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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Business Insider Poll: Undecided general-election voters most like Andrew Yang
Obviously not too much stock in this since only democrats get to choose who is on the democratic ticket but since there's a new name at the front I thought it would be worth sharing the rationale.
Biden, Yang, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, were notably the only Democrats with net positive support among undecided general-election voters in the past three Insider polls, which ran September 25-26, October 3-4, and October 16-17.
Typically, we concentrate only on the fraction of Democrats who would be satisfied in the event a contender became the nominee. But because of additional polling questions we ask related to impeachment, we also knew which respondents had not yet decided whether they would support a Republican or a Democrat in the 2020 general election.
It's a subset that is of particular interest as Democrats argue for appeal beyond their party, and its support seems elusive for all but two contenders.
Of the 268 undecided voters who knew of Yang, 46% said they would be satisfied with him as the nominee and 24% said they would not be satisfied, giving him positive net support of 21 percentage points among general-election voters who knew him and had not decided whether to vote Democrat or Republican.
Yang is possibly the most politically distinct candidate in the race and this particular survey result shows how much it works in his favor.
A political outsider, Yang is making waves in the primary by drawing on his unique expertise as an entrepreneur and businessman to sound the alarm about the rise of mass automation in America a problem that, in his view, few other 2020 candidates or politicians have substantively addressed or tacked.
Typically, we concentrate only on the fraction of Democrats who would be satisfied in the event a contender became the nominee. But because of additional polling questions we ask related to impeachment, we also knew which respondents had not yet decided whether they would support a Republican or a Democrat in the 2020 general election.
It's a subset that is of particular interest as Democrats argue for appeal beyond their party, and its support seems elusive for all but two contenders.
Of the 268 undecided voters who knew of Yang, 46% said they would be satisfied with him as the nominee and 24% said they would not be satisfied, giving him positive net support of 21 percentage points among general-election voters who knew him and had not decided whether to vote Democrat or Republican.
Yang is possibly the most politically distinct candidate in the race and this particular survey result shows how much it works in his favor.
A political outsider, Yang is making waves in the primary by drawing on his unique expertise as an entrepreneur and businessman to sound the alarm about the rise of mass automation in America a problem that, in his view, few other 2020 candidates or politicians have substantively addressed or tacked.
Across the three Insider polls, Biden had positive net support among undecided general-election voters of 7 percentage points among the 620 voters who knew of him, with 42% of voters supporting him compared with 35% who didn't support him.
The third-best-performing Democrat, Buttigieg, has a net positive support of 2 percentage points, with 32% of general-election voters supporting him compared with 29% who do not within the poll's margin of error.
General-election voters polled by Insider don't overwhelmingly support most other Democrats. Our polling found that:
Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have slightly negative net support among general-election voters at 2 percentage points underwater. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard's net support is negative 1 percentage point. (All of those candidates' levels of net support are within the margin of error of the poll.)
Sen. Kamala Harris is underwater by 13 percentage points, and Tom Steyer and former HUD Secretary Julián Castro are both underwater by 14 percentage points.
Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke is underwater among general-election voters by 17 percentage points, and Sen. Cory Booker is underwater by 20 percentage points.
Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have slightly negative net support among general-election voters at 2 percentage points underwater. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard's net support is negative 1 percentage point. (All of those candidates' levels of net support are within the margin of error of the poll.)
Sen. Kamala Harris is underwater by 13 percentage points, and Tom Steyer and former HUD Secretary Julián Castro are both underwater by 14 percentage points.
Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke is underwater among general-election voters by 17 percentage points, and Sen. Cory Booker is underwater by 20 percentage points.
https://www.businessinsider.com/undecided-general-election-voters-prefer-biden-yang-2020-democrats-2019-10?r=US&IR=T
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Business Insider Poll: Undecided general-election voters most like Andrew Yang (Original Post)
Otto Lidenbrock
Oct 2019
OP
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)1. Interesting
Thanks for posting.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,839 posts)2. Another rich businessman with no political experience.
Must be a lot of slow learners out there.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redqueen
(115,103 posts)3. Color me unsurprised.
We are an extremely polarized electorate. Yang's policies are seen as pragmatic solutions from someone who appeals to people who are fed up with the polarization.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
thesquanderer
(11,992 posts)4. re: "since only democrats get to choose who is on the democratic ticket"
Not entirely true. Many states have open or semi-open primaries.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,558 posts)5. 42% say they would vote for Biden!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden