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Segami

(14,923 posts)
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:38 PM Jan 2016

The EMPEROR Has No Clothes

Let's be honest. Very few people believed, at the beginning of this campaign season, that Bernie Sanders would be a serious challenger to Hillary Clinton, close enough to be scaring the bejesus out of her campaign with just weeks to go before the first caucus and the first primary. If anything, some probably believed that Martin O’Malley would have given her a nominal challenge. But Sanders? I think this speaks to Clinton’s weakness as a candidate. Despite her enormous institutional advantages and name recognition, she is in a dogfight with an avowed Democratic Socialist in the first two states — a guy who has never been high profile or a gifted orator and politician like Obama.

Good on Sanders for sticking to his message and pounding away, slowly and steadily. His message is timely and impactful. If nothing else, he is also exposing Clinton’s weaknesses as a general election candidate. Back at the beginning of this whole thing, kos and many other pundits and posters here were suggesting that she was damn near a lock for the nomination and close to a sure bet for a general election victory. kos confidently predicted that “Sanders' ceiling is 25-30 percent.”

~snip~

In addition, head-to-head numbers against possible GOP challengers show Sanders outpacing Clinton in most cases. (Yeah, yeah, I know, Clinton partisans… “They haven’t even started ripping Sanders apart yet! Hillary is a known quantity! She’s battle-tested! Blah, blah, blah...”) One sure sign that the Clinton camp thinks they’re in trouble is that they’re trotting out Bill to make the “electability” argument, and Hillary is retweeting some quote from a Sanders supporter who is at least entertaining the possibility of voting for Clinton based on electability. Really? The Clinton juggernaut is reduced to that? (Besides, I am not convinced that she gives us a better chance in a general election than Sanders, given her upside-down favorability numbers, especially among independents.)

So who knows what happens now? Sanders could pull off wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, at which point we’ll be looking at a flailing Clinton combo reminiscent of 2008. Should that happen, it will be an ugly spectacle. A former president and “sure-thing” front runner aghast at the possibility she may lose. Again. Expect Bill to show up in South Carolina like he did in 2008 and compare the Sanders campaign to Jesse Jackson’s failed 1988 presidential effort. The panic will be palpable and the “electability” argument goes up in smoke. Let’s face it, Clinton could still close this thing out early, but she’s been exposed. She’s a lousy candidate. All of the endorsements and the super PACs and the “listening tours” and control of the levers of power within the party, and she’s still in a dogfight with a little-known Democratic Socialist who has been giving the same speech for 30+ years (albeit, a timely speech, given the ever-rising income chasm).


The Emperor has no clothes.



