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totodeinhere

(13,056 posts)
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:31 PM Apr 2015

I keep seeing the following talking point. Bernie knows he can't win and he is in this only

Last edited Fri May 1, 2015, 12:11 AM - Edit history (1)

to push Hillary Clinton to the left.

We need to shoot that down as fast as we can. Bernie of course would love to see Hillary Clinton move to the left. But that's not why he is in this. He is in it to win. He entered the race because he believes he can win.

The latest PPP poll has Clinton at less than 50% in New Hampshire and Bernie in double digits and that was taken before Bernie had announced his candidacy. I look for the next poll to show Bernie in an even stronger position and as the voters get to know him better I look for his numbers to continue to improve. Remember that Clinton's strong name recognition has a lot to do with her lead in the polls and the leader in the polls this early in the campaign often falters.

If Bernie can have a respectable performance in Iowa and then either win New Hampshire or come close then it's off to the races. Eugene McCarthy knocked LBJ out of the race for the 1968 nomination with only a second place finish in New Hampshire. History can repeat itself. Hillary Clinton is considered so inevitable by some that it might be a liability. All Bernie has to so is make a respectable showing and he will show that Clinton is not invincible and then Bernie will have a real shot.

I need to edit this. I quoted the next to the latest poll. The latest poll has fluctuated as most polls do this early in the campaign.

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I keep seeing the following talking point. Bernie knows he can't win and he is in this only (Original Post) totodeinhere Apr 2015 OP
Link to the polling... Agschmid Apr 2015 #1
This has Clinton at less than 50% in New Hampshire. totodeinhere Apr 2015 #4
? Agschmid Apr 2015 #6
Two different polls. Polls this early will wildly fluctuate. n/t totodeinhere Apr 2015 #7
Your link appears to go to the same place as mine? Agschmid Apr 2015 #8
Hillary has been campaigning since 2006, if not earlier. Bernie just announced. merrily May 2015 #18
My problem with the talking point TM99 Apr 2015 #2
Her handlers are probably telling her that she needs to appear to be moving to the totodeinhere Apr 2015 #5
Sadly, I think too many will buy it. TM99 Apr 2015 #10
What I don't understand is why they think that is even a real choice to have to make Dragonfli May 2015 #12
Exactly! TM99 May 2015 #15
eh, we bought it from obama, so why not from hillary lol nt msongs May 2015 #13
Mine is similar. Elections, esp. Presidentials, have become so hoked up, I cannot trust merrily May 2015 #19
+ 1000 !!! orpupilofnature57 May 2015 #28
Another talking point is that Hillary is already as liberal as Bernie (and always merrily May 2015 #22
No kidding. TM99 May 2015 #24
Apparently, DLC and Third Way have been trivialized to "bogeymen." merrily May 2015 #25
It makes zero sense MannyGoldstein Apr 2015 #3
The M$M and some progressive radio is doing it too. It is not reporting, it is a campaign tactic GoneFishin Apr 2015 #9
MSNBC and "progressive" radio are establishment. Hillary is the establishment candidate. merrily May 2015 #21
Bernie can bring right and left together more than anyone since President Obama ran. mahina May 2015 #11
Amen! BrotherIvan May 2015 #14
Thank you. I imagine we will be hearing a lot of "mind reading" and "prophesy." merrily May 2015 #16
Maybe he's not trying to push her left DJ13 May 2015 #17
He thought about it very long and hard. Those of us who follow him know this. Cleita May 2015 #20
I think he feels he has to, if the country is not going to descend further into merrily May 2015 #23
It's easy to shoot down; you can't "move to the left" just like that. Scootaloo May 2015 #26
"move to the left" is pandering. It doesn't really mean they ARE left. L0oniX May 2015 #30
This is like a juror who plays the role of a lawyer, Just vote . And orpupilofnature57 May 2015 #27
You either have been and are left (which is really the old Dem center) or your pandering. L0oniX May 2015 #29

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
1. Link to the polling...
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:38 PM
Apr 2015
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 62% to 14% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Martin O'Malley, 3% for Jim Webb, and 2% for Lincoln Chafee. We have now found Sanders polling at double digits in both Iowa and New Hampshire. He leads the non-Clinton candidates in name recognition at 56%, followed by 34% for O'Malley, 31% for Webb, and 25% for Chafee. Sanders is also the most frequently named second choice at 18% to 14% for O'Malley, and 12% for Clinton.

