**Breaking Harvard Harris Democratic Primary Poll** Middle Class Joe 44% Sanders 14% Harris 9%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Biden
44%
Sanders
14%
Harris
9%
Warren
5%
O'Rourke
3%
Booker
3%
Buttigieg
2%
Bloomberg
2%
Klobuchar
2%
Ryan
1%
Delaney
1%
Gravel
0%
Gillibrand
0%
Yang
0%
Hickenlooper
0%
Messam
0%
Gabbard
0%
Moulton
0%
Inslee
0%
Castro
0%
Williamson
0%
Swalwell
0%

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/HHP_April2019_RV_topline.pdf

[awesomerwb1]

1. WiThIn MaRgIn oF ErRor!!!!!!

[George II]

16. ...

Last edited Fri May 3, 2019, 05:32 PM - Edit history (1)

[NYMinute]

18. ..

[Gothmog]

27. LOL

[Peacetrain]

2. Holy Cow!!!!!

People kept telling me that the day VP Biden announced would be his highest numbers..and he has done nothing but go up since he announced.. wow! I am one happy camper..

[msongs]

3. we need...more choices lol. nt

[C Moon]

32. :D

[DownriverDem]

37. How about

Biden/Harris? We have never had a woman VP. She would then be positioned to become President.

[ucrdem]

4. This thing might be over before it started.

No harm in that!

[honest.abe]

6. Yeah, its looking that way.

I am about to jump ship in the hopes that Kamala is picked as VP.

[ucrdem]

7. That would be a great ticket.

[honest.abe]

9. No doubt.

[demosincebirth]

14. Biden/Harris would be a great ticket! A winner for sure.

[honest.abe]

15. Seems like a match made in Heaven!

[demosincebirth]

35. She's my Senator, raised in my hometown

[DownriverDem]

38. Me too

Biden/Harris would be an excellent ticket!

[honest.abe]

5. Sanders is toast.

Please drop out.

[helpisontheway]

12. And I could not be happier. I can't stand him. Nt

[NYMinute]

19. The sooner Sanders drops out

the better it will be for the party and the country.

[Doodley]

8. I can see a Biden/Harris ticket. If they won 20/20. it would be the happiest day of my life.

[moonscape]

34. If we also by some miracle took the Senate, then

maybe we could actually repair a whole lot of damage and start accomplishing something!

(a girl can dream)

[Cha]

10. Harris 9%!

[peggysue2]

11. These are fantastic numbers when the field is this large

I wouldn't be surprised if they dropped off somewhat but . . . there's no argument now about Biden's very strong lead.

A Go4Joe!

[George II]

13. Bazinga!

[Celerity]

17. Not saying that Bernie isnt toast, BUT this is a dodgy online poll by Mark Penn often used by RWers

Little example of Mark Penn's work at Fox News

Mark Penn: Trump is not a dictator, Nadler is. Our political system is being weaponized against itself

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/mark-penn-trump-nadler-dictator-barr-house-hearing


The Harvard-Harris Poll Scam

On Dec 15, Mark Penn, the longtime political operative who is co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll, declared in a piece published by The Hill (and reproduced in various ways Real Clear Politics, Fox Insider, and numerous right-wing and conspiracy theory sites) that Mueller, FBI face crisis in public confidence ! [I added the exclamation point to the headline in The Hill]. That such a crisis in confidence is what the Trump administration and some Trump-loyalist members of Congress have been claiming is — or at least should be — occurring does not of course mean that the Harvard-Harris poll, if it had actually shown such a crisis were occurring among those it surveyed, would have been wrong.

But a look inside the poll reveals something well, let’s just say a little bit off. Confession: although I follow politics, elections, and polls closely, I am by no means an expert on polling methodology. On the other hand, I am not an expert in wildlife, but I can tell when there is a skunk nearby. Before I get into the poll’s actual and alleged findings, let me acknowledge the impressive academic positions of those who have associated with Mark Penn in producing it.

