2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe EMPEROR Has No Clothes
Good on Sanders for sticking to his message and pounding away, slowly and steadily. His message is timely and impactful. If nothing else, he is also exposing Clintons weaknesses as a general election candidate. Back at the beginning of this whole thing, kos and many other pundits and posters here were suggesting that she was damn near a lock for the nomination and close to a sure bet for a general election victory. kos confidently predicted that Sanders' ceiling is 25-30 percent.
~snip~
In addition, head-to-head numbers against possible GOP challengers show Sanders outpacing Clinton in most cases. (Yeah, yeah, I know, Clinton partisans They havent even started ripping Sanders apart yet! Hillary is a known quantity! Shes battle-tested! Blah, blah, blah...) One sure sign that the Clinton camp thinks theyre in trouble is that theyre trotting out Bill to make the electability argument, and Hillary is retweeting some quote from a Sanders supporter who is at least entertaining the possibility of voting for Clinton based on electability. Really? The Clinton juggernaut is reduced to that? (Besides, I am not convinced that she gives us a better chance in a general election than Sanders, given her upside-down favorability numbers, especially among independents.)
So who knows what happens now? Sanders could pull off wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, at which point well be looking at a flailing Clinton combo reminiscent of 2008. Should that happen, it will be an ugly spectacle. A former president and sure-thing front runner aghast at the possibility she may lose. Again. Expect Bill to show up in South Carolina like he did in 2008 and compare the Sanders campaign to Jesse Jacksons failed 1988 presidential effort. The panic will be palpable and the electability argument goes up in smoke. Lets face it, Clinton could still close this thing out early, but shes been exposed. Shes a lousy candidate. All of the endorsements and the super PACs and the listening tours and control of the levers of power within the party, and shes still in a dogfight with a little-known Democratic Socialist who has been giving the same speech for 30+ years (albeit, a timely speech, given the ever-rising income chasm).
The Emperor has no clothes.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/01/11/1468444/-The-Emperor-has-no-clothes
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Please take that in line with the old comedic du.
Segami
(14,923 posts)I really do need to get that weathervane oiled up before the coming bad weather arrives.....the constant low sine waves are hurting my ears
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Segami
(14,923 posts)It just make me go lucid......
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Liberal Jesus Freak
(1,476 posts)DU posters used to have a sense of humor
Ah for the olden, pre-primary days
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)move at all. Hillary came in with an uncontested high that, like those of all frontrunners in the beginning, was guaranteed to drop. And NH and IA are extremely white states.
Enjoy, but prepare to buckle your seatbelts. Super Tuesday is now only 49 days away, and that's when the rough ride begins. No matter WHO we nominate.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Bernie started at ZERO so of COURSE he went up.
Hillary started at 99 so of COURSE she went down.
God almighty, stick a fork in me and call me done.
You're done.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)mindwalker_i
(4,407 posts)Then you'd be a tine lord (as per your avatar).
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]
TheFarS1de
(1,017 posts)Well done
gordyfl
(598 posts)and he went up. So did Webb. And that other guy, too.
tazkcmo
(7,419 posts)We all knew this was/is/shall be a rough ride from the get go. The powerful never give up that power with out a fight and just like a cornered animal under threat, they'll use everything available to them. Rough ride indeed.
Bernin4U
(812 posts)So now they'll concede that he -might- win the first two states. How insightful.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Great piece! Indeed, The Emperor Has No Clothes!
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)Or would that be "sexist" to use? I'm never sure anymore with Hills.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)When the state caucuses start,then and only then will we see the real show. We have a couple of great candidates doing their best to get their message about how they see the United States during their term in the White House. Once the Local Delegate Selection to State or County Conventions gets underway,we will see solid trends,six weeks will tell the real story.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)The Clinton campaign was out-smarted by the Obama campaign in 2008. Clinton's camp didn't fully understand how to win the delegate war, thus they weren't organized enough in the Super Tuesday states, and weren't organized at all in the post-super Tuesday states. Obama had a dozen offices operating for months in some of those states before Clinton had 1. Had she done things differently, that primary may have turned out differently. From what I'm reading, this years team isn't repeating those mistakes.
