two new polls favor Biden....( edited title)

[quickesst]

Last edited Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:46 AM - Edit history (2)

My apologies to everyone who pointed out that I posted the wrong polls. I was trying to find the polls they were talking about on Morning Joe. When I found these, I did not do my due diligence and check the dates. if there is some other more appropriate way to admit my lack of due diligence, please let me know.

I was looking for the October CNN/SRMS poll.

Oct 17-20, 2019
424 RV
CNN/SSRS


Biden
34%

Warren
19%

Sanders
16%

Buttigieg
6

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/

Of course, polls at 538 vary

Again, I apologize for the lack of due diligence.
***************************************

My burden to Bare
Biden back on top, enjoying wide leads in two new polls

By QUINT FORGEY

08/28/2019 11:41 AM EDT

Two new polls show Joe Biden more than a dozen points ahead of his nearest rivals in the 2020 Democratic primary — further fortifying the former vice president’s front-runner status after an apparent outlier survey put his campaign on the defensive earlier this week.

Thirty-two percent of likely Democratic voters favor Biden as the party’s pick to take on President Donald Trump in next year’s election, according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll released Wednesday.

Biden similarly dominated a Quinnipiac University poll published later Wednesday morning, again achieving 32 percent support among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic.

Warren directly trails Biden in the Quinnipiac primary rankings with 19 percent, followed by Sanders at 15 percent, Harris at 7 percent and Buttigieg at 5 percent. Yang received 3 percent support, with no other candidate polling at more than 1 percent.

*******
Wednesday’s pair of polls are likely to bolster morale among Biden’s campaign team and deflect questions about his so-far steady standing in the crowded Democratic primary that emanated from a Monmouth University poll released Monday.

Joe Biden's resume is unmatched, but his past positions make him a target on the left.
See where he stands on all the issues »

That survey, which received some criticism for its comparatively small sample size, showed Biden, Sanders and Warren locked in a virtual three-way tie, with the two liberal senators each polling at 20 percent and Biden dropping behind with 19 percent.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/28/biden-leads-polls-1476649

[Celerity]

1. lol, this is from August, here is the new Quinnipiac Poll Warren 28, Biden 21, Sanders 15, Pete 10

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287322622

[quickesst]

2. So....

... since your new poll pretty much reflects the August poll, it does nothing to change the outcome of the other two polls
Since they only released the August poll this past Monday, I wonder why it took them so long.

[Dr Hobbitstein]

5. The new poll has Warren at 28%.

Last edited Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:06 AM - Edit history (1)

Your August poll has her at 19%.

Unsure how that’s the same.

[crazytown]

7. +1

[Celerity]

9. Warren was at 19% (not 15) in the August Qunnipiac poll, Biden 32, now is is Warren 28, Biden 21

but yes, you are so right, it is not at all the same or nearly the same

[Dr Hobbitstein]

17. You're right. Fixed. nt

[Celerity]

8. Number 1, they did NOT release the August poll 'this past Monday' it was released IN AUGUST

Your article is from August




Number two, there has been a big (20 points) shift in the poll

AUGUST



AND NOW

OCTOBER





You are trying to fob off 2 month old news are current and relevant

[BlueMTexpat]

3. Thanks for setting the

record straight!

Right now, I am concentrating more on actions than polls. But I am only human and can't help smiling a bit when I see Elizabeth doing well.

[Celerity]

10. yw!

[Dr Hobbitstein]

4. New?

That article is from August.

[crazytown]

6. The Quinnipiac poll was Warren 28, Biden 21, Sanders 15

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3646

[DownriverDem]

12. Please think

Who can win the Center/Left vote? It's not who I like or who you like. It's who can win the Center/Left vote.

[crazytown]

13. Thankfully, it is not my decision.

We are all talking at the ether. There's no worse feeling that having our nominee lose - Gore, Kerry, HRC. No-one here would consciously back a losing candidate. Who will win the nomination is up for debate.

[DownriverDem]

11. I wish folks

would understand that we are a Center/Left country. Biden is our best choice.

[kcr]

14. The Republicans win because they don't go for their version of safe

We aren't an ultra-right wing country, are we? That doesn't stop them from nominating right-wingers and winning. Nearly every time we go for the safe choice, we lose. Yes, the spoilers are the worst and I agree they always deserve a share of the blame, but going with the "safe" choice does, too.

[Act_of_Reparation]

16. I wish people read more David Hume.

But here we are.

[Dr Hobbitstein]

18. Hahaha! We are NOT a center-left country.

We don’t even have a center-left party. Republicans are far right, Dems are center-right.
Bernie and AOC (and to an extent Warren) are center-left.
The US’s Overton window is shifted to the right to the rest of the world. That used to be commonly accepted here on DU in the past.

[quickesst]

15. hey everybody

Please check out my edited OP. Thanks

[HeartlandProgressive]

19. Since you asked, changing the title of your OP would seem warranted.

[quickesst]

20. ok

[Sloumeau]

21. quickesst, thank you for posting this. Go, Joe, Go! :)

[quickesst]

23. when I am in error....

... I admit it. Lucky for me there were current polls reflecting the title of my post so I feel a little better about that.

[MustLoveBeagles]

22. Thanks for the correction

Don't beat yourself up too much over this. Mistakes happen. You fixed it and that's all that matters.

[quickesst]

24. thank you for that.

Got a little ahead of myself. Moral of the story? Never shoot from the hip.

[Gothmog]

25. @JoeBiden Leads by 10 in New @McLaughlinAssoc Poll

Link to tweet

[Thekaspervote]

26. Several current polls out this week that show Biden extending his lead or retaking the lead

@natesilver538

8 polling orgs (HarrisX, YouGov, Emerson, Quinnipiac, CNN, Morning Consult, Ipsos, SurveyUSA) have conducted a national poll since last week's debate. Here's an average of those polls with a comparison to the most recent pre-debate poll from the same pollster. Little has changed!

🚨 Awesome day of polling for Democratic frontrunner @JoeBiden!

National polls
@surveyusa +10
@MorningConsult +9
@Ipsos +7 (+9 over Trump)
Public Religion Research Institute +8

Iowa
@Suffolk_U +1

Minn.
@MasonDixonPoll +12 over Trump

[Thekaspervote]

27. No apologies needed!! It's easy to misread dates or data

Besides, there are several polls out this week that do indeed show Biden extending his lead or retaking the lead

[quickesst]

28. when the mistake was pointed out....

.... My first thought was that one way or another I was covered. I knew for a fact what the media had reported that morning.

[Thekaspervote]

29. You go girl... we'll have your back.. just like we do Joe's!