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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Biden holds a big lead over Trump with a key demographic: Cynics
Biden is doing better with voters who dislike both trump and Biden compared to how Clinton fared. Biden is the most electable candidate that the party has available
Link to tweet
Sure, partisans are generally enthusiastic about their partys nominee, but in 2016, given how unpopular both candidates were, a sizable number of voters who cast ballots said they liked neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton. According to exit polling conducted that year, about 1 in 5 voters said they liked neither Trump nor Clinton, about nine times as many as said they liked both major-party candidates.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
That became important, given how close the 2016 election ended up being. As it turns out, while people who liked Trump and didnt like Clinton voted heavily for Trump (as youd expect), the current president also had an edge among people who disliked both him and Clinton. He won those voters by 17 points nationally and by margins in the closest states that were likely enough to hand him the electoral college victory he needed.*
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
....The split between those who like or dont like the candidates is remarkably similar to 2016. Trump is the only candidate liked by 36 percent of respondents, same as the percentage of voters three years ago. Biden is the only one liked by 41 percent the same percentage of exit poll respondents who said the same of Clinton. The group of like-neithers is slightly smaller, at 12 percent.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
How do they vote? According to Quinnipiac, they prefer Biden by a wide margin. This is a relatively small group of people, so the margin of error is fairly large, but Bidens margin is large enough that it doesnt matter.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
Note that only 10 percent say theyd vote third party, half the percentage of the same group that said that in 2016. Another 9 percent say they wouldnt vote at all.
What we see when we compare those numbers to 2016 is a flip in sentiment among the cynical voters. That year, Trumps support among the like-neithers was about the same as his overall percentage; it was Clinton whose numbers plunged. In Quinnipiacs poll, Biden holds strong with that group, while Trumps numbers drop off a cliff.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
That became important, given how close the 2016 election ended up being. As it turns out, while people who liked Trump and didnt like Clinton voted heavily for Trump (as youd expect), the current president also had an edge among people who disliked both him and Clinton. He won those voters by 17 points nationally and by margins in the closest states that were likely enough to hand him the electoral college victory he needed.*
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
....The split between those who like or dont like the candidates is remarkably similar to 2016. Trump is the only candidate liked by 36 percent of respondents, same as the percentage of voters three years ago. Biden is the only one liked by 41 percent the same percentage of exit poll respondents who said the same of Clinton. The group of like-neithers is slightly smaller, at 12 percent.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
How do they vote? According to Quinnipiac, they prefer Biden by a wide margin. This is a relatively small group of people, so the margin of error is fairly large, but Bidens margin is large enough that it doesnt matter.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
Note that only 10 percent say theyd vote third party, half the percentage of the same group that said that in 2016. Another 9 percent say they wouldnt vote at all.
What we see when we compare those numbers to 2016 is a flip in sentiment among the cynical voters. That year, Trumps support among the like-neithers was about the same as his overall percentage; it was Clinton whose numbers plunged. In Quinnipiacs poll, Biden holds strong with that group, while Trumps numbers drop off a cliff.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1440
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Biden holds a big lead over Trump with a key demographic: Cynics (Original Post)
Gothmog
Dec 2019
OP
This is great!! If moscowmitch thinks holding Biden hostage while the senate trial is going on...
Thekaspervote
Dec 2019
#2
Cha
(297,771 posts)1. But but some are so
"worried" about trump's manufactured Impeachment inducing Bullshit against Biden.
And, More.. see it for the ******* Bullshit it is.
Thank you, Goth!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,803 posts)2. This is great!! If moscowmitch thinks holding Biden hostage while the senate trial is going on...
looks like he might not get the bigger picture.....
But when youre a turtle that seldom comes out of your shell...oh well
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)3. There are NO cynics when our democracy is at stake, only fools.
And destroyers.
And people looking for excuses not to vote will listen and I'll be rich and famous.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden