What We Know About Tulsi Gabbard's Base

[RandySF]

So what do we know about Gabbard’s base? For one thing, it’s overwhelmingly male —according to The Economist’s polling with YouGov, her support among men is in the mid-single digits, while her support among women is practically nonexistent.

This trend is evident in other recent polls as well. Last week’s Quinnipiac poll of Iowa found Gabbard at 5 percent among men and 1 percent among women, and Quinnipiac’s new survey of New Hampshire found her at 9 percent among men and 4 percent among women. A late October national poll from Suffolk University found her at 6 percent among men and 2 percent among women.

Her predominantly male support shows up in other ways, too. An analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics found that only 24 percent of Gabbard’s itemized contributions had come from female donors,1 the smallest percentage of any candidate in the race. And while she doesn’t lead on the prediction markets, which tend to skew heavily young and male, as of publication, bettors do give her a slightly better chance of winning the Democratic nomination than Sen. Kamala Harris on PredictIt, though still not better than internet favorite Andrew Yang.

Gabbard’s supporters are also likely to fall outside of traditional Democratic circles. Her supporters, for instance, are more likely to have backed President Trump in 2016, hold conservative views or identify as Republican compared to voters backing the other candidates. An early November poll from The Economist/YouGov found that 24 percent of Democratic primary voters who voted for Trump in 2016 backed Gabbard. By comparison, 12 percent of these voters backed Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 11 percent backed Biden and 10 percent backed Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Primary voters who identified as conservative also overwhelmingly backed Gabbard in that poll (16 percent) — only Biden and Harris enjoyed more support from this group (27 percent and 17 percent, respectively).

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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-we-know-about-tulsi-gabbards-base/

[rampartc]

1. how is this a negative?

"Gabbard’s supporters are also likely to fall outside of traditional Democratic circles. Her supporters, for instance, are more likely to have backed President Trump in 2016, hold conservative views or identify as Republican compared to voters backing the other candidates. "

if that were said of biden or Bloomberg he might be praised for "working across the aisle."

[betsuni]

2. Biden and Bloomberg don't call Democrats corrupt rotten warmongers.

Doing so is not "working across the aisle," it's promoting "both sides" propaganda to help the people across the aisle.

[thesquanderer]

5. The article/post is not positive OR negative. It's just information. (n/t)

[applegrove]

3. Just like with Sarah Palin. Republican men were attracted to her too.

[Crowman2009]

4. I've never seen her do interviews with any Progressive radio shows or websites.

Last edited Sun Nov 24, 2019, 11:29 AM - Edit history (1)

Michelangelo Signorelli also said she has never had an interview with any of the shows on the SiriusXM Progress channel.

[PatSeg]

8. She is so obviously not a Democrat

She really doesn't even pretend to be. I wonder what voters in Hawaii think about her.

[Funtatlaguy]

6. My staunch GOP brother loves her. That says it all.

He says that she’s the Only Dem candidate he could vote for.

[Kaiserguy]

7. So if she runs as a independent which I can see her doing

hopefully she will hurt Trump more than us.