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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 01:29 PM

 

Emerson National Poll 17-20 November: Bernie 27% (+2), Biden 27% (-), Warren 20% (-1), Buttigieg 7%

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/november-national-poll-support-for-impeachment-declines-biden-and-sanders-lead-democratic-primary

Senator Bernie Sanders is gaining momentum in the race for the Democratic nomination, increasing 2 points from October to at 27%. Former Vice President Joe Biden is also at 27%, holding steady from October. Senator Elizabeth Warren is in third place at 20%, down a point. Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 7% and Andrew Yang rounds out the top 5 at 4%. All other candidates are below 4%.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 01:36 PM

1. How 'bout that!

 

I mean, Biden is still ahead in the averages.

But things just got a lot more interesting - especially coming so close to Iowa.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 01:44 PM

2. This is nothing big. Emerson has been a quasi-outlier throughout the polling process, and....

 

...considering their MOA this is just about where the "top" three candidates have been since September.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 01:53 PM

3. Emerson produces Pro-Bernie outliers

 

On the other hand , other polling organizations consistently place Bernie in the 12% support range nationwide ..The truth is somewhere in between Emerson's 27% and 12%... Perhaps 19%
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 02:48 PM

4. Go Bernie!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 03:12 PM

5. Surprised to see Sanders getting so much traction with Latino voters.

 

He struggled a little bit there last time around.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Aaron Pereira (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 03:17 PM

6. A bit, but by the end of the election he had gained quite a bit of ground.

 

His campaign has focused on gaining their support this go around.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Aaron Pereira (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 03:18 PM

7. Last time around most Americans didn't know Bernie until late in the game.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Uncle Joe (Reply #7)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 03:42 PM

8. That's often an excuse used by bad campaigns.

 

Throw in a tablespoon of media-bias and a dash of poor polling methodology, and you'll hit the trifecta of rationalizations.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to LanternWaste (Reply #8)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 03:45 PM

9. Bernie was leading in national polls by June 2016 despite campaigning against...

 

...one of the most well-known politicians in history. There's merit to the argument people didn't know who he was throughout most of the campaign. Buttigieg is facing the same problem with communities of color now.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Uncle Joe (Reply #7)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 08:20 PM

11. IMO Nevada is going to be particularly important this year.

 

All the candidates should be looking to convince Latino voters.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 07:14 PM

10. Dems had better hope this poll is wrong, since it shows Trump with net approval rather than

 

disapproval, and support for impeachment dropping.

This particular Emerson poll shows Trump with an approval rating up 4 points since last month, and a couple points higher even than Rasmussen Reports is finding (and Rasmussen Reports typically shows a higher approval rating for Trump than any other poll finds).
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Thu Nov 21, 2019, 08:21 PM

12. It's clearly an outlier as it has been for months.

 

It's unlikely that all of the other polls are 7-15% off on Sanders. No one else has had him higher than 20% in months.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)


Response to HerbChestnut (Original post)

Sat Nov 23, 2019, 02:10 AM

14. 26 % of the Poll samle is is getting their information from FOX NEWS !! Sure Sanders is doing well

 

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