Also, by the time he got to SC, African Americans had broken for Obama big time, which gave him a built-in advantage in many key States. I don't think Bernie is going to have that.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)I think Bernie is going to surprise you!
Because his message reasonates across the spectrum. Hillary is divisive, Bernie unites. Hillary will go negative, sling mud just like she did against Obama... Bernie will stay on message.
Bernie on message for We, the People vs Hillary attacking?
Bernie wins.
pnwmom
(110,261 posts)through Iowa and NH, he coasted through the south.
Bernie has very little support in those states, and a lot of people ready to say, "No, thanks."
PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)Then that ridiculous assumption that "Socialist" is a synonym to "Communist" starts to dissolve.
uponit7771
(93,532 posts)AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Well, when the media doesn't cover you for decades..... no.
When you've been put in the spotlight...by your husband... for decades, and the MSM starts hashing over your run for president years before you run for president....and then lose....
Yeah by the 2nd time around, some may have heard of you more than a Senator from VT.
At this point, name recognition is all she's got.
uponit7771
(93,532 posts)... with leading OWS and million workers marches and legislation against trickle down and such....
O wait...
yeah, my other thrown with Sanders is he has never been the leader he has called others to be
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Ask people in VT.
Like Hillary has lead anybody anywhere....
She lost the last time to an unknown and she can lose this time.
uponit7771
(93,532 posts)... be an end all to be all and not proffering unicorns from the historically gerrymandered GOP congress
We agree she could lose this time too...
If Sanders had the relationships with non VT demographics I don't think HRC would've ran at all
tazkcmo
(7,419 posts)She was running before she wasn't running which was never.
Eric J in MN
(35,639 posts)A bill for people to pay into Social Security on income over $250,000.
A bill for free tuition funded with a tax on stock trades (The College for All Act).
paleotn
(22,218 posts)...NC. And I think you will be pleasantly or unpleasantly surprised. The south is solid Hill is just the meme du jure of the moment.
Duval
(4,280 posts)I agree with you. I see more Bernie stickers around Durham/Chapel Hill area, and house parties are being held all over the place.
paleotn
(22,218 posts).....unscientific, I know, but my gut feeling is many are going to be very surprised on Super Tuesday.
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Have yet to see any overt support for Clinton.
Have seen Sanders stuff here and there.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)In fact, some polling is now suggesting a Sanders candidacy might make Tennessee actually turn ever-so-slightly blue.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Old Codger
(4,205 posts)line,she has spent her entire adult life in politics and she didn't understand that part? Good try but not a real reason, just anxcuse
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)No one else came close.
Response to Segami (Original post)
Post removed
DFW
(60,186 posts)...that this is not the level of discourse on DU for the rest of the primary season.
but I sure can't see that happening as things are now. Worse probably, then I will disappear until it is over and hope things are better after that.
DFW
(60,186 posts)There's more toxicity here than in the drinking water at a fracking site.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)... still have jobs in 4 months.
paleotn
(22,218 posts)...Bernie's ceiling is 25 to 30%? Wonder if they're still working?
Eric J in MN
(35,639 posts)NT
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)The only question remaining is how long will she stay in the race?
99Forever
(14,524 posts)I was called a slew of names and laughed at.
The incompetent fools aren't laughing any more.
Eric J in MN
(35,639 posts)NT
gordyfl
(598 posts)Still Laughing...
Eric J in MN
(35,639 posts)...who used it in his Signature line.
Uncle Joe
(65,137 posts)Thanks for the thread, Segami.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)She is indeed a lousy candidate...2008 again.
gordyfl
(598 posts)...back in April, 2015.
That's right. That's what the article said. They state it twice in the article.
It's from "FiveThirtyEight" Politics.
The article gives reasons why Hillary is inevitable.
Reading it now, I'd say it's a darn right silly article.
Here it is...
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-hillary-clinton-steamroller-rumbles-to-life/
and on that note, let me give the wishful-thinking silly article a giggle.......
gordyfl
(598 posts)"When you look at the board, there is no Barack Obama waiting in the wings. Warren has endorsed Clinton and has given every indication that she is not going to run.
At this point, Clintons path to the nomination looks easier than anything weve seen before."
(LOL)