Warren leads Des Moines Register poll for first time

[Roland99]

Link to tweet

Yashar Ali 🐘
@yashar
For the first time, Elizabeth Warren leads the Des Moines Register poll

22% - Elizabeth Warren
20% - Joe Biden
11% - Bernie Sanders
9% - Pete Buttigieg
6% - Kamala Harris

Dominating in this poll:

Link to tweet

Taniel
✔
@Taniel
Warren leads Biden by 12% in combined 1st+2nd choice in the DMR/CNN poll of Iowa:

Warren 42%
Biden 30%
Sanders 21%
Buttigieg 18%
Harris 16%

2nd choices *very* important in Iowa; voters will be asked to select a new candidate if their first choice is below 15% so their caucus.

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. I predict a raucous caucus! Nt

[ritapria]

2. Biden is in 2nd Place

She is going to get more votes than Biden when the 15% rule goes into effect The 15% rule is applied in each voting precinct ...If your candidate doesn't get 15 % , you must choose your second favorite amongst the remaining candidates who got at least 15% in round one …..

[IronLionZion]

3. Warren can unite our liberals and inspire high turnout to defeat Trump

She has the plans and the energy to take it all the way.

[Joe941]

4. It doesnt mean much at this time.

[LovingA2andMI]

5. YES!!!!

Slow, steady and climbing. GO Elizabeth GO!

[B Stieg]

7. Warren won't only restore normalcy...

She'll help move us into the future! patriot: :

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

9. That would be great...an incremental moderate approach to get back to normalcy won't excite the base

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, welcome to the revolution!!!

[Baclava]

8. Wonderful! Take it to em! The more America sees of her, the stronger she gets

This is just the beginning, the race is on!

[aeromanKC]

10. Bernie should drop out and endorse Warren

Otherwise Biden wins. The longer Bernie stays in the race the more likely Biden wins the nomination.

[zentrum]

11. Agreed!

Can you imagine the momentum!

Good point about how he's hurting her. Particularly appreciate the generosity of your post since your candidate is Biden.

[aeromanKC]

13. Win Win

Either Biden or Warren is a win win. We have great candidates this cycle. Also great VP choices (love Harris, Pete, and Abrams just to name a few) as well as great cabinet choices: Biden SOS, Warren treasury, Harris AG, Inslee EPA, Bullock Interior etc etc.

Great cycle for the Dems!!

[videohead5]

14. I thought I saw

A poll like 3 or 4 days ago that had Biden on top in Iowa?

[aeromanKC]

15. Most polls

Except for this new one.

[videohead5]

16. Outlier

Things don't change that much in less than a week. We will know more in the next poll.

[DrFunkenstein]

18. Not So Much an Outlier as The Culmination of a Trend

Warren has been steadily gaining. It should not surprise anyone to see her go ahead. The only question is where does the climb slow down.

Considering Biden is running as the "inevitable" candidate, it doesn't do him any good to have that aura punctured. If anything, it could seriously exacerbate things for him unless he starts putting in significantly stronger performances. Running as Obama's wingman only gets you so far.

[Capt. America]

12. Good for her. Warren/Buttigieg 2020.

[DrFunkenstein]

19. Biden Was Already Saying He Doesn't Need Iowa - Never a Good Sign

And I'm not sure how Iowans responded to those comments.

[Skya Rhen]

20. Also, poll's electability criteria: 63% (seeks common ground with GOP); 28% (moves country to left)

This poll further shows 63% (could change mind); 20% (mind made up).


https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2019/09/22/iowa-poll-election-2020-iowa-caucus-elizabeth-warren-joe-biden-bernie-sanders-democrat-candidates/2370015001/

Snip...

Iowa’s likely Democratic caucusgoers say that nominating a candidate who has a strong chance of beating President Donald Trump is more important than nominating someone who shares their positions on major issues.

Sixty-three percent say defeating Trump is more important, and 31% say it’s more important to find someone who aligns with them on the issues. Six percent are unsure.

But what does electability look like to likely Democratic caucusgoers?
Asked which of two phrases better fits their definition of the more electable candidate, 74% choose a candidate who can excite new voters and get them to show up, compared to 16% who say it's someone who excites the Democratic base.

Sixty-three percent say a candidate who takes positions seeking to find common ground with Republicans is more electable than someone who takes positions moving the country to the left (28%).


Snip...

But the race is far from settled: Just one in five likely Democratic caucusgoers say their minds are made up, while 63% say they could still be persuaded to support a different candidate.