We didn't include them in the horse race question due to their lack of steps toward a candidacy but Joe Biden (71/15 favorability) and Elizabeth Warren (66/8) are both popular with Democratic voters in Iowa. Bill de Blasio (18/15) is largely unknown.

Clinton polls over 50% for the nomination with liberals, moderates, men, women, and voters in every age group.


Source.

totodeinhere

(13,056 posts)
4. This has Clinton at less than 50% in New Hampshire.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:43 PM
Apr 2015

For someone who is supposed to so invincible less than 50% is not very impressive.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton has one of her weaker recent polling performances, getting 45% to 23% for Elizabeth Warren, 12% for Bernie Sanders, 7% for Joe Biden, 3% for Martin O'Malley, and 1% each for Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/bernie-sanders/

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
6. ?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:47 PM
Apr 2015
Clinton polls over 50% for the nomination with liberals, moderates, men, women, and voters in every age group.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
8. Your link appears to go to the same place as mine?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:51 PM
Apr 2015

Yet the data you report is different, I'm confused.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
2. My problem with the talking point
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:40 PM
Apr 2015

is that Hilary Clinton can not be pushed to the left. Her economic and foreign policy positions are out there, and they are anything but leftist. They are firmly neo-con and neo-liberal. She may be laudably liberal in her social policies but so is Sanders.

As long as the message can get out there about their real differences, I am confident that he has a real chance at both the primary and the general.

totodeinhere

(13,056 posts)
5. Her handlers are probably telling her that she needs to appear to be moving to the
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:46 PM
Apr 2015

left in order to placate the Democratic base. But I don't think that people are buying it. I know I don't.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
10. Sadly, I think too many will buy it.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:59 PM
Apr 2015

I don't.

There are many Democrats that put social issues over economics not really realizing how deeply intertwined they actually are.

Dragonfli

(10,622 posts)
12. What I don't understand is why they think that is even a real choice to have to make
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:23 AM
May 2015

Reality break:

There are Republicans that are regressive regarding what is labeled social issues and regressive regarding economics
There are currently no other types of Republicans running or expecting to run.

There are Democrats that are socially liberal but economically regressive (Fiscal conservatives that are not sexist bigots)
There are Democrats that are socially liberal and economically progressive (What was once the majority of the party)
There are currently No Democrats running or expected to run that are Socially regressive but economically progressive
(Fiscal liberals that are sexist bigots)


Who in the hell is the Lutz style genius that sold this stupid frame that in order to champion liberal causes one must choose a fiscal conservative yet socially liberal third way Democrat (What used to be called a moderate Republican).

One will get a social champion even if they vote for a non trickle down Democrat, but the way people talk, they appear to believe the only way to get social justice is to vote for the Third way conservative hybrid Democrat when that is simply complete and total nonsense representing a choice that does not even exist or need to be made.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
15. Exactly!
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:38 AM
May 2015

I grew up in a Eisenhower/Roosevelt Republican family. They were quite socially liberal for the day and perhaps surprisingly economically as well. My parents and grandparents would never have considered cutting social security and this trickle down Reaganomics/Ayn Randian bullshit post 1980 was seen for the narcissism that it represents.

I became an independent when I watched the Republican party become as you aptly describe, regressive. Moderate Republicans are all but gone today.

I am still somewhat conservative economically but ironically totally in line with Sanders positions. I agree on social security, medicare expansion, immigration, etc.

I don't know why Democrats believe that way today. We have had a black man as president for almost 8 years now, and things are no better for the inner cities than they were under Bush. Why? It certainly isn't because he isn't socially progressive enough. I would argue that it is because he isn't economically progressive enough.

I still say I am a conservative in the old school sense of the word. I want to conserve the New Deal as we continue to expand social liberties and civil rights in this country.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
19. Mine is similar. Elections, esp. Presidentials, have become so hoked up, I cannot trust
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:58 AM
May 2015

what people say when running anymore. If they have a track record, I feel I can go only by that.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
22. Another talking point is that Hillary is already as liberal as Bernie (and always
Fri May 1, 2015, 03:51 AM
May 2015

as been?) except for that pesky Iraq War vote.

Are you kidding me?

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
24. No kidding.
Fri May 1, 2015, 04:40 AM
May 2015

She is a founding member of the DLC and Third Way. She is as neo-liberal and demonstrable neo-conservative with regards to foreign policy as they come.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
25. Apparently, DLC and Third Way have been trivialized to "bogeymen."
Fri May 1, 2015, 04:45 AM
May 2015

What some of us would rather not contemplate for long is that a contingent of DU loves Third Way and hates the Party's left. And, if they can rationalize and perhaps support takeover of the Democratic Party by New Democrats, Hillary's advocacy for the Iraq War, and the "racially tinged" campaign she ran against Obama in 2008, they can probably rationalize and support just about anything that happens within the Party.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
3. It makes zero sense
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:40 PM
Apr 2015

Bernie knows that pushing Hillary to the left in the primaries would be of little or no benefit if she were elected.

