Brand Spanking New Ipsos-Reid Poll at Huff Po HRC 58% (+2) SBS 29% (-1) MOM 3 (-2)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Pollster Trend (AVERAGE) HRC 55% SBS 29% 3%

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary

[workinclasszero]

1. WTG Hillary!

Thanks DSB

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I am getting a Pharrell hat for Christmas.

[riversedge]

13. I like the beat of the first song...clap along. The hat is ok.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. That or a cowboy hat.

EOM

[riversedge]

21. There was something

about that hat that I just could not get at. Now I think it is Royal Canadian Mounted police hat. just thinking.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

22. Did you like my photo of LeBron James in it?

EOM

[Historic NY]

2. K&R

[NurseJackie]

4. One of these days her boots are gonna walk all over Cruz ...

... or Trump.

[Alfresco]

5. Hillary is happening!

Nice comeback DSB.

[Human101948]

34. Wall Street does a happy dance!

Investments are paying dividends!

[Alfresco]

38. On behalf of DSB, we thank you for the kick.

[Human101948]

40. You're welcome...

say all the folks at Goldman Sachs.

[Iliyah]

6. K & R

[VanillaRhapsody]

7. K & R

[MoonRiver]

8. DSB, you are ALWAYS the bearer of good news!

Way to go Hill!!

[NurseJackie]

9. Bernie's numbers are simply DREADFUL!! No wonder things are so tense around here!

Fortunately, unnecessarily aggressive behavior won't improve Bernie's poll number, nor increase his lackluster union endorsements, nor increase is anemic political endorsements. Hillary runs a tight-ship and every day we see the results of what a well-run campaign can produce.

[JonLeibowitz]

10. Like CWA and DFA?

[NurseJackie]

12. I've acknowledged and congratulated for those good-gets elsewhere on this web site... anything else?

Jon!

[JonLeibowitz]

16. Not right now, I just wanted to confirm you were including organizations with memberships totaling

1.7 Million voters before describing Bernie's progress as lackluster and anemic. I see now that you have.

[Alfresco]

11. DREADFUL!!

That needed repeating.

[NurseJackie]

14. Which reminds me ....

[riversedge]

15. Well, Bernie is dipping below 30 now. Not good.

[Alfresco]

18. His campaign is in the doldrums and I don't see any wind coming.

[OilemFirchen]

19. This is confusing.

The most common refrain amongst Sanders supporters this primary is that polls are reflecting "name recognition". That once the public gets to know Sanders, his numbers will rise and the gap will narrow. Because, of course, as the public learns more about him, they will be more inclined to support him.

So what does this aggregate of polls suggest? That, over time, people who "got to know" Sanders are forgetting who he is?

Consider my head thoroughly scratched.

[MrWendel]

23. Or they don't

own tv, radio, internet, newspapers... could many of them be Amish?

[upaloopa]

28. Or they don't like what they see

[brooklynite]

33. In fairness, Bernie's aggregate number HAS been rising...

...at the same rate as Clintons, e.g. they're both picking up undecideds in equal numbers. The problem is that he's reaching a point where there AREN'T any more undecideds, and they're no sign that people who currently support Clinton (despite all the "baggage" that's being talked about) are going to change their minds.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary#!maxpct=60&mindate=2015-09-01&showpoints=yes&estimate=custom

[OilemFirchen]

41. But that contradicts the conventional narrative.

Specifically, the oft-repeated explanation suggested that the undecideds - once they "learned" about Sanders - would break his way. Otherwise, what's the point of emphasizing that polls are driven by name recognition?

The only other possibility is that as the public discovered the secret savior, they didn't actually prefer him in any manner unique from the early polls. That's, of course, what you've suggested... but it's impossible, isn't it? It would actually disprove the name recognition argument, wouldn't it?

I'm sticking with the mass amnesia theory, thank you anyway.

[comradebillyboy]

20. Posting polls showing Hillary leading is disruptive and hurtful

Last edited Thu Dec 17, 2015, 05:24 PM - Edit history (1)

and over the top. Now if you were unskewing these polls you might get more love here.

edit: let me add /s

[Alfresco]

24. Actually the posting of these polls have therapeutic value.

It's a form of proactive coping for our Bernie brethren emotional well being.
It keeps them reality based so when the loss comes it won't be such a devastating blow.

[George II]

27. I'm surprised it's not a violation of SOP

[Coolest Ranger]

45. For a second

I thought you had gotten reported on

[comradebillyboy]

49. I added the /s tag because

I have found that sometimes things I say in jest are taken seriously. I thought it best to try to avoid any misunderstanding. I am not aware of anyone alerting on my post.

[Cha]

25. Ah HA!

[George II]

26. Ooopsie

[DemocratSinceBirth]

29. You should update your Huff Po Graph. It's fascinating

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=post&forum=1251&pid=906401

[George II]

44. I tried, but their site has a glitch and isn't generating screen shots. But....

there is a decided "droop" in the lower curve. I'll post it when I can.

[FloridaBlues]

30. Very steady numbers all polling around that margin of a lead

For Hillary. Glad to see it.
Thanks for posting

[Thinkingabout]

31. Thanks for the update, the working foot soldiers are paying in the polls

[riversedge]

43. Here is one from IOWA-went door to door to get these Commit to Caucus for Hillary cards..

Hillary for Iowa Retweeted
Gabriella Cascone ?@GBC_4_HRC Dec 15 Creston, IA

Collecting cards and taking names: Zach is just another @TheIowaHawkeyes fan & #DudeForHillary!

[Thinkingabout]

46. A caring supporter of Hillary working hard.

[DirtyHippyBastard]

32. What Can We Learn From National Primary Polling? Virtually Nothing.

https://reason.com/archives/2015/06/27/what-can-we-learn-from-nationa

[DemocratSinceBirth]

37. What can we learn from a poll from the first state to vote?

CLINTON REMAINS WITH STRONG LEAD, NEW (IOWA) LORAS COLLEGE POLL FINDS
12/15/2015


HRC- 59% SBS 27% MOM 3%


With the 2016 Iowa precinct caucuses only seven weeks away, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton continues to hold a strong lead over her nearest rival, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the statewide Loras College poll of 501 likely Democratic caucus voters conducted December 7-10.

The newest poll finds Clinton leading in terms of which candidate people intend to vote for, and in terms of which candidate people expect will actually win the caucus, as well as be the eventual nominee.

“How much these expectations are built upon media attention and punditry, and how much on an accurate sense by Iowans of how other voters are likely to act is an interesting question. But, right now it looks like Clinton is in a strong position with the campaigns turning toward the holiday stretch,” commented Associate Professor of Politics and Director of the Loras College Poll, Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D.


http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2015/Clinton-Remains-with-Strong-Lead,-New-Loras-Colleg.aspx

Thank you in advance.

[Coolest Ranger]

35. Thank you

God it gets so sickening seeing Bernie Underground day in and day out

[litlbilly]

39. Here's an idea, dont sign on:)

[Coolest Ranger]

42. Here's an idea, how about

I put you on ignore.

[Gamecock Lefty]

36. HRC is improving her poll #s while . . .

Bernie is writing a speech. Are we sure it isn't his concession speech!!!

Raise Hill 2016!

[Laser102]

47. Love reading your posts. They make me happy. Thank you for sharing.

[Alfresco]

48. Thanks DSB. I always anticipate and appreciate your poll posts.