** NEW ** Quinnipiac Poll (A- Rated) * Florida * Joseph Biden leads Trump by 9 points

[Skya Rhen]

In an early look at the 2020 presidential race in Florida, former Vice President Joseph Biden leads President Donald Trump 50 - 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders leads President Trump 48 - 42 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Matchups between Trump and other leading Democratic contenders are too close to call:
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 47 percent to Trump's 43 percent;
California Sen. Kamala Harris at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;
Former Texas U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;
44 percent for South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg to 43 percent for Trump



https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2629

[MineralMan]

1. It would be very good to win Florida.

That would be a clear sign that things were turning around.

Of course, on Election night, Florida is always the last state announced. They always seem to be late counting ballots there. I guess they're waiting to see how the count should turn out or something.

[Skya Rhen]

4. If anyone can do it, it's Joe...

[dsc]

11. It is a huge state and other than in 16

it was the most competitive top 8 state by far.

[Tarheel_Dem]

13. Exactly. And we don't need any "close calls" in FL again. We need the biggest margin of victory...

to protect us from theft.

[emmaverybo]

28. Was just gonna say--wide margins, widest possible is what we need, given the off set from

all interfering countries, state election officials, hacking, fraud and suppression. I would Betz Obama got even more votes than are credited to him.

[jayschool2013]

19. Time to build a wall around The Villages

No more reactionary Republicans can move from the north.

[SouthernProgressive]

22. Pretty sure we were one of the first states to announce in 2016, 2012 and 2008. NT

[True Blue American]

25. True, but if Joe wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pa

Plus the many Southern States that will make a big difference. Ohio did it for Obama so they could go either way. They love Sherrod Brown. Portman did not even bother to show up for the Dayton Mathews Town Hall and it was a good one.

[LakeArenal]

2. Yessssss😍

[onetexan]

8. K&R - Double YES!

[Kahuna7]

3. He's done, I tell ya. He's Done!

[LibFarmer]

5. Joe will win the GE in a landslide when he gets there.

The orange clown has no chance.

[Kahuna7]

6. He will have to. Russia and others will do their best to elect

the orange, man-baby.

[Skya Rhen]

7. Which is why we can't take a gamble with candidates whose numbers are within the margin of error

or whose lead against Trump is not the largest.

We. Can. Not. Take. That. Chance!

[Kahuna7]

10. Exactly.Duh. It's going to be rough. I'm not worried about trump

thinking he won't leave. I'm afraid of the gop senators waging a coup and would certify trump if the election is close. I'll never forget Trent Lott saying he didn't care what the FL recount results showed, he was going to certify bush anyway.

[peggysue2]

14. I agree!

We need a blowout not only to ensure the win but to foil any hijinks at the polls and/or with the machines. Much easier to cheat when the margins are slim. The Republicans have been quite willing to bend law and practice in their own direction. 2020 won't be any different.

[peggysue2]

15. PS:

Won't be any different but for Trump who is a proven liar and cheat.

[emmaverybo]

29. Ditto to what you said! We can not gamble on this. Wide appeal to widest electorate describes

Joe’s candidacy.

[Peacetrain]

9. If VP Joe takes Florida.. Welcome back America!!

Your long nightmare will be over with.. amazing good numbers

[NewJeffCT]

12. Gillum was ahead in many of the Florida polls

down the end, so don't start celebrating until Florida is called for the Democrat. The last Q poll in that race had Gillum up +7

[Skya Rhen]

16. Is it "Go Joe" or is it "Go Trump"? I know which side most of us are on...

[NewJeffCT]

18. It's great that Biden is ahead in Florida

but, Clinton was well ahead in Florida on October 28, 2016... then, the Comey letter came out on October 29.

[DownriverDem]

24. Really?

SMH

[NewJeffCT]

32. Here are the polls

before the comey letter - Clinton led in almost every poll by a small, but consistent margin




after the comey letter, Trump led in more polls and the final average was right around the amount he won by. Q poll went from Clinton +4 to even.

[BannonsLiver]

35. Hillary was never ahead of trump by 9 in FL at any point during that campaign

In virtually all those you cite she was slightly ahead within the MOE, behind or tied.

[NewJeffCT]

39. going further back

there were polls that had her up 8-13 points

[BannonsLiver]

40. Not in Florida.

[NewJeffCT]

41. Here are additional Florida polls, highlighting the 8-13 point Clinton leads

including one Republican poll

I did not also highlight the others above the MOE, though.

[NYMinute]

43. That was before Clinton was sabotaged nt

[emmaverybo]

33. Look. She was under FBI investigation at the time of her candidacy and that presented a known

problem. She was blameless; the whole thing was a nothingburger, but nonetheless. If Joe gets
done in, it will be by his own, so far trying pretty hard.
And of course, any of the Dem candidates could get a surprise from the Trump camp, which now includes “our” attorney general, and which is effectively keeping IC at bay so we can not depend on Trump crimes seeing the light of day.
Oh, and his open invitation for Oppo research, but again, any candidate will be a target.
Joe is the best vetted of all.

[HopeAgain]

26. Yes, they crawl out from under the rocks to vote for Trump in Fla.

I know people here who never voted before in their lives who came out and voted for Trump. Because racism.

[IronLionZion]

17. Florida election can be as weird as Florida man

where Dems can be ahead in the polls but some GOPer ends up winning the election

[Cha]

20. Mahalo, Skya!

[Skya Rhen]

30. Mahalo, Cha!!!

[sandensea]

21. The man!

[DownriverDem]

23. Why we must focus

on who can win the Electoral College and beat trump? If a Dem doesn't win in November 2020, we can kiss any progressive goals bye bye. Biden can beat trump and drive him crazy along the way.

[HopeAgain]

27. It's way too early to say that

with any certainty. For one thing, we have a year and a half of Biden gaffs to come.

[emmaverybo]

34. He has gaffed his way into many a heart his entire career. He's on notice now. But the problem

is what is happening here, in a microcosm, and will be happening all over the net.
But let’s think about the assault on Obama via making Reverend Wright an issue.
The most liberal of news hosts were chawing on that YouTube video, which gave an entirely false impression of Wright’s actual speech, news cycle after news cycle.
He overcame.
He also had a grass roots online army, a unit of which was called “media watch,” which debunked
and countered disinformation. Also, same group organized boycotts of advertisers, wrote to newspapers across the country, wrote to news producers and hosts.

[honest.abe]

36. "year and a half of Biden gaffs to come."

What is wrong with you? Why bash our likely nominee??

[honest.abe]

31. That is a good sign.

[Scurrilous]

37. Good news!

Thanks.

[Politicub]

38. Great numbers! K&r

[NYMinute]

42. Go Joe!!! K&R

[Jose Garcia]

44. Who decided that Quinnipiac's FL polling was A-rated?

They had both Gillium and Nelson up by 7 points. https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2585