2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clintons 3 dimensional campaign is hurting her badly
that triangulation though.
which way are we going Hillary? left? right? center? do you consider yourself progressive or moderate? what's going on?
*shrugs*
I'll just vote for someone who has more clarity in their message then.
"Hillary would you voted to expand social security?"
"I would... (pauses and thinks) ENHANCE social security"
never forget that moment. lol why choose a different word when your answer is no? haha nevermind.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)coyote
(1,561 posts)The polls only matter if the people go out and vote. And the way I see it, going out and voting for Hillary is as about as exciting as eating brussel sprouts for dinner. Sanders on the other hand has excited and motivated his base....time will tell.
1monster
(11,045 posts)(broccoli, and cauliflower) for dinner than I have for the idea of voting for Hillary. (I really like those veggies - especially when steamed in butter.)
MoonRiver
(36,975 posts)But don't let facts get in your way.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Yeah, she's really "hurting".
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)bl968
(360 posts)20million sounds like a lot but it is less than 50% of the Democratic Party, so you admit she's gonna lose the primary and Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic Party Nominee in 2016. *cheer*
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)...In 2008, both Clinton and Obama got 18 M, so I rounded up a bit for neatness. If it'll make you feel better, let's say 25 M.
As for Bernie, his supporters seem to be happy to tell me he'll win, but never how or by how much. Care to fill in the blanks?
bl968
(360 posts)There are 43 million registered democrats...
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary Sanders support is still rising Clinton's has fallen off.
About time for her campaign to pay for a few more opinion polls.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Hillary won the popular vote in 2008 and polls show not much movement with Hillary maintaining a 25-30 point lead.
Cal33
(7,018 posts)began their predictions in 1975 (that's 40 years!!), and have been correct every single time so
far. They predicted 49% for Sanders, and 38% for Bush. They even predicted O'Malley as
Sanders' V-P. Until now, their accuracy rate has been 100%.
http://www.nbcchicago.com/blogs/ward-room/Western-Illinois-University-Predicts-Bernie-Sanders-Victory-in-2016-346130992.html
Thor_MN
(11,843 posts)They would know that the whole party will not vote in the primary and that not voting for Clinton does not mean voting for Sanders.
*Cheers*
Response to brooklynite (Reply #2)
Name removed Message auto-removed
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)...the pool of Democrats who bothered to vote in 2008 was 36 M. You can believe there are millions more ready to vote for the first time, but you might want to talk to Bernie first; he doesn't seem to believe they exist:
NORTH CHARLESTON, S.C. (AP) Bernie Sanders acknowledged on Saturday that he'd lose the Democratic primary to Hillary Rodham Clinton if the election were held now.
"We started way, way, way down," the Vermont senator told reporters while campaigning in North Charleston, South Carolina. "I think you're going to see us picking up a lot of steam here in South Carolina. ... I will not deny, if the election were held today, we would lose."
http://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2015/11/21/sanders-allows-hed-lose-democratic-primary-if-held-today
liberalmike27
(2,479 posts)Just disaffected. Many poor Democrats, seeing their party never mentions the working poor, the struggling, and always yammers on about the middle class, and elects candidates that hobnob with the $2700 +$2700 contribution crowd, and ignores Netroots, and other poor groups, might actually jump and vote for Sanders in the primary this time.
We finally have a candidate that helps more than the rich Democrats. At least his ideas would. Admittedly both candidates will have time passing things that are truly lefty, though I'd imagine Hillary will just be signing Republican bills into law. I trust Sanders to VETO Republican BS.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Either they're registered to vote, in which case they're as likely as anyone else to show up in an RV poll, or they're not registered in which case, they're increasingly unlikely to be able to vote in 2016.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)totally trustworthy.
Just in case.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)joshcryer
(62,536 posts)She's probably been correctly advised that having any events without limited tickets could spell disaster if they didn't fill every seat. So she will continue doing them. If she wins the primary and the post-primary events aren't stacked with supporters the media will try to run a horse race narrative.
(Not that any Republican could beat the Democrats.)
Laser102
(816 posts)tecelote
(5,156 posts)But, it's the planning that will be her undoing.
Republicans win when there is low voter turnout.
The polls that show Bernie against any Republican has him winning by a significant margin. Hillary doesn't fare as well.