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/01/11/1468444/-The-Emperor-has-no-clothes
59 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The EMPEROR Has No Clothes (Original Post) Segami Jan 2016 OP
This post is useless without pics!!!! NCTraveler Jan 2016 #1
Whaaa?....again with that wind howling..... Segami Jan 2016 #6
I will try to keep it down for your sensitive ears. NCTraveler Jan 2016 #12
Thank you....much appreciated. Segami Jan 2016 #13
Noticed and understood. NCTraveler Jan 2016 #17
What are you saying?!?! Liberal Jesus Freak Jan 2016 #11
Bernie had nowhere to go but up if he was to Hortensis Jan 2016 #2
Shit, man. Now I've heard it all. pangaia Jan 2016 #14
(Poke) MrChuck Jan 2016 #19
Thanks. Whew I needed that. pangaia Jan 2016 #24
"Stick a fork in me" mindwalker_i Jan 2016 #29
Oh, that's good. randome Jan 2016 #44
Very clever TheFarS1de Jan 2016 #58
Yeah, and O'Malley Started at Zero gordyfl Jan 2016 #48
I've been buckled in tazkcmo Jan 2016 #42
Let's be honest. The press will never be half as smart as it claims. Bernin4U Jan 2016 #3
Kickin' for the Bern! in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #4
Don't you mean Empress? 99th_Monkey Jan 2016 #5
This is just the Previews,the main show is about to start. Wellstone ruled Jan 2016 #7
Thanks, Wellstone. I needed that good sense. Hortensis Jan 2016 #16
If Bernie wins IA and NH, this still isn't 2008 firebrand80 Jan 2016 #8
Built in advantage, interesting phrase.... That said peacebird Jan 2016 #28
At this point in 2008 Obama already had solid support in the South, so when he crashed pnwmom Jan 2016 #9
They need only hear his message. PyaarRevolution Jan 2016 #15
Sanders has been around for decades, they've not heard his message already? uponit7771 Jan 2016 #23
they've not heard his message already? AlbertCat Jan 2016 #30
Sanders has been leading revolutions for decades there's no way he stayed out of the media eye uponit7771 Jan 2016 #31
he has never been the leader he has called others to be AlbertCat Jan 2016 #34
I'll ask all 34 of them and get the rounded answer I want, nope... and Hillary isn't claiming to uponit7771 Jan 2016 #37
She was running tazkcmo Jan 2016 #43
Bernie Sanders has introduced legislation in which the rich would pay more taxes. Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #39
I'm in one of those states.... paleotn Jan 2016 #22
Hi, paleotn. I'm in NC, also, and Duval Jan 2016 #26
Same to your west.... paleotn Jan 2016 #32
In NC too AlbertCat Jan 2016 #33
Same here in Tennessee. Fawke Em Jan 2016 #56
I see loads of Bernie support in my college town in the middle of Wisconsin. None other to speak of Ed Suspicious Jan 2016 #57
He had tons more institutional and establishment backing. cali Jan 2016 #45
good luck with that Old Codger Jan 2016 #47
I only knew Bernie was a president the nation needed. Enthusiast Jan 2016 #10
Post removed Post removed Jan 2016 #18
And I'm hopeful DFW Jan 2016 #20
Me too MuseRider Jan 2016 #55
I might join you DFW Jan 2016 #59
I wonder if authors as wrong as this one will ... JoePhilly Jan 2016 #21
how about the author of... paleotn Jan 2016 #25
It's a Daily Kos post. The author isn't a professional pundit. NT Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #41
"She’s a lousy candidate." Major Hogwash Jan 2016 #27
I've said he would win since before he announced. 99Forever Jan 2016 #35
How did you know that Bernie Sanders would do well in the primaries? NT Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #38
Love That Picture gordyfl Jan 2016 #49
I wish I could take credit, but I downloaded it from another DU member Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #51
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jan 2016 #36
When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Jan 2016 #40
K & R SoapBox Jan 2016 #46
I Just Read Elizabeth Warren Endorsed Hillary... gordyfl Jan 2016 #50
Yup... Segami Jan 2016 #53
And the Last Couple Line of the Article... gordyfl Jan 2016 #54
Kick! n/t in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #52
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
1. This post is useless without pics!!!!
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:41 PM
Jan 2016

Please take that in line with the old comedic du.

 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
6. Whaaa?....again with that wind howling.....
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:59 PM
Jan 2016

I really do need to get that weathervane oiled up before the coming bad weather arrives.....the constant low sine waves are hurting my ears


Liberal Jesus Freak

(1,476 posts)
11. What are you saying?!?!
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:27 PM
Jan 2016

DU posters used to have a sense of humor Ah for the olden, pre-primary days

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
2. Bernie had nowhere to go but up if he was to
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:43 PM
Jan 2016

move at all. Hillary came in with an uncontested high that, like those of all frontrunners in the beginning, was guaranteed to drop. And NH and IA are extremely white states.

Enjoy, but prepare to buckle your seatbelts. Super Tuesday is now only 49 days away, and that's when the rough ride begins. No matter WHO we nominate.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)
14. Shit, man. Now I've heard it all.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:31 PM
Jan 2016

Bernie started at ZERO so of COURSE he went up.
Hillary started at 99 so of COURSE she went down.

