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SheenaR

(2,052 posts)
Thu May 26, 2016, 01:16 PM May 2016

A different take on the odds....

There are many on the other side that think charges are not coming. That it's impossible..

Here's the latest odds...


1351 Hillary Clinton faces federal charges +220 (put up 100 to win an extra 220)
1352 H.Clinton does not face federal charges -300 (put up 300 to win an extra 100)

Not crazy, but the lowest they have been since the odds came out months ago.

Now how about this....

719 Oklahoma City Thunder +285
720 Golden State Warriors -345

For the non sports fan, Oklahoma City is winning this series 3 games to 1. And they ALREADY won at Golden State last week. Yet the odds are higher in the basketball game tonight. There is less of a chance for something to happen that has already happened, then for Hillary to get charged.

Thought it was interesting. I'm conflicted. If it happens now, great. If it happened in a few months, she has destroyed the Party.

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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A different take on the odds.... (Original Post) SheenaR May 2016 OP
Between her Old Codger May 2016 #1
What does "faces federal charges" mean? Bob41213 May 2016 #2
My interpretation is indictment on any charge SheenaR May 2016 #3
At this point, my money's on Scooter Libby Bernin4U May 2016 #4
He's got immunity. If I was picking a fall guy... Bob41213 May 2016 #5

Bob41213

(491 posts)
2. What does "faces federal charges" mean?
Thu May 26, 2016, 03:44 PM
May 2016

Indicted? Not pardoned?

Your point about Golden State is interesting. I'm not up on all the intricacies especially on basketball betting. Looking at the odds, I see they are favored by 7.5 points which means according to my research that they have a 75% chance to win.

So that implies Hillary has a greater than 25% chance to face federal charges?

I'm pretty sure at this point the FBI report is going to be blistering (and almost certainly recommend indictment). I don't know what the DOJ will do or if Obama would pardon either. This has gotten to the point where I can see it being too politically damaging for him to pardon her.

Bernin4U

(812 posts)
4. At this point, my money's on Scooter Libby
Thu May 26, 2016, 07:19 PM
May 2016

Or rather, on whomever is the best insider to take the fall. Her IT guy (Bryan Pagliano) maybe?

Bob41213

(491 posts)
5. He's got immunity. If I was picking a fall guy...
Thu May 26, 2016, 09:56 PM
May 2016

It'd be Jake Sullivan. But seriously, she'd throw any of them under the bus...

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