Texas may be a battleground state-Biden up 4% over trump in Texas

[Gothmog]

There are a ton of good Democrats working hard to turn Texas blue and trump may assist the process

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[Skya Rhen]

1. If anyone can do this , Biden can!

[ProudMNDemocrat]

2. Biden could win Texas, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan.....

The game would be over and Trump LOSES!!!!

That would be sweet.

[MicaelS]

3. This is terrific.

I am tired of the usual suspects being battleground states.

[peggysue2]

5. Wow!

If Dems could take Texas, that would be the end of Trump and the stranglehold the Republicans have had on the state. Beto O'Rourke's capital just rose several percentage points, methinks.

[kimbutgar]

6. Those good old boys Texas repuke mafia will do everything they can to hijack the vote in

Their favor. Democrats need yo overwhelm them 2 to 1.

[Gothmog]

8. We will be fighting GOP voter suppression

Chad Dunn (outside counsel for the Texas Democratic Party), the ACLU and the Texas Civil Rights Project just won a case on the voter purge

[onetexan]

7. Hispanics & African Americans in TX need to turn out in record numbers for a blue wave there

I currently live in Tx in one of the reddest areas full of ignorant the RW, racist variety. Many of the Hispanics & AA residents i've spoken to do not bother to vote even though they hate the Idiot-in-chief. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot.

[Gothmog]

9. The Texas Democratic Party is excited by these numbers

I have already received a text and an e-mail about these polling results. This is the header from the e-mail from the state party

Biden 48, Trump 44
Trump 46, Warren 45
Trump 46, Buttigieg 44
Trump 47, Sanders 44
Trump 48, O'Rourke 45
Trump 46, Castro 43
Trump 47, Harris 43

[murielm99]

10. That is exciting!

[ucrdem]

12. It's gonna be a shaver.

This bodes well for a Beto as veep.

[NYC Democrat]

32. Warren is only 1 point behind in freaking Texas

And yet people still think she's not electable, what the hell?

[honest.abe]

11. The GOP must be going ape shit over this.

If they lose Texas they may never win another Presidential election.

[Gothmog]

13. That is the goal of the Texas Democratic Party

We are working very hard to turn Texas blue

[honest.abe]

14. I lived in Texas for 1 year back in the early 90's.

I was an Ag chem rep and my territory was the entire state. Its an incredibly diverse and fascinating state in many ways, and there are some real hardcore RW wackos there. Of course Im not telling you anything as I am sure you know TX much better than me. But who knows how these wackos will respond if their state appears to be going blue. I doubt they will handle it well. I dont think TX will go comfortably or peacefully left.

[LanternWaste]

17. You're right, and that's one of the reasons it's weird living here.

Its diversity is incredible in both its depth and its breadth. For every sub-literate half-wit supporting trump in El Paso, there's a musician in Austin, a boot-maker in Dallas or a restaurateur in San Antonio supporting one of the Democratic candidates as well.

I'd be surprised if TX votes blue in 2020, but not *that* surprised. Anyway, little by little, step by step, the Texas Democrats are fighting for strong neighborhood schools, higher incomes, and an economy that works for everyone.

[honest.abe]

18. Good luck LanternWaste!

I hope and pray you all can pull it off!

[Turin_C3PO]

25. El Paso?

Trump most certainly does NOT enjoy much support from El Paso. Clinton carried the county with 69% of the votes.

[Gothmog]

37. My daughter was in El Paso for a while

El Paso is very blue but has a lower than average voter turnout. I know that the state party is trying to increase the voter turnout in El Paso

[brer cat]

15. I hope you are about to see a payoff

for all your hard work on voter suppression and efforts to turn TX blue. It will be a glorious day!

[Indygram]

16. Not without Beto

Some info about who was polled:

PARTY IDENTIFICATION QUESTION WORDING - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
REGISTERED VOTERS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 34%
Democrat 30
Independent 25
Other/DK/NA 10


This poll only includes 30% Democrats and most likely not the 500% increase in youth voters that Beto brought into the Democratic Party.

[Tarheel_Dem]

19. This is why I feel that Beto should be challenging Cornyn. That would be too sweet to see the...

Pukes lose their stranglehold on TX.

[Scurrilous]

20. K&R

[Cha]

21. Thank You, Goth!

[Gothmog]

22. Analysis: The election-defining Biden-can-win narrative just got a big boost

Link to tweet

In February, we looked at Gallup’s approval rating polling for 2018, picking out an interesting detail. Of all of the states that Trump won in 2016, nowhere was he viewed less favorably than in Texas. His approval in the state was 39 percent over the course of the year, the sort of number that doesn’t slot easily into sentences like “Trump coasted to victory given his ___ percent approval rating in the state.” Perhaps something more like: “Trump’s ___ percent approval rating in the state was just too much to overcome.”