God almighty, stick a fork in me and call me done.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
44. Oh, that's good.
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 10:46 AM
Jan 2016

[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]

gordyfl

(598 posts)
48. Yeah, and O'Malley Started at Zero
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:31 PM
Jan 2016

and he went up. So did Webb. And that other guy, too.

tazkcmo

(7,419 posts)
42. I've been buckled in
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 10:41 AM
Jan 2016

We all knew this was/is/shall be a rough ride from the get go. The powerful never give up that power with out a fight and just like a cornered animal under threat, they'll use everything available to them. Rough ride indeed.

Bernin4U

(812 posts)
3. Let's be honest. The press will never be half as smart as it claims.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:44 PM
Jan 2016

So now they'll concede that he -might- win the first two states. How insightful.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
5. Don't you mean Empress?
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 05:54 PM
Jan 2016

Or would that be "sexist" to use? I'm never sure anymore with Hills.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
7. This is just the Previews,the main show is about to start.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:04 PM
Jan 2016

When the state caucuses start,then and only then will we see the real show. We have a couple of great candidates doing their best to get their message about how they see the United States during their term in the White House. Once the Local Delegate Selection to State or County Conventions gets underway,we will see solid trends,six weeks will tell the real story.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
8. If Bernie wins IA and NH, this still isn't 2008
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:23 PM
Jan 2016

The Clinton campaign was out-smarted by the Obama campaign in 2008. Clinton's camp didn't fully understand how to win the delegate war, thus they weren't organized enough in the Super Tuesday states, and weren't organized at all in the post-super Tuesday states. Obama had a dozen offices operating for months in some of those states before Clinton had 1. Had she done things differently, that primary may have turned out differently. From what I'm reading, this years team isn't repeating those mistakes.

Also, by the time he got to SC, African Americans had broken for Obama big time, which gave him a built-in advantage in many key States. I don't think Bernie is going to have that.

peacebird

(14,195 posts)
28. Built in advantage, interesting phrase.... That said
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:42 PM
Jan 2016

I think Bernie is going to surprise you!

Because his message reasonates across the spectrum. Hillary is divisive, Bernie unites. Hillary will go negative, sling mud just like she did against Obama... Bernie will stay on message.

Bernie on message for We, the People vs Hillary attacking?

Bernie wins.

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
9. At this point in 2008 Obama already had solid support in the South, so when he crashed
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:25 PM
Jan 2016

through Iowa and NH, he coasted through the south.

Bernie has very little support in those states, and a lot of people ready to say, "No, thanks."

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)
15. They need only hear his message.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 06:33 PM
Jan 2016

Then that ridiculous assumption that "Socialist" is a synonym to "Communist" starts to dissolve.

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
30. they've not heard his message already?
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:52 PM
Jan 2016

Well, when the media doesn't cover you for decades..... no.

When you've been put in the spotlight...by your husband... for decades, and the MSM starts hashing over your run for president years before you run for president....and then lose....

Yeah by the 2nd time around, some may have heard of you more than a Senator from VT.


At this point, name recognition is all she's got.

uponit7771

(93,532 posts)
31. Sanders has been leading revolutions for decades there's no way he stayed out of the media eye
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:54 PM
Jan 2016

... with leading OWS and million workers marches and legislation against trickle down and such....

O wait...

yeah, my other thrown with Sanders is he has never been the leader he has called others to be

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
34. he has never been the leader he has called others to be
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 08:00 PM
Jan 2016

Ask people in VT.

Like Hillary has lead anybody anywhere....

She lost the last time to an unknown and she can lose this time.

uponit7771

(93,532 posts)
37. I'll ask all 34 of them and get the rounded answer I want, nope... and Hillary isn't claiming to
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 08:04 PM
Jan 2016

... be an end all to be all and not proffering unicorns from the historically gerrymandered GOP congress

We agree she could lose this time too...