According to the Harvard-Harris Poll homepage, The co-directors of the poll are Stephen D. Ansolabehere — Professor of Government & Director, Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University and Mark J. Penn — Visiting Lecturer, Harvard University & Managing Partner, The Stagwell Group. The site also credits Dritan Nesho — Fellow, Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Science & CEO of HarrisX.

snip


A link to a poll favorable to Trump's policies

https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-updates-everything-president-a-link-to-a-poll-favorable-to-trump-s-1487715242-htmlstory.html




WTF is the "Harvard-Harris Poll," anyway?

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/2/21/1636308/-WTF-is-the-Harvard-Harris-Poll-anyway


I’m sure we’ve all been besieged by this barrage of information purporting to come from the “Harvard-Harris Poll.” Headlines like Poll: Americans overwhelmingly oppose sanctuary cities, and Poll reveals majority of Americans want Democrats to work with Trump, and Harvard Poll: Americans Brimming With Confidence on Jobs, Economy are drawing rapturous responses from the likes of Kellyanne Conway and Rush Limbaugh. According to one Hill article, “Harvard-Harris Poll is a collaboration of the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll.” Its “co-director” appears to be Mark Penn, apparently of Hillary Clinton 2008 fame. The “Harvard-Harris Poll” offers a lot of slick graphics to go with its snazzy numbers, but lacks that most elementary of internet accoutrements: a website.

So I looked for information about the “Harvard-Harris Poll” on the Harvard Center for American Political Studies website. Not a peep about this epoch-making collaboration. The same is true of the Harris Poll website, which looks like it might have died last month. I also checked to see if the Hill itself had announced the rollout somewhere along the line, but no dice. The "Harvard-Harris Poll” came online with no fanfare and just spouting some seriously strange looking numbers. I can’t believe that a site of the Hill’s quality has been catfished. I know for a fact that Mark Penn exists. But I can’t escape the feeling that something hinky is going on here. Somebody please clue me in.


snip



hard pass on this trash

[TwilightZone]

20. 538 has it rated C+ with a slight right bias.

Similar to Rasmussen, though their bias is more pronounced. Neither is terribly reliable.

As for Sanders' numbers, Quinnipiac (A- on 538) has him at 11%, so his numbers here may not be an outlier. Not good news, though it is, of course, still very early.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2617

[Celerity]

23. I am not even really taking issue with Bernie's numbers, it is all under him that are crazy outliers

[NYMinute]

21. That was a lot of effort to say the poll is suspicious

Their methodology is sound but it is C+ rated by 538 mainly because they find willing participants by phone and then direct them to a web form to answer questions. (No telephone interview)

[Celerity]

24. I always put in effort into my posts, I detest drive-by hit jobs

[NYMinute]

29. You did the homework

[Celerity]

31. btw, just so you do not think me a Bernie fan, I am not taking issue with his numbers, it is many

of those below him that seem to be large outliers. I am 'the sooner Bernie drops out the better' camp. He is going to go scorched earth and hurt our party terribly.

[namahage]

36. Wasn't the Harvard-Harris poll the same one

last year that was incessantly cited here as proof that Bernie was the most popular politician in the country?

[Celerity]

40. indeed it was

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/bernie-sanders-most-popular-politician-poll-trump-favorability-a7913306.html

[MineralMan]

22. Bernie is going to have to bring out the

big guns now. Time to call H. A. Goodman and The Sane Progressive.

[George II]

25. He's already hired Nina Turner, David Sirota, and Briahna Gray and been endorsed by...

....Susan Sarandon and Cornell West.

[MineralMan]

26. Yup. It's time for "The Winners"

[TwilightZone]

28. Ugh, Goodman.

What a waste of pixels that guy was/is. I stopped going to Salon because of Goodman and their Stein fetish.

[MineralMan]

30. Yeah, but he can deliver tens of voters, see.

[LakeArenal]

33. Joe/Pete.

[lucca18]

39. Yes!

[Scurrilous]

41. K&R