Warren cutting into Biden's lead in new SC 2020 Democratic poll

[bluewater]

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, surging nationally in recent weeks, is cutting into former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead in South Carolina’s Democratic presidential primary, a new poll shows.
Warren has taken leads in other early voting states Iowa and New Hampshire as Biden has struggled in debates and with questions about his son serving on foreign company boards.

Still, one constant remains: Biden is the top choice in the South’s first primary.

But Biden’s lead in South Carolina, which had hovered around 20 percentage points since the summer, has shrunk in a Post and Courier-Change Research poll released Thursday.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 13 percent and California Sen. Kamala Harris at 11 percent are the only two other candidates with double-digit results in South Carolina.

Biden’s support in Post and Courier-Change Research polls has fallen from a peak of 46 percent in May, soon after he formally entered the race. He lost 6 percentage points from the last poll taken in August.
…

The latest survey shows that Biden took a hit among women, especially African-Americans, months before the Feb. 29 primary.

He lost 13 percentage points among the crucial bloc who are part of the majority of S.C. Democratic primary voters. Biden is down 10 percentage points among all S.C. women.

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/warren-cutting-into-biden-s-lead-in-new-sc-democratic/article_3738ef56-f69f-11e9-97d4-9ff73bd65e23.html

[Celerity]

1. Decent poll (it is South Carolina after all) for Pete, up to 9%!

The biggest gains in the latest poll came from fifth- and sixth-place contenders, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and billionaire hedge fund manager Tom Steyer.

Buttigieg received 9 percent support, while Steyer, a constant presence on S.C. airwaves, nabbed 5 percent. Both added 4 percentage points since August.

Nice poll for Harris too, double digits.

[bluewater]

2. Yes, a good poll for Pete.

Personally, I never bought into the "Southern Black Church Ladies dislike Pete" narrative.

[HeartlandProgressive]

4. Bad math: 30% - 19% is 11%. Biden's lead in SC shrunk to 11% in this poll.

You posted this bad math:

So per the article Biden used to be at +20 percent.

Now he is at 30 percent to Warren’s 19 percent. Which means Biden is now at +21 percent.

But...

30% - 19% = 11%. not 21%

So, Biden's lead has shrunk, in this poll, to 11% over Warren in South Carolina.

That's a big crack in Joe's Southern Firewall, don't you think?

[emulatorloo]

5. I was never good at math, especially w out sufficient caffeine lol. Thanks for the correction!

I’ll delete my dumb post.

FWIW my top three are Warren Biden and Buttigieg. Excited about all of them.

[Hav]

6. We all make those little mistakes from time to time,

no need to go on like that and also edit the post to include the post of the OP in case the poster wants to correct his mistake. A gentle hint would have been sufficient for such a minor thing.

[bluewater]

7. We all make mistakes.

But clarity matters when pointing them out.

Providing context is usually considered a good thing.

In any case, the poster decided to self-delete, which makes including the original context seem even more appropriate.

But all in all... a tempest in a tea cup all around.

[HeartlandProgressive]

8. "no need to go on like that"

Well I didn't think it was "going on", but, being responsive to concerns for decorum, I removed the "WOW" from the post title.

[bluewater]

9. We all make those little mistakes

Your minorly overly robust reply is the type of thing that happens a lot, no need to fret about it.

Thank you for pointing out the math mistake. There is quite a difference between a +21% Biden lead and a +11% one.

[abqtommy]

10. I'd be more excited about this polling business if I knew that we were guaranteed a

fair and secure election.