Monmouth U article on their new poll: Women Rise in Dem 2020 Field

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https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_052319/

West Long Branch, NJ – Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains his front-runner status among Democratic voters nationwide, but some female candidates – namely Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, California Sen. Kamala Harris, and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar – have seen some small but notable upticks in their favorability ratings over the past month. The latest Monmouth University Poll also finds a drop in support for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and a decline in the net rating for former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke. Overall, the poll provides yet another reminder that name recognition continues to drive party preferences at this early stage of the race, with many Democratic voters saying they remain unfamiliar with the majority of the two dozen candidates in the field. The race would actually look tighter if there was more focus on the voters who live in states with early primary contests with more influence determining the party’s nominee.

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Another finding in the poll is a recent shift toward voters backing female candidates. The six women in the field receive a combined 27% support from Democratic voters. This is a jump from the 16% support they received in April and higher than 21% support in March.

“Women are commanding a larger slice of Democratic support than they were a few weeks ago and we are seeing bumps in their individual voter ratings. We can’t parse out the exact reasons from this one poll, but recent efforts by certain states to restrict access to abortion services may be playing a role in the closer look these candidates are getting right now,” said Murray.

A key metric at this point in the 2020 cycle is candidate favorability. The poll finds small but notable shifts for three female contenders since last month. Warren is known to 88% of Democratic voters, which is consistent with prior polls. However, she currently receives a +46 net rating of 60% favorable to 14% unfavorable, which is up significantly from her +32 rating in April (51% to 19%). Warren’s gains have come disproportionately from Democratic men (59%-15% in May compared with 46%-25% in April) and non-white voters (53%-12% in May compared with 37%-20% in April).

Harris is known to 82% of Democratic voters, which is consistent with prior polls. She currently receives a +49 net rating of 58% favorable to 9% unfavorable, which is up somewhat from her +40 rating in April (50% to 10%). Harris’ gains have come disproportionately from non-liberals (51%-11% in May compared with 39%-14% in April) and Democrats without a college degree (53%-10% in May compared with 42%-12% in April).

Klobuchar is known to 70% of Democratic voters, which is consistent with polls since her entry into the campaign, although a sizable number (28%) feel they still don’t know enough to give her a rating. However, she currently receives a +22 net rating of 32% favorable to 10% unfavorable, which is up somewhat from her +14 rating in April (27% to 13%). Klobuchar’s gains have come disproportionately from non-white voters (25%-5% in May compared with 15%-10% in April) and college graduates (40%-11% in May compared with 32%-15% in April).

The field’s leader, Biden, maintains his near universal name recognition (98%) and a virtually unchanged +57 net rating of 74% favorable to 17% unfavorable. It was 72%-16% last month. Sanders, known to 98% of Democratic voters, holds onto a +44 net rating of 65% favorable to 21% unfavorable, which is identical to his 65%-21% rating in April. Buttigieg, with 70% name identification, has a +24 net rating of 35% favorable to 11% unfavorable, which is similar to last month’s 35%-6% rating.

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