Democratic Primaries

Gothmog

(145,567 posts) Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:54 PM Jan 2020

Don't look now, but the betting markets are now strongly going for @JoeBiden .

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

26 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Don't look now, but the betting markets are now strongly going for @JoeBiden . (Original Post) Gothmog Jan 2020 OP

I have no problem with Joe Biden! dhol82 Jan 2020 #1

should have sold your new england lakeside cabin and invested in joe lol nt msongs Jan 2020 #2

But what does Steve Kornacki say? redstateblues Jan 2020 #3

Rolls up his shirtsleeves and quacks excitedly Hekate Jan 2020 #16

LOL! I've accused folks of crowing, neighing and bleating, but I've... Kahuna7 Jan 2020 #23

Bernie is rising , too ritapria Jan 2020 #4

Great time to get in on winning with... JoeOtterbein Jan 2020 #8

Oh Please DownriverDem Jan 2020 #19

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #12

I was curious and had to look up how someone could invest in this stuff. Quackers Jan 2020 #5

They're a heck of a lot more accurate than the so-called political pundits. George II Jan 2020 #6

Couldn't be happening to a better guy and he continues to be by far the most qualified and emmaverybo Jan 2020 #7

Not really FBaggins Jan 2020 #9

Which market is that? NYMinute Jan 2020 #13

The one in the OP giving Biden a 40% chance... FBaggins Jan 2020 #18

Yes he is DownriverDem Jan 2020 #20

Sure that's all that matters FBaggins Jan 2020 #21

K&R! nt TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #10

I'm glad Sanders is lagging badly. Go Joe!! nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #11

Me too! So happy sanders will not be the nominee!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #14

Same here Gothmog Jan 2020 #25

K&R Tarheel_Dem Jan 2020 #15

Betting markets boomer_wv Jan 2020 #17

If you think the market is inefficient and wrong, Lucky Luciano Jan 2020 #22

K&R Scurrilous Jan 2020 #24

PredictIt shares of Biden winning the party's 2020 ticket are trading at 41 cents. Gothmog Jan 2020 #26

dhol82

(9,353 posts)

1. I have no problem with Joe Biden!

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 11:57 PM

Jan 2020

Anybody but that damn tangerine fuckface currently in the White House.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

msongs

(67,443 posts)

2. should have sold your new england lakeside cabin and invested in joe lol nt

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:02 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

3. But what does Steve Kornacki say?

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:03 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Hekate

(90,827 posts)

16. Rolls up his shirtsleeves and quacks excitedly

Reply to redstateblues (Reply #3)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 03:09 AM

Jan 2020

Last edited Sun Jan 5, 2020, 11:38 AM - Edit history (1)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Kahuna7

(2,531 posts)

23. LOL! I've accused folks of crowing, neighing and bleating, but I've...

Reply to Hekate (Reply #16)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 09:37 AM

Jan 2020

never used quack. I love it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

4. Bernie is rising , too

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:03 AM

Jan 2020

From a low of 9 cents to 27 cents - if I am reading this chart correctly... Joe at 38 cents

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

JoeOtterbein

(7,702 posts)

8. Great time to get in on winning with...

Reply to ritapria (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:30 AM

Jan 2020

...Bernie!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

DownriverDem

(6,231 posts)

19. Oh Please

Reply to JoeOtterbein (Reply #8)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 09:13 AM

Jan 2020

It's not who I like or you like. It's who can win enough states to beat trump. Joe Biden is the best candidate to beat trump.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

12. aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha nt

Reply to ritapria (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:28 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Quackers

(2,256 posts)

5. I was curious and had to look up how someone could invest in this stuff.

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:08 AM

Jan 2020

I found this site. It may be of interest to others too.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/1/US-Elections

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. They're a heck of a lot more accurate than the so-called political pundits.

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:09 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

emmaverybo

(8,144 posts)

7. Couldn't be happening to a better guy and he continues to be by far the most qualified and

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:09 AM

Jan 2020

experienced candidate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

FBaggins

(26,760 posts)

9. Not really

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:48 AM

Jan 2020

He’s just in the lead... that market still says that he’s unlikely to get the nomination.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

13. Which market is that?

Reply to FBaggins (Reply #9)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:29 AM

Jan 2020

The Trump exchange?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

FBaggins

(26,760 posts)

18. The one in the OP giving Biden a 40% chance...

Reply to NYMinute (Reply #13)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 07:08 AM

Jan 2020

But a 60% chance that it will be someone else.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

DownriverDem

(6,231 posts)

20. Yes he is

Reply to FBaggins (Reply #9)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 09:15 AM

Jan 2020

Biden has the experience and will take it to trump. He can win enough states to beat trump. That is all that matters, don't you think?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

FBaggins

(26,760 posts)

21. Sure that's all that matters

Reply to DownriverDem (Reply #20)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 09:25 AM

Jan 2020

And as I said... he’s the clear favorite right now. But that isn’t the same thing as the OP claims.

Try looking at the odds including both parties. Trump isn’t likely to win... but he’s ahead of everyone else (just like Biden is in this comparison)... that doesn’t mean that “the markets are going strongly for” him.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,443 posts)

10. K&R! nt

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:25 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

11. I'm glad Sanders is lagging badly. Go Joe!! nt

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:27 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,794 posts)

14. Me too! So happy sanders will not be the nominee!!

Reply to NYMinute (Reply #11)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:31 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Gothmog

(145,567 posts)

25. Same here

Reply to NYMinute (Reply #11)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 12:45 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tarheel_Dem

(31,241 posts)

15. K&R

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:40 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

boomer_wv

(673 posts)

17. Betting markets

Reply to Gothmog (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 04:00 AM

Jan 2020

Are garbage. Basically a bunch of people overreacting to whatever is happening without any real knowledge of probability.

Warren was once at .5 on there, when her true odds of winning the nomination were probably closer to .2 or maybe .25.

Biden is probably still undervalued.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden