2016 Postmortem
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Get real....
and I am FROM South Carolina!
Overtime Politics.....with a generic Wordpress site!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #1)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)the website is hilarious....is it yours? If so...you didn't even bother to buy a template!
Look at the news page!
http://overtimepolitics.com/news/
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #4)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Did he pay for his template?
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Other than, of course, the content...
Response to Jester Messiah (Reply #12)
VanillaRhapsody This message was self-deleted by its author.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)If you won't consent to hear opposing view points, it speaks of weak conviction in your own.
Response to Jester Messiah (Reply #20)
VanillaRhapsody This message was self-deleted by its author.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Your polls are bogus, your attacks on Hillary are bogus and you think we are going to be hurt by your bogus descriptions of us.
Most of this isn't even third rate.
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #13)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)still this Overtime "News" agency with a generic free Wordpress template....sounds SOOO professional!
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)When I read an exchange in which one person has voided their comments, I know that person has had their milkshake gulped down fully by their opponent.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)Unless you can demonstrate the poll in question meets scientific muster it is incumbent on you to admit you were wrong, attacked a fellow denizen of this board unfairly, and withdraw your calumny against him or her.
Thank you in advance.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)The poster in question was attacking based on affiliation and presentation of information rather than any sort of fact-based or even non-fallacious basis. And since said poster has deleted posts and quit the field rather than defend the indefensible, you can withdraw your own calumny, sir.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)taken apart AFT!
msrizzo
(796 posts)Was it the same organization or person who runs the website?
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #10)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Professional news organizations BUY the damn Template....they are therefore UNprofessional!
You are welcome Einstein!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #22)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)and it is just standard practice that if you want to be taken seriously....and I am now assuming this IS your own site....then you spend at few tiny sheckles and buy the template! They are so damn cheap that its stupid not to!
If you cannot even be bothered to spend a little on that.....how professional can you be...
Do they write the news on the backs of cereal boxes?...OOOOPS I forgot...it seems there IS no News there
http://overtimepolitics.com/news/
Low Rent Website tries to make bogus claim about polls....news at 11!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #30)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)All evidence points to no!
speaking of which....are you?
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)Could you please post the demographic breakdown of your polls?
Also, did you attempt to make sure your poll is properly weighted to represent the various demographics.
thank you in advance.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)judging by how much they are protesting the site being seen as ridiculous...
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Those are personal sites....
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)We call both landlines and cell phones at about a 3:1 ratio, however, telephone polling is a very time consuming process, the overwhelming majority of people do not even answer their phones when we call. In order to speed up the process, and get what we feel is the most important metric (Who are you going to vote for?) , we only ask our audience if they are planning on voting in their states primary, and if they are, who they are going to vote for. This process seems to have worked for our Iowa Democratic Caucus poll Iowa poll from Selzer that was released earlier today so we are going to stick with it.
We know it can be frustrating to our visitors because they cant see a second preference, audience demographics, etc., which does make the margin of error higher than most polls of a similar sample size.
The site has been getting lots of emails saying our methodology is flawed, but no poll is going to be perfect. There are certainly polls out there with larger sample sizes, smaller margins of error, and weighted demographic averages, and I can assure you that CNN or the Wall Street Journal have more resources than Overtime Politics to fund these polls. We feel as though our strength will be in polling states which do not get much polling attention until right before they vote. Although the polls may not be as thorough as some of the others, we will at least be trying to get some data for you.
Thank you all,
http://overtimepolitics.com/a-word-about-our-poll-methodology/
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)"telephone polling is a very time consuming"
They don't want to put any "overtime" in on that!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #8)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #18)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I didn't say anything of the kind...
but I did ask you for the Yougov link that shows the same results!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #50)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Please show me where I said that...
This is as bogus as that ridiculous poll and unprofessional website!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #53)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)The name is "overtime" right?
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #56)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)complaining that calling phones is time consuming .....yet calling your little website "overtime politics" is ironic!
OilemFirchen
(7,288 posts)Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #5)
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DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)Why doesn't Real Clear Politics or Huffington Post include them in their averages?
Could it be because it is more likely than not the website administrator just made the numbers up?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-south-carolina-presidential-democratic-primary
lol
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #16)
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DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)Could you please point to me where in overtimepolitics' methodology statement they replicate a random sample.
Thank you in advance.
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #37)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)You own that site don't you? Come on admit it!
Good thing you paid to have your domain private.....but that $20 template to remove the Wordpress Copyright...a bridge too far...
