important area of support in the primary process.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Trajan
(19,089 posts)Because tens of millions of voters, including new voters, will swamp that rickety little boat with all those 'super delegates' ... like a tsunami ...
Now that we've gotten that out of the way ... Good bye ...
frylock
(34,825 posts)I'm sure a majority of the 30-something percent of registered democrats might care.
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)And raise awareness, get out the vote and all that other stuff that millennials don't give a shit about either, right?
frylock
(34,825 posts)or that superdelegates are backing the establishment candidate. Ask them which one of those will effect their vote.
qwlauren35
(6,147 posts)But there's still a lot of data that says she can win. What the campaign says all the time - endorsers are not voters. We're after voters.
SmittynMo
(3,544 posts)she's killing it.
If you continually talk about the lies and total bullshit, eventually everyone will think it's true. That seems to be the concept.
Cha
(297,154 posts)SCantiGOP
(13,869 posts)Cha
(297,154 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)SmittynMo
(3,544 posts)people in this thread are totally in their own little bubble, and will vote against their best interests.
These people say screw healthcare, education, and income inequality, just to mention a few. And to not realize and admit that Clinton is part of the 1% is ludicrous.
If you think Hillary is going to fix these issues, dream on. She's totally bought and paid for. How can people not see this?
I don't care what the polls say. I don't care what the delegate support indicates. I don't care if some union heads say they support the wrong person. What matters are the votes, and I feel that the votes this upcoming election will set a record for participation.
So what DO I care for? I DO care that my candidate is not bought by anyone, and has a huge record of trustworthiness. No one can even come close to Bernie in his stances for equality and rebuilding our democracy and the middle class. Doesn't that mean anything anymore? It does to me, big time.
But most of all, I DO care about my children, and grandchildren, and their future. One would think that if this were important to themselves, voting Bernie would be your only choice.
I clearly remember what it meant to have a true democracy in this country. That was at least 40 years ago. Life was good in general, jobs were plentiful, and people actually had a family life with a 40 hour work week. Most corporate jobs came with pensions and 0 out of pocket insurance. Not any more. Look around you. Are you pleased with what you see and what you make? Do you like working more hours for less? Do you still want the same ole politics as usual?
It's plain as day what needs to be done. Wake up and smell the coffee, while you can still get it.
CBGLuthier
(12,723 posts)The herd moves of its own accord with its own protection foremost in its motives.
olddots
(10,237 posts)I just play one on TV .