Quinnipiac Poll Feb 1st Iowa - Bernie 49% - Hillary 46%

[creatives4innovation]

February 1, 2016 - First-Timers Put Trump Ahead In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Sanders Needs First-Timers To Tie Clinton In Dem Caucus

-Snip-

Also relying on first-time Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 49 percent, with 46 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 3 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley. Only 2 percent remain undecided and 14 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

-Snip-

"The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "High turnouts with lots of new caucus participants likely would mean a good night for Sen. Bernie Sanders, and for Donald Trump."

Link to the poll here: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320

[Robbins]

1. it is basicly tied

the big question for all polls is likely voter models.is it flawed?especilly with under 50 year olds mostly using cell phones

I defently think likely voter models are flawed.even the respected iowa poll assummes there will be avergae tunrout.

[Mufaddal]

5. The margin of error leaves it at a tie

But Quinnipiac does poll cell phones.

[demwing]

2. Polls closest to the actual vote date

Tend to be most accurate. We've seen three polls that show a statistical tie, so it will all come down to who has the biggest turnout.

Here's Bernie's chance to prove whether crowds = votes.

[in_cog_ni_to]

4. His criwds are going to vote.

They know what's at stake!



PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[libdem4life]

3. Good news !! But, we all know "Polls don't count". Awaiting tonight.