Is that you Rupert Murdoch?
Nobby Beach Queensland QLD 4218 AU
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)Can you please point me to where overtimepolitics released their methodology and raw data.
Your site just asked the first the hundred and ninety six people they reached who they are voting for. That is literally no different than me going to the mall and asking the first three hundred and ninety six people meet who they are voting for.
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #45)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I cannot stop laughing!
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #49)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)back to the drawing board!
South Carolina has and is still 10 yrs behind in technology....
But OOOPS I forgot...this website domain is registered in Australia!
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)Bless your heart.
Bu bye.
fleur-de-lisa
(14,704 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)That's because it's the white males that make up the 30%.
mucifer
(25,667 posts)Last edited Thu Dec 17, 2015, 11:01 AM - Edit history (1)
When he started I never thought he would get above 10% and I'm voting for him. I'm pretty sure I will vote for Hillary in the general election.
But, that said I'm not going to vote for a different candidate because the one I favor is doing poorly in the polls.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Just because you randomly call some people from the phone book and assign an MOE doesn't make you a polling outfit.
Editing back to you, as I am pretty sure that is your site. Nice touch giving your own thread a rec, by the way.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)With out those two thing the error factor is 100%
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)For a huge number of reasons.
Considering the OP's join date, his rec of his own thread and the way he is defending his OP, I'm pretty sure this is actually his own work.
I'm more than happy to walk him through proper poll methodology of her is serious about trying to do this going forward.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)There are no public records for cell phone users...You have to use random dialing to reach cell phone users. Am I right?
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(101,852 posts)So how did he or she reach cell phone users and how does he know the person he reached uses a cell phone, landline or both?
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)its seems to be just these two nimrods from Queensland Australia's concoction....
I think they believe that all polls are just made up out of thin air...and they are just trying to prove that!
Robbins
(5,066 posts)what is going on is simple.the more blacks learn about bernie the more his support goes up.it's uphill struggle.
I still feel is bernie wins Iowa and NH,ans i think he can,that nevada is more likely win than SC.out of first 4 states i feel SC is one
where she is most likely to win.I feel bernie has better chance at win in nevada than SC.
I support bernie fighting In SC..and if bernie does pull off wins In Iowa and Nh he will get a boost for SC.
Hopefully since SC debate will be streamed on youtube more will see it.
All the replies to OP and i can't see any of them since they are on my ignore list.Clinton supports must need to trash anything not
good for them after dismissing or attacking bernie and telling us to give up
Blue_Adept
(6,499 posts)Enjoy your blinders.
So many replies yet i hardly see any of them
I see 8 replies here ..... must be some good ones
I am sure they appreciate each other...
Gamecock Lefty
(708 posts)(although I now live in St Louis) and no way does the Nutty Professor come close to Hillary - z-e-r-o chance.
Response to Gamecock Lefty (Reply #42)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)where are YOUR credentials?
In fact...where is this "overtimepolitics" credentials???
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #57)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)then demanding credentials!
I take it still Queensland then?
tazkcmo
(7,419 posts)"
although I now live in St Louis)" or "I used to live there so I'm an expert."
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)My entire family is STILL there...I was just there 2 weeks ago.
How long has it been since you have traveled to the States?
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #64)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)You don't have to DO polls to know when one is completely made up!
How is Queensland this time of year?
Response to VanillaRhapsody (Reply #72)
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VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)You are touting.....you seem to think you are...
hedda_foil
(16,985 posts)The nutty professor...how cute. Though I don't think Bernie actually looks much like this:

brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Nyan
(1,192 posts)He's cut trailing numbers by half with no media help. Go Bernie!!!
Codeine
(25,586 posts)This is as close to making up random numbers as you can get and still say it's a "poll."
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)There is literally no reason anyone should know about a personal site that quickly... unless it was theirs or a friend of theirs.
Response to Godhumor (Reply #78)
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moobu2
(4,822 posts)Nitram
(27,749 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Momentum problem my ass!
OilemFirchen
(7,288 posts)Yesterday I coudn't even spell pollster and now I are one!
Blue_Adept
(6,499 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,288 posts)Blue_Adept
(6,499 posts)[img]
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Blue_Adept
(6,499 posts)From having every opposing view blocked to not looking at the poll itself and how fact-free it is, it's like we're delving deeper into Freeperland mentality here.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Is this so-called poll and the outfit that did it an Onion joke or something?
