Conservatives off TV in Michigan and Pennsylvania

[demosincebirth]

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) — Mitt Romney's allies have pulled their advertising from Pennsylvania and Michigan while redoubling efforts in other battleground states. The move indicates that at least for now, efforts by outside groups to help Romney compete in more states have stalled.

The pro-Romney groups American Crossroads and Americans for Prosperity are pouring nearly $13 million into advertising in key states, indicating they remain eager to lend considerable financial muscle to Romney in states viewed as truly competitive.

There are no presidential campaign ads of any kind currently airing in Pennsylvania and Michigan, according to information provided by media trackers to The Associated Press. While the Romney campaign has spent almost no money on advertising in either state, conservative groups have spent $20 million on ads for him in Pennsylvania and have spent $8 million on ads in Michigan.

Independent groups have been helping Romney to stay competitive with Obama on the air as the former Massachusetts governor regroups to raise money for the final weeks before the campaign. Romney's campaign coffers were severely depleted after a bruising primary fight, forcing a greater reliance on these conservative super PACs and other groups to get their message out.
http://news.yahoo.com/conservatives-off-tv-michigan-pennsylvania-170134916--election.html

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Wow. Pulling out of Michigan THIS early? Even McCain waited until October...

[grantcart]

4. They have to save their money for North Carolina haha

If Romney ends the campaign with money in the bank to run again the entire Republican Party will turn on him like nothing we have seen.

[Mopar151]

6. Which bank? What country?

How much is Bain Capital gonna skim off the campaign in management fees?

[auburngrad82]

23. I kind of get the feeling that the GOP has given up on Rmoney in NC

I'm seeing very few Rmoney ads but plenty of Congressional ads right now. I'm assuming the GOP is worried that Rmoney could take the House down with him in November.

[queenjane]

26. In NC, it's been non-stop until the last few days.

I just noticed last night that there weren't as many. For about a month, it was relentless. Almost every single commercial on network TV was an anti-Obama ad, nastier & nastier. Now I'm actually seeing car commercials again. Never thought I'd be so happy about that.

[dhill926]

2. so is it coming down to....

Florida and Ohio? Where the R's are trying to put the fix in.....

[JoePhilly]

21. Add Virginia.

In all likelihood, Obama only needs one of the three.

[Marie Marie]

3. And this Pennsylvanian is thankful.

[Mopar151]

5. They are throwing plenty of money at NH!

And the ads are dreadful...... Whoever the woman is that does their "fearful" voice-overs needs to be re-medicated.

[abumbyanyothername]

8. New Hampshire??

Why?

It's pretty clearly Obama (80% in the Silver model).

And even if it isn't what will the 4 EVs do for them? No offense intended.

And finally, aren't some of the media buys for NH pretty expensive BOS market buys?

[Mopar151]

15. Most of the maps I've seen have us as a tossup

Most of the ads I've seen are on WMUR (ABC), our only major league TV station. Rove and the boys dump some serious loot into our local races, as well - and our NH House Speaker, "Bully" O'Brien, is f'n owned and operated by ALEC.

[abumbyanyothername]

7. With Pennsylvania and Michigan off the table

Obama is up to around 241 EVs with 16 more (WI+NV) looking very secure. And with Goode on the ballot in VA that pretty much seals up another 13 for the POTUS.

Doing the Arithmetic that's 270 EVs. So how on earth can rMoney win? I don't see a path to victory for the dark side.

[Grown2Hate]

16. To play Devil's Advocate, if we get 270 we lose. Because the House votes to break a

270-270 tie. But I see your point... Rmoney would have to RUN the TABLE everywhere else, and I can't see that happening. NOW we need to focus on the House and Senate!

[JoePhilly]

22. I'm pretty sure the tie would occur at 269, not 270. If you get 270, you win, period.

I think there are 538 total EC votes available. So the tie is at 269.

You can experiment here ...

http://www.270towin.com/

[Grown2Hate]

29. HAHA! As much as I pride myself on being "on top of things", I blew that one. You are 100%

correct. I was thinking 269-269. Muh bad.

[alcibiades_mystery]

9. Pennsylvania's been lost for weeks for Mitt

Michigan's over, too. As somebody said upthread, when McCain pulled out of Michigan in OCTOBER of 08, it was a huge deal (Palin's people made some noises about being upset over it). Romney's ditching Michigan (his home state, mind you) in September. Romney's main difficulty this week is that Ohio looks to be going the way of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and just needs a tip. Its dynamics are a mix of the two, with a massive auto industry workforce mirroring Michigan, and infrastructure and agriculture dynamics mirroring PA. Obama has done the state well in all these areas.

And then what for Mitt? He thinks he's going to pile up New Hampshires and Iowas to make up for Ohio?

The Big Money is going to start hedging on the top ticket race real soon, if they haven't already. That means cash influxes to the Obama coffers and retreat from Mittens. You'll also see a big focus on down ticket starting from the Dems. I think we already got a taste of this in Clinton's speech.

[abumbyanyothername]

11. Perhaps the Kochs

really will take their billions to Switzerland and leave us the fuck alone.

I can dream, can't I?

[TroyD]

10. Are any other sites reporting this?

Or just Yahoo?

[abumbyanyothername]

12. If they're not pulling out of PA and MI

they ought to be. They can't come back there. Even voter suppression won't help in PA.

They have a shot at FL, but that won't be enough. They absolutely need to win 4 out of 5 of FL, OH, VA, NV and IA and it just ain't there. And they probably have to tip WI and maybe NH even at that.

But with Constitution Party candidate Goode on the ballot in VA, OBAMA has like an 8 point lead in the polling.

[TroyD]

13. Will be interesting to see whether the t.v. media picks this up

Listening to John King on CNN tonight, he claims the race is very close.

I wonder if he will have to change his predictions in the days ahead.

[grantcart]

17. in Nevada 'none of the above' has been aproved for the

Ballot.

NOTA will give Ron Paul Suporters a ballot option and killed Romney's chances there.

[woolldog]

14. It's

an associated press story. So many newspapers will probably pick it up.

You can try googling the first sentence to see how many have picked it up already.

[alcibiades_mystery]

20. They've been out of PA for a couple of weeks

With recent polls showing Obama over 50% and up by 7% in Michigan, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see the state conceded. With the auto industry loan success, it was always going to be a tough slog for Romney. The money exodus is just acknowledging that it will be impossible.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

18. I've heard that they're also pulling out of Ohio.

Where are they putting their money? Nova Scotia?

[demosincebirth]

24. If thats true, they're toast. I hope you're right.

[Setsuna1972]

19. They're being shown here in VA now

Makes me want to each time I see them...but I'll take that as a good sign, with the same ads now being pulled from MI and PA

[LiberalFighter]

25. Get the word out to the Koch Bros and Rove that

they need to save Texas for Rmoney. Tell them the only way they win is if they put their money in Texas to help Rmoney. All of it.

[WI_DEM]

27. So Ohio and Florida are going to inundated by tons of mind boggling

ads. And a few other states, too.

[TroyD]

28. Conservatives pull ads from Michigan

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120906/POLITICS01/209060394