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Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumJennifer Rubin, WaPo: Pennsylvania counts most of all
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/05/16/pennsylvania-counts-most-all/Republicans and Democrats alike recognize how crucial Pennsylvania will be in determining the 2020 presidential election. Looking at the electoral map, if Pennsylvania returns to the Democratic column (where it was, twice each, for President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama), President Trump could not lose Florida, for example, and retain the presidency. Without Pennsylvania, he couldnt win unless he won two out of three among Michigan, Wisconsin and North Carolina (all other states going as they did in 2016). In short, if Democrats can win Pennsylvania, their chances of booting out Trump improve substantially.
Thats good news, at this stage, for former vice president Joe Biden, born in Scranton, Pa., and decades-long resident of and U.S. senator from Pennsylvanias next-door neighbor Delaware. They love him there, they really do. There is a reason Biden is holding his official kickoff in Philadelphia on Saturday.
-snip-
Bidens base of support is similar to his base in other states. Biden leads the pack by substantial margins among somewhat liberal and conservative Democrats, women and Democrats over 50. These fit the description of dependable voters.
Bidens pitch in other states primaries that Democrats won during the Obama era but Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 (e.g., Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Iowa and Florida) is likely to be the same: I can win these states because whites, blacks, women, seniors, et al. know and trust me. Hell be able to say hes already gotten under Trumps skin and will drive him around the bend (well, farther around the bend in the general election). And for those Democrats craving normalcy, getting on track on progressive priorities (e.g., equality for the LGBTQ community, fighting climate change, reducing income inequality) Biden can say, You guys know me. I know how to deliver.
Its not radical or scintillating, but then, as we have been writing for months now, the rest of the mainstream media have figured out the party doesnt resemble the Twitter universe and has a bunch of older and middle-of-the-road voters. When you understand that, you can see why Biden is doing as well as he is. He certainly can falter, and we reiterate that no voting takes place until February 2020. That said, Biden might be doing especially well in his birth state, but hes pretty much dominating everywhere.
Thats good news, at this stage, for former vice president Joe Biden, born in Scranton, Pa., and decades-long resident of and U.S. senator from Pennsylvanias next-door neighbor Delaware. They love him there, they really do. There is a reason Biden is holding his official kickoff in Philadelphia on Saturday.
-snip-
Bidens base of support is similar to his base in other states. Biden leads the pack by substantial margins among somewhat liberal and conservative Democrats, women and Democrats over 50. These fit the description of dependable voters.
Bidens pitch in other states primaries that Democrats won during the Obama era but Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 (e.g., Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Iowa and Florida) is likely to be the same: I can win these states because whites, blacks, women, seniors, et al. know and trust me. Hell be able to say hes already gotten under Trumps skin and will drive him around the bend (well, farther around the bend in the general election). And for those Democrats craving normalcy, getting on track on progressive priorities (e.g., equality for the LGBTQ community, fighting climate change, reducing income inequality) Biden can say, You guys know me. I know how to deliver.
Its not radical or scintillating, but then, as we have been writing for months now, the rest of the mainstream media have figured out the party doesnt resemble the Twitter universe and has a bunch of older and middle-of-the-road voters. When you understand that, you can see why Biden is doing as well as he is. He certainly can falter, and we reiterate that no voting takes place until February 2020. That said, Biden might be doing especially well in his birth state, but hes pretty much dominating everywhere.
I snipped out the sections on yesterday's stunning Quinnipiac poll of PA, since there are already a number of threads about it here, including this one I posted
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287120076
and this one, which crazytown posted, which got into a discussion of just how much Biden's poll numbers showed him doing better with voters than HRC did in 2016 (see the replies in this thread):
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287120610
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Jennifer Rubin, WaPo: Pennsylvania counts most of all (Original Post)
highplainsdem
May 2019
OP
DownriverDem
(6,988 posts)1. Yep
They are supporting their native son. trump is not supported in Michigan either. He's in deep trouble. It's all about the numbers folks.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(20,316 posts)2. I'm starting a Chris Matthews "Philadelphia suburbs" drinking game.
See you guys on the other side.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(60,836 posts)4. LOL! We'll all have liver problems...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(317,721 posts)3. And, Biden knows this!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)5. K&R
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
