Looks like Iowa is shifting to the center ...

[Peacetrain]

I wonder if other states that are polling now are seeing the same dynamic?.

[mysteryowl]

1. It all depends on the media and who they want to highlight.

[Peacetrain]

2. Iowa always starts far left.. and usually shifts to the center just before caucus

Its an early move this time. Is it just us? I think Trump is in much bigger trouble than he ever thought. And a cornered rat is a dangerous thing.

[highplainsdem]

3. Good!

[judeling]

4. Don't misread the polls

it is not a shift to the center, it is a shift (if it is a shift) to safety. And it can flip on a dime.
Right now Biden is getting a bit of a rally effect as people come to his defense that is not a long lasting effect.
Buttigieg continues to benefit from a certain amount of newness and as he gets more focus that could change quickly.

There is a lot of Warren's former support sitting with Mayor Pete right now. If any part of that starts to shift back the swing to moderate swings the other way.

[Happy Hoosier]

16. Not sure this is just a rally effect.

Biden is campaigning harder and with more passion lately.

He's not in my top 3 right now, but I am pleased that he is finally campaigning like he means it. I think voters respond to that.

[left-of-center2012]

5. I think the average American voter is moderate

Hopefully extremism is out in 2020.

In my humble opinion.

[INdemo]

6. I disagree. In 2016 Iowa was a virtual tie

The Caucus Delegate count was split between Hillary and Sanders.
There was a Recount started and Bernie Sanders was winning the Delegate count shortly after the recount process started.
In stepped Debbie Wasserman Schultz the DNC chair and stopped the recount and declared Hillary the winner.
This action pissed a lot of Democrats off and they never got over it.
As for Bernie Sanders and his campaign, well there was a lot of hell raised but the media didn't give Sanders protests much air time.
So as far as Iowa Democrats favoring a candidate to the Center , not so.

[Peacetrain]

7. I'm a Iowa Democrat... and I talk to Democrats across the state all the time..

Edit to add.. I have never seen us move back towards the center so early before.

[SharonClark]

8. And the tactics of Sanders and his supporters in Iowa really pissed off a different

segment of Iowa Democrats. Tactics like vilifying Hillary, dissing the Democratic party, and whining about DWS.

[redqueen]

9. None of which justifies DWS pulling a Bush v Gore tactic like she did. nt

[Gothmog]

10. You may be right

Link to tweet

[Cha]

11. Once again.. Thanks, Goth, for the the Tweet!

"8 day No Malarkey tour"?

[UncleNoel]

12. Good News, Goth. Thanks. It is worth a separate OP.

[UncleNoel]

13. It was on Face the Nation. Here is the link.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democratic-polls-2020-pete-buttigieg-rises-iowa-new-hampshire-biden-atop-delegate-hunt-latest-battleground-tracker/

Not up yet on 538, etc.

[Tarheel_Dem]

14. The tour is obviously going well, and Joe got a lot of attention after being trolled at that...

campaign stop. I know some people will insist that the questioner was really a Dem who is genuinely "concerned" about Hunter Biden & Burisma, when most of us know different. Go Joe!

[UncleNoel]

15. MOE +/- 4.1, So it is too close to call, buty the edge is to Biden, Sanders, and Buttigieg.

In New Hampshire, Warren is first at 32,, Biden second at 22 followed by Sanders 20 and Buttigieg 16. MOE +/- 5.

So Warren clearly ahead with Biden and Sanders within the MOE for second withthe edge to Biden. Buttigieg is down somewhat from his surg.

[Gothmog]

17. This makes me smile

Link to tweet