GoneFishin

(5,217 posts)
9. The M$M and some progressive radio is doing it too. It is not reporting, it is a campaign tactic
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:54 PM
Apr 2015

against Bernie. It is another sleazy way to undermine his campaign without addressing any actual issues.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
21. MSNBC and "progressive" radio are establishment. Hillary is the establishment candidate.
Fri May 1, 2015, 01:05 AM
May 2015

Since at least 2012, the establishment has been doing its darndest to try to make sure she'd run unopposed in the 2016 primary, as did Obama in 2012. It's been obvious and creeping. Meanwhile, she's been running for President since 2006, and possibly longer than that that. (I've seen 1996 campaign buttons touting Bill for President and Hillary for President in 2000, but there's no saying who was behind them.)

In any event, they are going to continue to do that and we have to find ways to fight that. If call in is part of the show, call in often to point out what they are doing. (I rather suspect they will not put you on air after a time or two, which we why the more callers the better.)

I'm not sure what to do about MSNBC. Anyone have any thoughts.

mahina

(17,609 posts)
11. Bernie can bring right and left together more than anyone since President Obama ran.
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:05 AM
May 2015

Republicans are sick of the same stuff we are, largely.

Imua Bernie. Imua Martin. Imua even Hillary. One of them will win, I am feeling very sure.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
14. Amen!
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:29 AM
May 2015

This is the first point that we must not internalize. I see it here in language: a poster wishes Bernie could win, but Hillary is inevitable. It's pure illusion.

We have to make sure all the new/young/crossover people know that they must register as a Democrat to vote in the primary and they must be sure to participate in caucuses. Early on, Obama picked up quite a few delegates through the caucuses even when he lost the primary in that state before he got that huge momentum. It was a brilliant ground game. We have to talk to Reddit, Buzzfeed, any community that is springing up to support Bernie. They may not know how the process works. If Bernie wins the primary, he will win the general.

DJ13

(23,671 posts)
17. Maybe he's not trying to push her left
Fri May 1, 2015, 12:53 AM
May 2015

More like goading her into committing to be further left than she wants.

Hillary is very vulnerable from any opponent thats to her left.

We saw this movie before.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
20. He thought about it very long and hard. Those of us who follow him know this.
Fri May 1, 2015, 01:04 AM
May 2015

He's in it for the bloody win. Mark my words. He may not win, but he's going for it.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
23. I think he feels he has to, if the country is not going to descend further into
Fri May 1, 2015, 04:07 AM
May 2015

1.2 party system hell. I don't think he ever WANTED to do this or he would not have waited this long. I think he thinks he HAS to. Which makes him the perfect candidate for POTUS.

I've posted before that no one who wants that job should have it. Until Bernie, I thought that was a Catch 22, impossible to occur, because only people who really want the job would run for it.

I saw a famous video from the Carter era the other day, of someone asking Ted Kennedy why he wanted to be President, and he had no ready answer.

I am sure he must have said something eventually, but the video, of course, was cut off before he did. In fairness, with one brother dead from fighting for his country in WWII, one dead from being President and another dead from running for President Ted may have been trying to contain his emotions before he opened his mouth ,and not really at a loss for words.But, that's never said when people refer to that moment.

They also played the video of Hillary trying to answer the same question in 2008. It was about her having had so many opportunities from this country and not wanting to see it all......trailed off. So, I guess she was saying it was all going to hell in a handbasket unless she defeated Obama? Nothing about what she wanted to put in place to help Americans.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
26. It's easy to shoot down; you can't "move to the left" just like that.
Fri May 1, 2015, 04:52 AM
May 2015

Nobody genuinely alters their political positions just like that.

Sanders is running because he thinks he can win. I'm supporting Sanders because i know he can win. And anyone who thinks we're all doing this just to squeeze some particular noises out of Clinton really needs to get it through their heads that there is more than one Democrat in the world.

 

orpupilofnature57

(15,472 posts)
27. This is like a juror who plays the role of a lawyer, Just vote . And
Fri May 1, 2015, 04:53 AM
May 2015

the only people the see her as an inevitability are her supporters and sheep .

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