New ABC/WaPo poll finds Biden's supporters much more committed to him than Warren's are to her

[highplainsdem]

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1208a32020Democrats.pdf

MOVE? –Current standings are not predictive; there’s plenty of room for movement. Indeed about half of leaned Democrats, 53 percent, either say they’d consider another candidate (47 percent) or have no current preference (6 percent).

Warren’s supporters are not highly committed; 65 percent say they’d consider someone else. That compares with 43 percent among Biden’s supporters and 50 percent among supporters of all other candidates combined. (The sample size of Sanders supporters is too small to dice.)

Who might their second choices be? Current Biden supporters divide chiefly between Sanders (31 percent) and Warren (26 percent) as their fallback preference, with 8 percent apiece for Harris and Amy Klobuchar and 7 percent for Buttigieg. Warren voters go more for Sanders (36 percent) than Biden (17 percent) as their second choice, with 11 percent each for Harris and Buttigieg and 6 percent for Julián Castro.

Among all leaned Democrats who support someone other than Biden or Warren, second choice preferences divide between Biden, 24 percent and Warren, 23 percent, with all others in the single digits.

So Biden's supporters are most certain of their preference. And Biden is as likely as Warren to be the second choice of voters who currently prefer one of the other candidates.

This is similar to what Morning Consult has been finding in its polling of voters' 2nd, 3rd and 4th choices. Warren doesn't have a significant 2nd-choice advantage over Biden.

I know there have been some polls indicating Warren is much more popular than Biden as a second choice. But this is a new A+ rated poll.

And I expect to see Warren's numbers fall as more people react to her proposals for MFA.

[Gothmog]

1. I am very committed to Joe Biden

I met Joe at a fundraiser after the Houston debate and really like him

[highplainsdem]

7. I first changed my preference from Undecided to Joe Biden here because he'd come under

so many unfair attacks last spring that I wanted to add my preference to my defenses of him.

And although I was also considering some of the other candidates then, none of them are as qualified and experienced as Biden, as able to handle everything a president has to handle on day one.

And he''s the most electable, and IMO this will be a close election, and it would be foolish to cast a primary vote for a candidate who doesn't poll best against Trump.

I don't care if an ultra-progressive candidate might run up more Democratic votes in safe Democratic strongholds.

We need a strong liberal nominee who can also win the electoral college, and I don't think any of the other candidates have nearly as good a chance of doing that as Biden has.

[LakeArenal]

9. Just about the same here

Up close and personal. Sure wish I’d gotten a hug tho. This was before the big nothing about hugs from Joe.

[Thekaspervote]

2. This is exactly what we need to win! Commitment

[J_William_Ryan]

3. I'm very committed to getting rid of Trump,

hence my support for Biden.

[Butterflylady]

4. I'm as committed to Biden

As i am to Al Franken. And that's the truth!!!!!!

[LakeArenal]

10. Me too. And I have been punished for my support of Al

Supposedly I am being mean to Democrats
For not forgetting what they did to Al.

[beastie boy]

5. It is more than commitment

It is a healthy sense of self-preservation.

When vermin has invaded your house, you think of getting rid of them first, before making plans to renovate the kitchen.

[randr]

6. I would suggest that Bidens supporters are

more afraid of a Trump win.
As we all should be

[highplainsdem]

8. I don't think Biden supporters are any more afraid of a Trump win than other Democrats are.

We're just more practical about electability.

[randr]

11. I think some supporters of some Democratic

candidates care more about dogma than the over all reality that we are living in a fascist state with a race supremacist destroying the institutions that protect us with the help of our enemies.

[LongtimeAZDem]

12. That's part of it, certainly, but I, for one, also see him not only as the most qualified,

but also as the one most able to undo the mess created by the current occupant and actually bring D.C. back to the process of governing.

[randr]

17. I tend to agree on this point

It will be important to fix what is broke before we dive into "issues"

[Demsrule86]

15. I would agree. I think there are some on the left that think out of the ashes of another Trump win,

will come some sort of progressive utopia.. the burn it all down contingent. I do not agree with this scenario as the GOP will almost certainly replace Justice Ginsberg.

[Stuy]

13. That's probably because of the overlap with Bernie

Bernie and Warren present problems to each other

[Demsrule86]

14. I think her numbers are already falling which is why Mayor Pete is suddenly 'surging'/

[BeyondGeography]

18. Lol...Biden is sinking like a stone in IA and NH because of Pete

Where do you come up with this stuff?

[Demsrule86]

21. The polls don't reflect that...and New Hampshire is in her neck of the woods...but he is close

enough as for Iowa I have no idea the polls were all over the place...but small white caucus (undemocratic state) a big who cares...although I see signs that he will pull ahead. I don't understand where you get your stuff...as Warren had a bad week despite the media support she enjoys.

[4139]

16. Moderate to conservative Democrats didn't have other options, progressives have lots of options

[Cha]

19. Warren's supporters are not highly committed; 65 percent say they'd consider someone else.

That compares with 43 percent among Biden’s supporters and 50 percent among supporters of all other candidates combined"

Interesting.

[Scurrilous]

20. K&R