SC Poll (Change Research, C+): Biden 30, Warren 19, Sanders 13

[UncleNoel]

https://www.changeresearch.com/south-carolina-poll-october-15-21
The Post and Courier/Change Research

Was this posted? Anyway, here it is
South Carolina Poll: October 15-21, 2019

Biden, Warren, and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in South Carolina

Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary with 30%. He is followed by Elizabeth Warren (19%), Bernie Sanders (13%), Kamala Harris (11%), Pete Buttigieg (9%), Tom Steyer (5%), Andrew Yang (4%), Tulsi Gabbard (3%), Cory Booker (3%), and Amy Klobuchar (3%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less.

Key Takeaways: ​​

Joe Biden (30%), Elizabeth Warren (19%), and Bernie Sanders (13%) lead among Democratic primary voters in South Carolina after the October Democratic primary debate.
Sanders leads among 18-34 year-old voters; Biden leads among voters 35 years and older.
Among black voters, Biden (38%) has a 21-point lead over Harris (17%), followed by Warren (12%). Warren (26%) leads Biden (20%) among white voters, followed by Sanders (17%).

Change Research surveyed 1,683 likely general election voters in South Carolina, including 731 likely Democratic primary voters, after the fourth Democratic primary debates. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following the race to 2020. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings - inquire about purchasing the full poll.

[Stuy]

1. Change Research has the largest anti-Biden house effect

If his lead 11 in this poll, you can be certain that it is much higher than that.

[NurseJackie]

3. That's good information to know! Thanks!

Looks like BS continues to struggle in South Carolina. We've known all along that his message just isn't connecting with SC's AA and POC communities. Even when his rallies were being held in majority black cities, in an historically black church, located in a predominantly black neighborhood... the ethnic diversity of those in attendance was worse than in Vermont. He's clearly been rejected and snubbed.

All I'm saying is that without being able to win Southern states like SC, he'll never be able to capture the nomination. And... if this poll is skewed against Biden, then I think it's safe to presume that it gives an unfair advantage to the rest, and therefor the numbers for the BS campaign are likely even MORE embarrassing that what's shown here.

But it's just one poll... the best indicators are when someone considers multiple polls and looks at trends (rather than a snapshot of a moment in time). Even then, even when doing just that, it's easy to see that the trends do not favor BS. Our nominee will be Biden or Warren, not BS.

[UncleNoel]

4. It is a poll that comes up with odd results elsewhere. I am not in cluding C polls in my national

Averages.

[UncleNoel]

2. You can compare it with other SCpolls here:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/

[Skya Rhen]

5. I suspect that Change Research is biased toward Warren, based on their polling trends.

[LeftTurn3623]

6. Looks like Bidens support in SC is falling but still has a big lead

Surprised Warren & Pete are as high as they are

and really looking at SC now is so misleading. These numbers will change a lot depending on the results in Iowa unfold.

If Biden wins Iowa he will blow everyone away in SC but if someone like Pete pulls off an upset in Iowa or EW wins in Iowa the SC numbers will change a lot

[Stuy]

7. No. It doesn't look that way

Because you're relying on only one pollster which has Biden doing worse than other pollsters in any state they poll.

[Sloumeau]

8. UncleNoel, thank you so much for posting this. Joe seems in good shape. :)