There's a tracking poll that few have paid attention to

[Blue Yorker]

I don't want to praise it or criticize it since I had never heard of it until recently.

It's the Rand american life panel. This poll uses the same exact people in their sample (a panel). I find that strange since it sounds like it isn't a random sample and therefore it sounds like BS, but Nate Silver (who spent years studying this) has said Rand "is therefore subject to less statistical noise than other surveys." http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/15/sept-15-waiting-on-wisconsin/#more-34585

Here's the link to the tracking poll, updated every day. https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/index.php?page=election

Obama has a 3% lead there as we speak.

[Jennicut]

1. Monmouth University/Survey USA poll today shows plus 3 Obama as well.

That seems to be his consensus lead. http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/31a5695e-db0d-4272-b292-b9640f4ff7fb.pdf

[graham4anything]

2. the important poll is the electoral college not the popular vote anyhow

3% win in popular vote can mean 350 to 450 electoral votes

and in state after state that matter for the 270 needed, Obama is now near or over 50%
(and to state the obvious-
if Obama has 50.001 %, and there are some undecideds, than ALL the undecideds can vote for Mitt, and Obama will still win that state.

a landslide Obama victory is coming

As Nancy Pelosi said, when asked about if she could work with Mitt if he won said, straight to the camera without missing a beat, Mitt Romney is NOT going to be president.

[progressivebydesign]

3. Any happy polls today? Or is it your sad poll du jour? n/t

[Blue Yorker]

4. Uh oh, here's the Rasmussen defender again

Progressivebydesign pops up every time someone compares Rasmussen badly to other pollsters.

Hmmmm....I wonder why.

He also jumped to defend a pro-Republican pollster in Michigan whom I criticized. http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=95878

Disclaimer: I have nothing against conservatives like you. I believe we should be a big tent. Not all of us have the same ideology.