CBS/YouGov Iowa Poll: Hillary 50, Bernie 45, Martin 4

[HerbChestnut]

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/yn5mdnsag9/IA_ForRelease_20151220.pdf

This is a link to the pdf so you'll have to go there to find more info. Bernie is leading the 18-29 demographic with 71% of the vote. If millenials turn up on caucus day I think he wins Iowa.

[Robbins]

1. This isn't good news for clinton

for bernie to be only 5 points behind Clinton is good news.add to that their nh poll.

on gop side Cruz Is surging In iowa and is now at second In NH.

[JaneyVee]

9. Yeah, but its a corporate poll and we're against that.

???

[ThePhilosopher04]

10. Which means Bernie is probably up double digits

[Bjorn Against]

2. Wow, no wonder we saw a sudden decrease in the number of polls being posted

[HerbChestnut]

3. Yeah

I was surprised these hadn't already been posted. Usually a few Hillary supporters have poll results up the very second they're released. Anyway it's good news for Bernie on all fronts, even SC where he's seeing some improvement.

[Dem2]

4. This poll has been pretty flat for the last 3 months

[HerbChestnut]

5. Yup, it has

The most interesting statistic to come out of it is the 18-29 demographic. Bernie is winning there in a landslide, and it might be enough to tip the scales on caucus day if they show up.

[Dem2]

6. Yes, Bernie's issue will be getting the 18-29 demgraphic out to the polls

My kids are very pro-Bernie, my guess is that they won't vote though

[HerbChestnut]

7. Then get them out there!

[Dem2]

8. Unlikely

They be thoughtful and independent kids, but they don't like leaving their dorms if at all possible. Lol.

[HereSince1628]

11. In the IA caucuses, what's the minimum % needed for viability?

I know there is some threshold in each caucus location.

[HerbChestnut]

12. 15%

If you don't get that then you receive zero delegates. If O'Malley stays in the race through the caucuses this could actually come into play. What will end up happening is O'Malley's supporters will have to decide between the Sanders camp or the Clinton camp and join one of them.