Democratic Primaries

brooklynite

(96,882 posts) Thu Jan 9, 2020, 01:36 PM Jan 2020

On the one hand, the field in close is both IA and NH polls...

on the other hand, Warren is in 4th place in both.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

3 replies

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On the one hand, the field in close is both IA and NH polls... (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2020 OP

True, at the moment. bluewater Jan 2020 #1

According to projects.fivethirtyeight Biden is up by 1.6 in Iowa (Sanders second)... George II Jan 2020 #2

RCP Polls paints a more scrambled picture for both state races. bluewater Jan 2020 #3

bluewater

(5,420 posts)

1. True, at the moment.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jan 9, 2020, 01:49 PM

Jan 2020

But Warren is on the upswing, the race remains volatile and actual voting starts in about a month.

I will be looking forward to discussing actual results when votes are counted.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

2. According to projects.fivethirtyeight Biden is up by 1.6 in Iowa (Sanders second)...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jan 9, 2020, 01:52 PM

Jan 2020

Biden is up by 0.3 in New Hampshire (Sanders second), Biden is up by 7.2 in Nevada (Sanders second), and Biden is up by 24.4 in South Carolina, no one else is over 15.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,420 posts)

3. RCP Polls paints a more scrambled picture for both state races.

Reply to George II (Reply #2)

Thu Jan 9, 2020, 01:59 PM

Jan 2020

RCP Polls Iowa:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-6731.html

RCP Polls New Hampshire:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html

Well, in about one month we will have actual results from voting in both Iowa and New Hampshire.

I think Warren will outperform current expectations in both contests.

Time will tell.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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