Oregon

[Oixi1993]

Ok, Oregonians...What gives? I have been there and would have thought it was Sanders country but I just saw a poll with Clinton up 15. I guess as a newbie to the Progressive cause I still believe people will come to their senses and elect the best candidate I have ever seen and I am 56. I have never been so enthused.

[thereismore]

1. We'll know soon enough. The OR voting is one of the cleanest. nt

[Else You Are Mad]

2. I don't put much stock...

In outlier poll results, especially those that come out close to the election day --as this one did. They usually are either: 1) used to get reaction ratings/hits for news or websites; or 2) A poll with an agenda to skew or discourage people from going out to vote.

[Viva_La_Revolution]

3. small sample of ' likely voters' on land lines

I live here, and i'm not worried

[grasswire]

4. that poll is not trustworthy

and it is the only polling that has been done.

read this instead

https://johnlaurits.com/2016/05/11/psa-pay-no-attention-to-articles-claiming-clinton-leads-in-oregon/

[Bernin4U]

5. Joke used to be, a trend is the shortest distance between 2 data points.

Now apparently it only takes 1. Funny how that works.

I can't see any reason why she'd do better in OR than she did in WA. In WA, she did about the best in Pugetopolis, which if anything is somewhere between slightly to substantially less liberal than Portland.

So I'd love to know where this big advantage for her could be coming from.

[jalan48]

6. I haven't talked to one person voting for Hillary here.

I've seen zero Hillary bumper stickers and hundreds for Bernie.

[Bernin4U]

7. Not that we can rely on that too much.

HRH supporters seem to have a hard time coughing up a dollar for her, let alone the $5-10 for a bumper sticker.

I just wonder what could possibly be better for her in OR than in WA?

At the Safeco rally, I bumped into one of the WA State field managers. I had no idea where we really stood, but asked him if we might get 60%. His reply was 65% or better. Of course, we soon found out he was right about "or better".

I have a feeling that the campaign has a pretty good idea about it, even if they tend to keep it quiet.

But the poll from the OP, that so much of the media seems happy to hand its hat on, seems pretty useless.

[eridani]

8. Everything depends on the age 18-29 turnout

In PA, it was only 9%,