Good News In West Virginia Poll

[Duckfan]

Saw this over at JPR.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...e_WV_50316.pdf

[pacalo]

1. The link didn't work for me.

[CentralCoaster]

3. Here you go:

On the Democratic side Bernie Sanders is leading with 45% to 37% for Hillary Clinton. The 18% of voters who are undecided is unusually high and speaks to the number of registered Democrats in West Virginia who don't really identify with the national party at this point. Among the undecideds Sanders has a 15/77 favorability rating and Clinton's even worse off at 12/84 so there may end up being a decent mass of voters who just don't vote for either of the candidates.

West Virginia's the latest of open primary states or semi open primary states where we find Clinton ahead with Democrats (43/41) but losing overall because she's getting swamped with independents (56/19). Clinton is actually ahead 52/41 with liberals, but Sanders has the cumulative edge because he's up 55/31 with moderates and 36/19 with conservatives who in West Virginia are 22% of the primary electorate. One thing Clinton does have going for her in West Virginia is that 79% of her voters are firmly committed to her, compared to 65% of Sanders' who say the same. If she can peel off some of those weak Sanders supporters in the next week she still has a chance to take the state.

General election match ups for President in West Virginia are mostly not competitive. As bad as Trump's favorability numbers are nationally, in West Virginia he comes out narrowly on positive ground at 47/45 and he leads Clinton 57/30 and Sanders 56/35 in head to heads. Kasich leads Clinton 52/27 and Sanders 48/31 as well. The numbers for Cruz are a little bit interesting though- even in this state that's become very reliably Republican at the Presidential level, he has just a 21/64 favorability rating. There are more voters in West Virginia who like Sanders (30%) and even Clinton (23%) than there are who like Cruz. Cruz leads Clinton 44/31, but against Sanders he's ahead just 40/39. Cruz would win the state, but the numbers there still speak to how toxic he's become.

Jim Justice is the early favorite in the Governor's race, both for the Democratic primary and the general election. 37% of primary voters support Justice to 23% for Booth Goodwin and 19% for Jeff Kessler, with 21% of voters still undecided a week out from the election. Justice also leads Bill Cole 41-35 for the general election, making him the only one of the Democratic hopefuls who would start out with an advantage for the general. Goodwin trails Cole 39/33 at this point, and Kessler has a 40/30 deficit at this stage.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/05/trump-sanders-lead-in-west-virginia.html

[pacalo]

5. Thanks, CC!

[northernsouthern]

2. Your link is trunkated.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_WV_50316.pdf

On the Democratic side Bernie Sanders is leading with 45% to 37% for Hillary Clinton.

[fluffyclouds]

4. Bernie will win in a historic blowout in WV

[Nyan]

6. He's been leading in West Virginia for months now.

I think it was October or November when he first started to lead...

[Silver_Witch]

7. You can't threaten the only livelihood..

...working people in West Virginia has and then expect them to vote for you without giving them a plan or hope...and no retraining them for work that does not exist in WV is not good enough (HILLARY in case you are listening).

I lived there for 5 years and work is scarce. It took me a while to find a job and the pay was horrible. Many in our small town were relieved when diagnosed with Black Lung because they knew their family would be taken care of ...

It is a beautiful state with wonderful people, animals and landscape....we should declare it a National Park and pay the citizens for taking good care of such a wonderful place. I had to move to DC because I could not support my family there.

[jillan]

8. The Hill reporting on this too.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/278567-poll-sanders-leads-in-west-virginia

Poll: Sanders leads by 8 points in West Virginia

[Duckfan]

9. Thanks CC for getting working link.