Buttigieg's problem with nonwhite Dems may be getting worse

[Gothmog]

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After rising in the national polls for a while, Buttigieg seems to have taken a step back. He fell from 11% in our last poll to 8% in this one.

Part of Buttigieg's problem is he continues to pull basically no nonwhite support. He's at just 2% with nonwhites in this poll.

It goes deeper than the topline. His favorable rating among white potential Democratic primary voters is 60% to unfavorable rating of 11%. Among nonwhites, his favorable rating is a mere 33% to an unfavorable rating of 22%. So despite being far less known by nonwhites, his unfavorable rating is double than that among whites.

It also seems to me that it's getting worse. In our October poll, his favorable rating with nonwhite potential Democratic primary voters was 35%, while his unfavorable rating was 12%. That is, Buttigieg has become better known over the last few months among nonwhites. And what they have learned about him has made them like him less.

To put this another way, Buttigieg is getting less of the nonwhite vote than Bloomberg (5%). Bloomberg has been critiqued by Democrats for his previous support for stop and frisk, which some have argued inflamed racial tensions in New York City.

[TwilightZone]

1. He can't win the nomination with little or no non-white support.

It'll be interesting to see if he'll be able to make any progress in demographics outside of white potential primary voters. If not, it may be a short primary season for him once IA/NH are over and the campaign shifts toward Super Tuesday.

He's not alone in that conundrum, in part because of Biden's popularity with minority voters.

[Alhena]

2. Not just this election - ever. Must be frustrating for him.