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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:02 PM

 

DMR/Iowa poll: Down goes Buttigieg

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

31 replies, 1338 views

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Arrow 31 replies Author Time Post
Reply DMR/Iowa poll: Down goes Buttigieg (Original post)
BeyondGeography Jan 2020 OP
bluewater Jan 2020 #1
Kurt V. Jan 2020 #2
Uncle Joe Jan 2020 #3
ritapria Jan 2020 #4
bluewater Jan 2020 #17
lunasun Jan 2020 #5
highplainsdem Jan 2020 #6
crazytown Jan 2020 #9
highplainsdem Jan 2020 #10
crazytown Jan 2020 #16
bluewater Jan 2020 #21
highplainsdem Jan 2020 #22
SaschaHM Jan 2020 #24
still_one Jan 2020 #28
highplainsdem Jan 2020 #30
BeyondGeography Jan 2020 #12
crazytown Jan 2020 #20
BeyondGeography Jan 2020 #31
bluewater Jan 2020 #14
bluewater Jan 2020 #13
bluewater Jan 2020 #15
dsc Jan 2020 #18
bluewater Jan 2020 #19
evertonfc Jan 2020 #7
BeyondGeography Jan 2020 #8
Champion Jack Jan 2020 #11
Prosper Jan 2020 #27
SaschaHM Jan 2020 #23
Prosper Jan 2020 #29
HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #25
still_one Jan 2020 #26

Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:05 PM

1. Warren is back!

 

Nice to see her in a strong position going into the caucus.

And Sanders... woah, Sanders +5 jumps into the lead at 20%!


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:07 PM

2. in *Howard Cossel voice* :)

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:09 PM

3. Kicked and recommended.

 

Thanks for the thread BeyondGeography.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:10 PM

4. Bad News for Mayor Pete

 

What happened ? …. I am really surprised by that result ….It is still a very close race for first ..I thought Joe had rebounded in Iowa.... As I wrote earlier , it's still just another poll ...No Big Deal ….DMR has screwed up before ...Selzer is very good but it is impossible to poll Caucuses ...They have made good calls, like they did in 2008, but many foul ups as well .. Bernie is focusing on "non-likely voters" anyway ...Bad news for Amy, too ...If she was going to make a late surge , it would be happening now … Bernie is the only candidate focusing so heavily on the bread and butter issues that move people to caucus on a cold Monday night in February .. Bernie is not doing all the talking ...People who attend his townhalls speak about the terrible financial problems they face - particularly with regard to healthcare ….
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to ritapria (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:45 PM

17. Mayor Pete has a strong ground game in Iowa.

 

He will do well in the actual caucus.

Biden though has the weakest ground game of the 4 leaders and at 15% he might just be on the bubble to get no delegates come actual voting.

How embarrassing would THAT be?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:12 PM

5. Wow fickle Iowa this IA race keeps going all over the place since it started

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:28 PM

6. MOE of 3.7 so it's pretty much a statistical tie. Their previous poll showing Buttigieg leading

 

had his lead well outside the MOE, while the other three were basically tied.

Anyway, one more Iowa poll, with the various Iowa poll results all over, except for the top 4 being well ahead of the others in the race.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #6)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:32 PM

9. Biden in 4th.

 

A statistical tie, but it's on the cards.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to crazytown (Reply #9)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:35 PM

10. But Sanders is at only 20%, which is the lowest support for the front-runner in this poll all year,

 

and it's the narrowest range of support for the top 4 candidates, only 5 points.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #10)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:42 PM

16. Here is the way I see it.

 

As far as IA goes, upsets matter more than rankings. If Biden was to win big in IA the game would also change big time. If Sanders were to lose badly, ditto.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #10)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:00 PM

21. Timing is everything.

 

This acknowledged BLUE RIBBON Des Moine Register poll, the gold standard of all Iowa polls, hits right before the next debate and with less than a month before the caucus itself.

Boom.



Game changer.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #21)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:06 PM

22. LOL! Even with this "boom" factored in, Biden trails Sanderss by only 7/10 of 1% in 538's Iowa poll

 

average.




NOT a game changer.

But keep dreaming...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #22)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:08 PM

24. He's about to get a taste of what Buttigieg, Warren, and Biden have been facing.

 

Let the scrutiny and targeting begin.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #22)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:18 PM

28. Keep in mind that 11% are undecided

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to still_one (Reply #28)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:23 PM

30. I haven't forgotten. And I suspect that the fact Biden's usually seen as most electable will tend

 

to bring him more votes from those people deciding at the last minute.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to crazytown (Reply #9)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:37 PM

12. Only one poll

 

But Biden worked pretty hard for zero movement in support.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Reply #12)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:54 PM

20. Biden has a lot more ads on IA TV now.

 

Buttigieg and Warren made the biggest investments in their ground games. It shows up in polls, but the personal relationships fashioned over time are more still important on caucus night.

Sanders is bragging about his enthusiastic volunteers. Like Obama in 2008, Buttigieg and Warren are playing their cards close to their chest.

One poll ... but a perfect fillip for the guys and gals doing the hard yards, stumping for Elizabeth in Iowa. Behind the NDAs, they know hard work and planning pays offs.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to crazytown (Reply #20)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:56 PM

31. Great points

 



Positive reinforcement coming at the right time for Team Warren in Iowa after a long stretch of media negativity, although local press there has been less agenda-driven.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to crazytown (Reply #9)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:39 PM

14. Biden on the 15% bubble in this blue ribbon poll.

 

If he can't get 15% at the caucus, he gets no delegates and would be majorly embarrassed.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #6)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:37 PM

13. This is the widely acknowledged BLUE RIBBON gold standard of Iowa Polls.

 

So, please, no sour grapes.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #6)


Response to bluewater (Reply #15)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:47 PM

18. No they aren't

 

note the +/- means it can go either way. Sanders could be as low as 16.3% while Buttigieg could be as high as 19.7%
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to dsc (Reply #18)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:50 PM

19. Thank you. I know that but keep forgetting it when I post in a rush. lol

 

will self delete.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:28 PM

7. sad

 

It looks like the face of our party is old, white, Washington insiders. Im.sure the youth will relate
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Reply #7)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:29 PM

8. Warren and Sanders do very well with younger voters

 

Much better than the 37-year-old.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Reply #8)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 07:36 PM

11. Bingo!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Reply #8)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:17 PM

27. Sanders and Warren will do well with the millions left

 

behind in our economy’s loss of good paying jobs to businesses moved overseas to take advantage of cheap labor.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:06 PM

23. Bernie's about to get the frontrunner treatment.

 

He's going to be the #1 target during the debate and in the weeks leading up to Iowa. Kid gloves are off.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to SaschaHM (Reply #23)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:19 PM

29. Bernie has had many many years of being attacked and defending his beliefs.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:57 PM

25. K&R

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Fri Jan 10, 2020, 09:16 PM

26. What this tells me is it is still very volatile, and it can be anyone of the top tier candidates

 

That Mayor Pete dropped so quickly to me indicates it can change just as quickly before the caucus

Also the 11% that are not sure can be a game changer

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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