Democratic Primaries

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts) Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:23 PM Sep 2019

New Harvard-Harris Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 16%, Warren 12%

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/HHP_August2019_Crosstabs_RegisteredVoters.pdf

The primary voter breakout is on page 151. Warren was at 24% in the IBD poll and is at 13% in this one. Seems as though she and Bernie seesaw quite a bit depending upon the poll. Biden’s numbers, with few exceptions hover between about 28 and 33%. Much more consistent.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New Harvard-Harris Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 16%, Warren 12% (Original Post) LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 OP

Harris is pretty consistent too. Kahuna7 Sep 2019 #1

Another C+ online poll, dressed up with the word "Harvard." n/t pnwmom Sep 2019 #2

Is it so out of line with the mean of polls? LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #3

I don't understand why anyone pays attention to it, when there are plenty pnwmom Sep 2019 #5

Simple. It's another [imperfect] data point that informs my understanding of the race as it LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #7

Part of the reason the numbers jump around could be that you're comparing apples to oranges. pnwmom Sep 2019 #8

I was looking for the poll rating... thx for posting Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #6

I did a riff on pollster ratings some days back that I'll try to find. LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #9

Thanks..interesting breakdown.. ESP. The Monmouth u poll that admitted they got it so wrong the Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #10

Thx for posting!! I did see the IBD poll number Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #4

Meh. Too early for this to mean much. Joe941 Sep 2019 #11

Good news! K&R! Thanks for posting this! highplainsdem Sep 2019 #12

Kahuna7

(2,531 posts)

1. Harris is pretty consistent too.

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:33 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pnwmom

(110,324 posts)

2. Another C+ online poll, dressed up with the word "Harvard." n/t

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:34 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)

3. Is it so out of line with the mean of polls?

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:37 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pnwmom

(110,324 posts)

5. I don't understand why anyone pays attention to it, when there are plenty

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Reply #3)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:38 PM

Sep 2019

of better polls out there.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)

7. Simple. It's another [imperfect] data point that informs my understanding of the race as it

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:43 PM

Sep 2019

stands at this particular point in time.

And Sanders’ and Warren’s numbers jump around quite a bit from any poll to any other poll.

Compare theirs to Biden’s going back a couple of months.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pnwmom

(110,324 posts)

8. Part of the reason the numbers jump around could be that you're comparing apples to oranges.

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Reply #7)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:48 PM

Sep 2019

Good polls to so-so polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(35,824 posts)

6. I was looking for the poll rating... thx for posting

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:38 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)

9. I did a riff on pollster ratings some days back that I'll try to find.

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #6)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:48 PM

Sep 2019

The upshot is that pollster ratings have little
to do with their predictive success.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=238230

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(35,824 posts)

10. Thanks..interesting breakdown.. ESP. The Monmouth u poll that admitted they got it so wrong the

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Reply #9)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 07:30 PM

Sep 2019

Last time. A+ poll.. accurate 80% of the time.

Wonder if this will harm their A+ rating

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(35,824 posts)

4. Thx for posting!! I did see the IBD poll number

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 06:37 PM

Sep 2019

Written about in the Hill, they do mention that other national polls are different with Biden at 30-32% EW at 17.4% then went on to point out RCP average has Biden’s lead at 13.5%

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Joe941

(2,848 posts)

11. Meh. Too early for this to mean much.

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 09:51 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(63,104 posts)

12. Good news! K&R! Thanks for posting this!

Reply to LincolnRossiter (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 09:52 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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