Bernie will get people to vote. He has the fire inside to stoke the embers.
This will be an historical election that will begin to bring America back to the people.
Moostache
(11,171 posts)Bernie is a great candidate to make sure that Progressive ideals are not completely abandoned, but the harsh reality is America has not belonged to the "people" since corporations became one.
tecelote
(5,156 posts)We need to begin taking it back.
As you mention, we and our government are owned right now. Not exactly a Democracy.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)his 2008 campaign promises. That would better reveal the Republican-lite of Clinton and Obama Plans. At least PBO is keeping boots out of the ME but on low idle. Clinton is a warhawk, IMO.
Sanders can keep those Progressive promises and deepen them. Clinton will deepen the triangulation issues that wedge away from the democratic progressive principles and to the New Democrat third way, just as she said in the 2015 primary debates.
Superdelegates are listening.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)I'll wait.
Gamecock Lefty
(708 posts)She is circling. Running circles around poor Bernie!!!
Expand vs enhance? Really?
Raise hell, Hillary!
MattSh
(3,714 posts)around the soon to be dead carcass of the middle class.
Mmmm, them's fine pickings!
DhhD
(4,695 posts)move SS into privatization for a 20% management fee. A tit for a tat, leaves We the People with rising drug prices in the following years while Wall Street keeps an ever increasing percent charge as the cost of living rises.
That is triangulation.
Gamecock,
Please give us the Sanders Plan for medicine.
Thank you.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)and not see that as dishonest then be my guest.
asuhornets
(2,427 posts)a one-dimensional candidate-which he is. GO Hillary
Even in his statement on climate change, he was all about hating banksters.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)the bankers to set a policy for We the People. Americans have had enough! In no way will I accept that HRC is working against bankers, her donors.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Clinton went from being hurt for zero-dimensionality (http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251883352) to being hurt for three-dimensionality. That's a lot of hurt!
In making the transition from zero-dimension to 3-D, is it possible to suffer from some sort of dimensional whiplash? Will she transform into some sort of unstoppable super being?
retrowire
(10,345 posts)Such a winning strategy.
I still, to this day have not witnessed a Hillary supporter defend her for these things. It's so sad.
I mean, I can defend my candidate all day, every day. All Hillary supporters can do is this. Laugh and mock.
That laughter only shows insecurity in your candidate. I'm sorry about that.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)But this shit? Give me a break.
"She's zero dimensional!"
"She's three dimensional triangulator!"
I am absolutely on the fence, but the silliness of the Sanders crowd at DU is not helping his cause ONE BIT.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)Sorry, but the supporters of a candidate are not a logical reason to criticize a candidate.
Whenever I hear THAT nonsense, I just see that someone is trying to shame the supporters, "You'd better behave or I won't like your candidate!"
Take that bullshit elsewhere. Hillary supporters don't change my opinion of Hillary. I think Hillary is nice and is a great women's rights champion, but it's not her supporters attitudes that lead me to think "Oh, I'll never support Hillary, because her supporters on the internet are mean!"
So really, you've lost all credibility to me. I don't think logical human beings really look at a candidate and judge them based on their supporters actions. I hold the candidate accountable for their actions, not their supporters, and you should do the same.
Utopian Leftist
(534 posts)It's about time someone put a stop to that nonsense. It's like,
Bernie, not Hillary, pays more than lip service to solving global warming!
Bernie, not Hillary, prevents an economic catastrophe the likes of which our nation has never seen!
Bernie, not Hillary, is a once-in-a-lifetime candidate, who we can trust to make a true effort to promote actual, progressive values and ideas.
Bernie, not Hillary, stops the zombie apocalypse! (Okay now I'm stretching but you get the picture).
"BUT
BUT I can't vote for Bernie because one of his followers ever so rudely called me 'feeble-minded.'"
News flash: in that scenario "feeble-minded" would be a compliment!
merrily
(45,251 posts)If so, Katy, Bar the Door.
liberalmike27
(2,479 posts)Cut/Reduce
merrily
(45,251 posts)However, that never applies to the military, the CIA, the FBI, the NSA, Homeland Security, etc.
tex-wyo-dem
(3,190 posts)Kinda like a boxer telling his opponent "I'm gonna enhance your face"?
Skidmore
(37,364 posts)have going there.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)but there's plenty to see.