Looking back at 5 months of RCP primary poll averages. Very little change.

[highplainsdem]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html


I used their graph to look at 2/28/2019 through 7/29/2019.


Biden: 30.5% on February 28. 31.3% today.

Harris: 11.5% then. 11% today.

Sanders and Warren combined have been roughly 30% total support for the last 5 months. The lowest points for their combined totals were when Biden's polling was highest. Around that time the combined support for Sanders and Warren was sometimes under 25%. It's at 29.1% today.

The change there has been Sanders going from getting 2/3 or more of that slice of the electorate to him getting approximately half. On February 28 their combined support was 27.5%, but that was Sanders 20.5% and Warren 7%. Today their combined support is 29.1%, but that's Warren 14.8% and Sanders 14.3%

I remember Nate Silver mentioning a while back that there really hadn't been that much change in the top candidates overall since March. He's right about that, except for the way the Sanders/Warren total is being divided between them.

[democratisphere]

1. Joe Biden is the solution to the WH PROBLEM.

[Skya Rhen]

2. Joe is very much wanted and needed.

[wyldwolf]

3. yet we're still told Biden hasn't "recovered" from the first debate

[Cha]

5. Gotta consider the

Last edited Tue Jul 30, 2019, 01:02 AM - Edit history (1)

sources on that one.

[Peacetrain]

4. K&R!!!!!!

[oasis]

6. People trust Joe.