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TBF

(32,029 posts)
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 12:27 PM Oct 2015

Iowa Caucus Poll

CBS has Hillary ahead of Bernie by 3% --> http://2016iowacaucus.com/hillary-retakes-lead-over-sanders-cbs-newsyougov-poll/

BUT there is also an online poll on that page for folks who find the website and vote --> he's beating her by 15% there (go vote!!)

This is going to come down to turn-out, y'all.

Hoping the millennials come through for us.

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Iowa Caucus Poll (Original Post) TBF Oct 2015 OP
Putting aside the online poll portlander23 Oct 2015 #1
More stats - TBF Oct 2015 #2
Bernie's campaign needs to spend some money educating the Fawke Em Oct 2015 #3
In Texas in 2008 Caucus meant TBF Oct 2015 #4
Oh - I am involved locally, but my state doesn't have a caucus. Fawke Em Oct 2015 #5
Current Percentages: SamKnause Oct 2015 #6
Vote the online poll! SoapBox Oct 2015 #7
Bernie Sanders (54%, 4,131 Votes) Vincardog Oct 2015 #8
 

portlander23

(2,078 posts)
1. Putting aside the online poll
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 12:30 PM
Oct 2015

3% is not a very wide margin. It very well may come out to which group of supporters really wants it that day.

TBF

(32,029 posts)
2. More stats -
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 12:37 PM
Oct 2015

Sample: 1342 Registered Voters
Conducted: October 15-22, 2015
Margin of Error: ±4.8%

So it's within the margin of error. We need turn-out for Bernie and I think we can accomplish that the same way we did w/Obama - internet presence. Reddit, Twitter etc.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
3. Bernie's campaign needs to spend some money educating the
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 12:44 PM
Oct 2015

Millennials about how to work a caucus.

Just showing up isn't going to help, from what I understand. I admit that I don't know much about caucusing and I'm not a Millennial. But, I figure that if I don't, and I've been voting for many, many years, then they probably know less.

TBF

(32,029 posts)
4. In Texas in 2008 Caucus meant
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 01:38 PM
Oct 2015

changing your status to democrat (which I did -I had never before declared for either party), and showing up to sign your name (which I did) - and then I stayed late to count signatures because I had been named co-precinct chair (by the actual precinct chair who wanted some help).

It was a great experience and I encourage you to get involved locally (hey, I even went door to door for Obama here in TX!)

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
5. Oh - I am involved locally, but my state doesn't have a caucus.
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 01:42 PM
Oct 2015

Ours is pretty simple: it's an open primary. Easy to vote in IF you register to vote (and, as a Southern state, yes, the GOP has tried to restrict who can vote with IDs, etc.)

I was just relaying that I thought educating new voters about how and when and where to caucus or primary is key. Many of Bernie's supporters are new to voting.

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
8. Bernie Sanders (54%, 4,131 Votes)
Mon Oct 26, 2015, 06:42 PM
Oct 2015

Iowa Caucus Poll


Who should be the 2016 Democratic nominee?

Bernie Sanders (54%, 4,131 Votes)

Hillary Clinton (39%, 2,968 Votes)

Martin O’Malley (7%, 502 Votes)


Total Voters: 7,601

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