Who's in and who's out of the next Dem debates?

[brooklynite]

Currently, 21 candidates have passed a modest qualification threshold for the July debates, either candidate hitting 1 percent in three qualifying polls or getting 65,000 donors. That’s one more candidate than the Democratic National Committee has said it will allow on stage across the two nights, meaning someone has to get cut.

The DNC’s tiebreakers prioritize candidates who hit both the polling and financial thresholds, followed by candidates who only have the polling benchmark, sorted by poll average, and then candidates who have hit only the donor mark

Fourteen candidates have crossed both of the thresholds, according to a POLITICO analysis, virtually guaranteeing their spot on stage on either July 30 or July 31: Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Kirsten Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O’Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Marianne Williamson and Andrew Yang.

That leaves seven candidates who have only crossed the polling threshold without a secure grasp on a debate-stage lectern. Some are marginally better off than others: John Delaney, John Hickenlooper and Tim Ryan all have polling averages slightly above 1 percentage point, meaning they rank ahead of the other candidates.

https://www.politico.com/amp/story/2019/07/05/democratic-debates-2020-september-1398973?__twitter_impression=true

[question everything]

1. Leave de Blasio out.

"But four Democrats sit at a polling average of just 1 percent, with only three slots to give to them: Michael Bennet, Bullock, Bill de Blasio and Swalwell."

I am also disappointed with Swalwell.

Still can't believe that the guru has made it. Thanks to Republicans, apparently.

[hlthe2b]

2. Fine, but leave Marianne Williamson out as well (sorry, I don't think Republican funded candidates

should benefit from their attempt to manipulate our primaries)... Not to mention how unqualified she is.

[bluewater]

3. Are Republicans affecting Williamson's Polling Numbers?

"Still can't believe that the guru has made it. Thanks to Republicans, apparently."

I know Republicans called on people to donate to her, but she qualified on the polling basis too.

And Polling takes precedence over donations to get on stage.

So, my question is: Are Republicans affecting Williamson's Polling Numbers?

How can that be? If Republicans are affecting her polling numbers, how many other polls are they affecting?

[question everything]

4. That's the big question

We don't know how many Republicans donate "only $1" to campaigns. We don't know how the polling are done; no one has polled me . Worse, we will have no control over Republicans voting in open primaries.

I am afraid that the Russia intervention will pale compared to the Republicans one.

[bluewater]

5. Are they polling only registered Democrats?

Or are they including "Democratic-leaning Independents'?

When I see polls that say "of Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents" I always wonder how they know if those "independents" aren't just really Republicans.

[question everything]

6. I don't know. On occasions I get a "survey" from the Democratic party -

national or state. But in order to participate I am expected to donate..

I am talking mail questionnaires..

[thesquanderer]

7. Out of Michael Bennet, Bullock, Bill de Blasio and Swalwell...

I surprisingly though de Blasio made the most notable contributions, despite interrupting too much.

Anyway, he seems the safest of the four at the moment, based on the following paragraph...

Because they’re all tied in a polling average, the next tiebreaker is the number of qualified polls they’ve scored. Swalwell has only reached the 1 percent mark in three qualifying polls. Bullock, meanwhile, is at five polls, Bennet is at six polls and de Blasio has eight.