I mean, it’s not as though 2016 and 2018 were blowouts in the state, either. Clinton lost by nine points, though that was closer than the margin in Iowa, which in 2012 voted for Barack Obama. It was the closest the state had been since 1976, excluding 1992 and 1996 when Texan Ross Perot played spoiler. Last year, O’Rourke lost by less than three points.

Then there’s this new poll of Texans by Quinnipiac University. It has Trump struggling against a number of the Democrats running for the party’s 2020 nomination. He’s up only four points on Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) — and that’s the race in which he’s doing the best. Despite his relative success last year, O’Rourke loses to Trump by three points. Against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Trump’s only up one.

Against former vice president Joe Biden? Trump is losing by four points.

[corbettkroehler]

23. Whoever The Nominee Is, If The DNC Does Its Job, Texas Will Be A Battleground State In 2020

Democrats have more momentum to contest Texas than during any other recent cycle.

[Takket]

24. yeah i saw this, was going to post it but you beat me to it.........

tell you what, he's not my first choice, i'm torn between Harris and Warren, but if I can be convinced that Biden can turn Texas blue, I am ALL IN. Flipping Texas blue (and keeping it that way by ending voter suppression) would permanently chance the landscape of the country politically. The GOP had NO path to victory in any president election without Texas. None. Zero. No chance.

[JustAnotherGen]

26. Gothmog

I have tremendous respect for you - because like me - you are boots on the ground.


Any news is good news but . . .

I really don't believe we can win TX regardless of who we run. It's like Florida - we aren't going to win with that sneaky Governor down there.

[Gothmog]

29. trump has a 39% approval rating in Texas

I am seeing a great deal of excitement on the ground. We have six Congressional Districts that are being targeted by the DCCC. The State Party needs 9 state house seats to flip the Texas House to blue and have Ms. T (Senfornia Thompson) be the next speaker (Ms T is one of my favorite politicians). We have candidates who have announced in two of the targeted seats in my county.

Greg Abbott tried a voter purge stunt that Chad Dunn (the outside counsel for the state party), the ACLU and the Texas Civil Rights Project block. We blocked a couple of voter suppression bills this cycle including SB 9 that was a horrible bill. Kirk Watson and the Texas Democrats in the Texas senate blocked Whitely as Secretary of State.

I see a great deal that makes me hopeful. We are gearing up to fight the GOP voter suppression efforts. In 2018, we had a great effort with 20+ attorneys in the state war room and people like me in all of the major counties running voter protection operations.

I think that Texas will turn blue. We got close in 2018 and there are grounds to believe that this may be the year. This will take a great deal of work and I am looking forward to the fight

[Gothmog]

36. The county party are excited by this polling

I am seeing some real excitement on the ground

[Gothmog]

39. Republicans Mobilize to Prevent Texas from Turning Blue

The Texas GOP is worried and the Texas Democratic Party are excited https://politicalwire.com/2019/06/12/republicans-mobilize-to-prevent-texas-from-turning-blue/

Washington Examiner: “Wealthy Republican donors are preparing a multimillion-dollar effort to register more than 1 million new GOP voters in Texas for 2020 amid anxiety that President Trump could be in more trouble in this reliably red state than some in the party realize.”[/div

[Gothmog]

27. After more than four decades, could a Democrat take Texas in a general election?

I voted for Jimmy Carter back in 1976 which was the last time Texas went blue

Link to tweet

[Cha]

28. Thanks for this, too..

I want who can kick the Psycho OUT!

[NoPasaran]

30. This is great to hear BUT. . .

I think just about every cycle there's been some early poll that shows we're on the verge of carrying the state for the national ticket or the whatever the big statewide race is that year. But in the end Lucy always manages to yank that football away. So I just can't get too excited yet, sorry.

[Cha]

31. K!

[GulfCoast66]

33. Still think Texas is Fools Gold.

I support Biden not because he is the best shot to win but because he suits me politically. A steady as you go liberal.

I think Biden can sweep the Midwest and even pick up Florida because he suits most Americans temperament and politics. But Texas is a bridge too far. I hope I am proved wrong.

The only place in my life I am not considered at flaming liberal is on DU!

I, like most Americans just want normalcy. With a Democratic House, White House and hopeful Senate we can further make most Americans see the theocratic fascist for what they are.

[helpisontheway]

34. Texas will not fool me again. It was not bright red in 2016 but

it was still red.

[Gothmog]

35. Texas is a battleground state

Link to tweet

[Gothmog]

38. This makes me smile

Link to tweet