Clinton holds big lead on Sanders in Iowa

[saturnsring]

Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by 22 points in Iowa, according to a new poll.

Female voters, who favor Clinton over Sanders 61 percent to 27 percent, are bolstering her in the state. Among men, Clinton holds a narrow lead, 47 percent to 42 percent.
While Sanders has a 10-point lead over Clinton among younger voters, she dominates among voters over the age of 50, taking 63 percent support compared with 27 percent for Sanders.

And Clinton’s support comes from those who are more likely to participate in the caucuses on Feb. 1, the poll found.

Among those who have participated in past caucuses, Clinton’s lead expands to 27 points



http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/262449-poll-clinton-holds-big-lead-over-sanders-in-iowa

[upaloopa]

1. I think that Hillary will widen her lead in NH also.

NH is a toss up right now.

I expect her team to go to work in NH very hard.

[Agschmid]

9. We've been working hard, it's an uphill battle for sure.

Which ever campaign wins NH will win by less than 10,000 votes, could even be less than 5,000.

You want Hillary to win and you live anywhere near the state get to work!

[upaloopa]

15. No I live in CA

I am retiring in spring of 2016 and will work for Hillary then.

I worked for Obama and they gave me numbers to call all over the country to get out the vote.

Probably will do the same for Hillary besides contributing more than I did to Obama. I got invitations to both of his inaugurals.

[joshcryer]

17. Did you go to the inaugurals?

You said invited so I'm assuming no. Nice in any event. Would have loved to have been there in 2008.

[upaloopa]

18. No I did not

The invitations would have let me in most of the balls.

[joshcryer]

19. Ooh wow!

Congrats. Was thinking it was the routenda seating, up close but not behind the president.

[wildeyed]

21. NH should be competitive for sure.

Sanders is local, but Clinton won big there last time and probably retains some of that support.

What do the local endorsements look like? That might be a clue.

[Agschmid]

24. Heavy to Clinton...

But IMO NH is all about ground game and GOTV.

Team Clinton is running two dry run GOTV practice runs in January so we should be ready to go.

[wildeyed]

27. Good luck!

I am in NC, so we don't get going until the General. Works for me. I like busting GOP heads the best anyway

[Cha]

40. Mahalo Agschmid for all your work in New Hampshire!

[oasis]

2. Iowa: A well earned early triumph.

[JonLeibowitz]

5. I'm sorry, did they move the caucuses up to early December unannounced? n/t

[oasis]

8. No need for you to be sorry, just be prepared.

[JonLeibowitz]

13. I am prepared...

to vote for Bernie.

[reformist2]

43. A poll is now a triumph? LOL! A lot of people are going to have omelets on their faces!!

[JaneyVee]

3. K AND R!

[Gamecock Lefty]

4. The Berniebots . . .

have been talking IA and NH only - they have almost no chance with any others. And if Hillary takes both, he's toast! Hell, she might even take Vermont right out from under him!!!

[JonLeibowitz]

7. Bernie supporters, not "berniebots" -- Please do not try to be offensive. Thanks. n/t

[calguy]

26. I like BernHeads better.

[NurseJackie]

6. Bernie's not going to make it. This thing will be over before the end of March.

[Attorney in Texas]

10. "Sanders actually has the advantage among likely caucusgoers who are under 50 years old (48% to 38%

"Sanders actually has the advantage among likely caucusgoers who are under 50 years old (48% to 38% for Clinton)"

[riversedge]

11. Whow. Hillary leads by 22pts in IOWA. Congrats to Hillary and her team

[Cha]

41. Hillary's come along way.. wasn't she behind in Iowa at one point awhile ago?

[riversedge]

12. "Among those who have participated in past caucuses, Clinton’s lead expands to 27 points"

[workinclasszero]

14. Hillary’s ground game

is winning!

[Amimnoch]

16. It's a skewed poll and needs to be deconstructed..

Or the Republicans will swoop in and save ole Bernie...

Or it's some random capitalist pig conspiracy...

Or it's some <insert some random mad raving of the day here>...

[erronis]

20. Y'all get off on this stuff much? Just saying - you're preaching to your own choir.

I won't commit to any candidate altho Bernie does come closer to my ideals.

However, I think all these self-gratifying posts look stupid and aren't doing anything except plugging up the DU pipeline.

Oh, now I get it.

[saturnsring]

23. but yet here you are

[Cha]

42. You don't "get it" at all.. just came on to be rude.

[bl968]

22. What a poll...

How do you get a response of 69% age 50 and over, and 94% white without actively trying. AKA they were aiming at Clinton's demographic from the get go LOL.

Population: 3,107,126
Media Age: 36.7
Population Age 50+ 37%
White: 91.5%

This is another poll that only targets landlines which are almost exclusively older.

[Bubzer]

25. Its just another non-representative garbage poll.

http://thebernreport.com/pro-clinton-superpac-pays-for-a-poll-to-show-her-winning-the-debate/

[saturnsring]

29. another binkie

t's in line with the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa polls, which shows Clinton with a 24.7-point lead over Sanders.

Female voters, who favor Clinton over Sanders 61 percent to 27 percent, are bolstering her in the state. Among men, Clinton holds a narrow lead, 47 percent to 42 percent.
While Sanders has a 10-point lead over Clinton among younger voters, she dominates among voters over the age of 50, taking 63 percent support compared with 27 percent for Sanders.

And Clinton’s support comes from those who are more likely to participate in the caucuses on Feb. 1, the poll found.

non-representative meaning people who aren't voting for sanders therefore they don't count

young people don't vote

[Bubzer]

39. Young people dont vote? Where's your proof? I have yet to see any proof supporting that claim.

http://www.politico.com/story/2012/11/study-youth-vote-was-decisive-083510
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/washington-whispers/2012/11/07/preliminary-tallies-without-youth-vote-obama-would-have-lost-election
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/obama-youth-vote/
The facts simply don't support your claim.

[saturnsring]

44. one election does not a trend make

[Bubzer]

45. We're not talking about trends... you made an absolute statement that "young people dont vote"...

...Which is plainly false.

[saturnsring]

46. oh then i guess you got me

[saturnsring]

28. the old land line safety net however

it's in line with the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa polls, which shows Clinton with a 24.7-point lead over Sanders.

Female voters, who favor Clinton over Sanders 61 percent to 27 percent, are bolstering her in the state. Among men, Clinton holds a narrow lead, 47 percent to 42 percent.
While Sanders has a 10-point lead over Clinton among younger voters, she dominates among voters over the age of 50, taking 63 percent support compared with 27 percent for Sanders.

And Clinton’s support comes from those who are more likely to participate in the caucuses on Feb. 1, the poll found.

young people don't vote

[Ed Suspicious]

30. Young people are going to vote. You'll see.

But this will come in handy around here the next time I hear about H> under 30 support.

[saturnsring]

31. well then it'll be a first youre correct though we'll see

[seabeyond]

32. Cool. Lets wrap this up, and put it under the tree, so we can all enjoy our Christmas. Nt.

[Agschmid]

33. Kick.

[revmclaren]

34. Kick and Rec....

[JaneyVee]

35. And all the other states too.

[oasis]

36. Hill is kickin' ass all over.

[Fawke Em]

37. She'll lose Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Colorado

in the general.

So... not so much kicking ass.

[oasis]

38. And Minnesota, and Oklahoma and Michigaaaaaaaan yeeeeaaargh.

Sound familiar?