If Sanders had the relationships with non VT demographics I don't think HRC would've ran at all

Eric J in MN

(35,639 posts)
39. Bernie Sanders has introduced legislation in which the rich would pay more taxes.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 08:21 PM
Jan 2016

A bill for people to pay into Social Security on income over $250,000.

A bill for free tuition funded with a tax on stock trades (The College for All Act).

paleotn

(22,218 posts)
22. I'm in one of those states....
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:23 PM
Jan 2016

...NC. And I think you will be pleasantly or unpleasantly surprised. The south is solid Hill is just the meme du jure of the moment.

 

Duval

(4,280 posts)
26. Hi, paleotn. I'm in NC, also, and
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:36 PM
Jan 2016

I agree with you. I see more Bernie stickers around Durham/Chapel Hill area, and house parties are being held all over the place.

paleotn

(22,218 posts)
32. Same to your west....
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:54 PM
Jan 2016

.....unscientific, I know, but my gut feeling is many are going to be very surprised on Super Tuesday.

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
33. In NC too
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:57 PM
Jan 2016

Have yet to see any overt support for Clinton.

Have seen Sanders stuff here and there.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
56. Same here in Tennessee.
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 03:18 PM
Jan 2016

In fact, some polling is now suggesting a Sanders candidacy might make Tennessee actually turn ever-so-slightly blue.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
57. I see loads of Bernie support in my college town in the middle of Wisconsin. None other to speak of
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 04:39 PM
Jan 2016
 

Old Codger

(4,205 posts)
47. good luck with that
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 12:42 PM
Jan 2016

line,she has spent her entire adult life in politics and she didn't understand that part? Good try but not a real reason, just anxcuse

Response to Segami (Original post)

DFW

(60,186 posts)
20. And I'm hopeful
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:15 PM
Jan 2016

...that this is not the level of discourse on DU for the rest of the primary season.

MuseRider

(35,176 posts)
55. Me too
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 03:09 PM
Jan 2016

but I sure can't see that happening as things are now. Worse probably, then I will disappear until it is over and hope things are better after that.

DFW

(60,186 posts)
59. I might join you
Wed Jan 13, 2016, 03:29 AM
Jan 2016

There's more toxicity here than in the drinking water at a fracking site.

paleotn

(22,218 posts)
25. how about the author of...
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:30 PM
Jan 2016

...Bernie's ceiling is 25 to 30%? Wonder if they're still working?

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
27. "She’s a lousy candidate."
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 07:37 PM
Jan 2016

The only question remaining is how long will she stay in the race?



99Forever

(14,524 posts)
35. I've said he would win since before he announced.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 08:01 PM
Jan 2016

I was called a slew of names and laughed at.

The incompetent fools aren't laughing any more.

Eric J in MN

(35,639 posts)
51. I wish I could take credit, but I downloaded it from another DU member
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:48 PM
Jan 2016

...who used it in his Signature line.

cantbeserious

(13,039 posts)
40. When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 08:28 PM
Jan 2016

eom

gordyfl

(598 posts)
50. I Just Read Elizabeth Warren Endorsed Hillary...
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:45 PM
Jan 2016

...back in April, 2015.

That's right. That's what the article said. They state it twice in the article.

It's from "FiveThirtyEight" Politics.

The article gives reasons why Hillary is inevitable.

Reading it now, I'd say it's a darn right silly article.

Here it is...

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-hillary-clinton-steamroller-rumbles-to-life/

 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
53. Yup...
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:53 PM
Jan 2016

and on that note, let me give the wishful-thinking silly article a giggle.......

gordyfl

(598 posts)
54. And the Last Couple Line of the Article...
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 03:02 PM
Jan 2016

"When you look at the board, there is no Barack Obama waiting in the wings. Warren has endorsed Clinton and has given every indication that she is not going to run.

At this point, Clinton’s path to the nomination looks easier than anything we’ve seen before."

(LOL)

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