Democratic Primaries

crazytown

(7,277 posts) Fri Nov 29, 2019, 11:57 PM Nov 2019

Bernie Sanders primary support - unsinkable?

Last edited Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:28 AM - Edit history (1)

One the RCP averages, Bernie Sander's support has fallen (marginally) below 15% on three occasions - in the immediate aftermath of VP Biden's announcement, during Kamala's "that little girl was me" sugar hit and at the height of Warren's surge. Like DU's rankings, Sanders' numbers are extremely solid; not even a heart attack could take him down.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

18 replies

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Bernie Sanders primary support - unsinkable? (Original Post) crazytown Nov 2019 OP

His narrow range may also indicate that he has a low ceiling. TwilightZone Nov 2019 #1

Holly Otterbein: "Sanders and Warren voters have astonishingly little in common" crazytown Nov 2019 #5

But, do they have more in common than Warren and Buttigieg supporters? TwilightZone Nov 2019 #9

Yup & Sanders will only go up from here. He's steadily climbing as his message gains in popularity. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #2

From where he is, there's no place to go but up. But as for the "steadily climbing"? He..... George II Nov 2019 #4

The 19.5% was due to an Emerson poll crazytown Nov 2019 #7

But in reality, he's definitely NOT "steadily climbing"! George II Nov 2019 #11

No. Not steadily climbing. crazytown Nov 2019 #12

+1 myohmy2 Nov 2019 #13

... NYMinute Nov 2019 #15

Blowing smoke redstateblues Nov 2019 #14

if ya like being in 2nd or 3rd its good lol nt msongs Nov 2019 #3

The problem is that Sanders has already lost his support... brooklynite Nov 2019 #6

Zero chance I support Sanders in the primary Happy Hoosier Nov 2019 #8

Yup still_one Nov 2019 #10

This NYMinute Nov 2019 #16

In the end voters will be voting in electability Gothmog Nov 2019 #17

But only 24% actually supported Biden in the same poll. crazytown Nov 2019 #18

TwilightZone

(25,456 posts)

1. His narrow range may also indicate that he has a low ceiling.

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:04 AM

Nov 2019

Which would be a problem.

I'm a bit surprised that he hasn't picked up more of the 10% or so that Warren has lost since her peak. It seems that Mayor Pete is picking up a chunk of it, which is also a little surprising.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

5. Holly Otterbein: "Sanders and Warren voters have astonishingly little in common"

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #1)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:13 AM

Nov 2019

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/12/sanders-warren-voters-2020-1408548

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TwilightZone

(25,456 posts)

9. But, do they have more in common than Warren and Buttigieg supporters?

Reply to crazytown (Reply #5)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:21 AM

Nov 2019

That would be the relevant question.

Also, her headline is somewhat misleading. Their supporters have a lot of things in common, probably a solid majority of factors and stances. There are certainly some key differences, but politically, they are certainly not polar opposites. Demographics isn't all there is to commonality.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)

2. Yup & Sanders will only go up from here. He's steadily climbing as his message gains in popularity.

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:06 AM

Nov 2019

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

4. From where he is, there's no place to go but up. But as for the "steadily climbing"? He.....

Reply to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #2)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:12 AM

Nov 2019

...was at 19.5 a week ago, at 17.8 yesterday. How is that "steadily climbing"?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

7. The 19.5% was due to an Emerson poll

Reply to George II (Reply #4)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:15 AM

Nov 2019

reporting Sanders at 27%. Emerson polls have been outliers for Sanders' support.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

11. But in reality, he's definitely NOT "steadily climbing"!

Reply to crazytown (Reply #7)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:24 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

12. No. Not steadily climbing.

Reply to George II (Reply #11)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:26 AM

Nov 2019

Warren's supporters are not flocking to him.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

myohmy2

(3,155 posts)

13. +1

Reply to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #2)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:31 AM

Nov 2019

...Bernie's doing fine...

...they'll all be shocked when Bernie starts sweeping the primaries...

…Bernie will never get fair treatment or a fair shake from the 'system', so don't even look for it...

…but what Bernie offers IS resonating, big time...

...watch the polls...

...election day polls...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

15. ...

Reply to myohmy2 (Reply #13)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 01:17 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

14. Blowing smoke

Reply to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #2)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 01:03 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

msongs

(67,390 posts)

3. if ya like being in 2nd or 3rd its good lol nt

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:07 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

brooklynite

(94,489 posts)

6. The problem is that Sanders has already lost his support...

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:14 AM

Nov 2019

In 2016, Sanders had about 43% of the Democratic vote. This time around his has less than half of that with no sign of recovering.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Happy Hoosier

(7,277 posts)

8. Zero chance I support Sanders in the primary

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #6)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:17 AM

Nov 2019

He has demonstrated terrible judgement in staffing his campaign.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,116 posts)

10. Yup

Reply to Happy Hoosier (Reply #8)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:23 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

16. This

Reply to Happy Hoosier (Reply #8)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 01:18 AM

Nov 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Gothmog

(145,079 posts)

17. In the end voters will be voting in electability

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 01:38 AM

Nov 2019

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

18. But only 24% actually supported Biden in the same poll.

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #17)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 03:21 AM

Nov 2019

Even with the threat of trump's election - 22% wanted something else. If Biden appealed more to younger and college educated voters, he would be unstoppable. But he doesn't.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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