BRAND SPANKING NEW NH POLL: Sanders leads in NH(+5), Biden 3rd place tie with Warren

[Tiggeroshii]

A new 7 News/Emerson College Poll of New Hampshire Democratic primary voters finds Sen. Bernie Sanders maintaining his lead with 23% of the vote, followed by former Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 18%, former V.P. Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 14% each and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 10%. Entrepreneur Andrew Yang is at 6%, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard is at 5% and Businessman Tom Steyer is at 4%. All other candidates are below 3%. The data was collected January 13-16, 2020, MM, Democratic primary voters, n=657, +/- 3.8%.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-sanders-holds-lead-klobuchar-surges-to-double-digits

[Faux pas]

1. Kickin'

[NYMinute]

2. Faulty poll -- oversamples younger voters and 1/3 is on line participation. nt

[NurseJackie]

4. Clicky-clicky! Then click some more...

Vote-vote-vote-vote-vote-vote-vote-vote...

[George II]

7. Funny thing about this poll - presented as a positive thing but actually is negative...

Sanders down 3
Buttigieg down 4
Biden unchanged
Warren unchanged

[NurseJackie]

16. Things are so bad for the BS campaign, this must have looked good.

His endorsement of the misogynistic Cenk Uygur and bestiality (animal sexual abuse) defender isn't something that will be quickly or easily forgotten. I mean, come on... seriously... was NO vetting done in advance? It was right there on video for the world to see! Just a quick google/youtube search would have revealed all and Cenk's disgusting rationale that "as long as the horse is sexually satisfied too, then there's no harm". Disgusting!

[Demsrule86]

38. Makes you wonder what a Sander cabinet would look like and and the White House day to day.

I am so sick of drama! I miss no drama Obama.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

19. That part is just clicky clicky!

[emmaverybo]

30. LOL perfect!

[corbettkroehler]

14. This Will Clarify For You

[Demsrule86]

39. Right.....

[Vogon_Glory]

24. Tidy Whitey Poll

Let’s face it, as much as we admire Iowa farmscapes and New Hampshire’s picturesque New England villages and beautiful fall colors, both states are ver, very white.

Democratic candidates wishing to oust Orange Julius from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue will need the support of Latinos, Asian-Americans, and Afro-Americans.

I admire Bernie, I admire his youthful supporters’ enthusiasm, but those youthful supporters non-affiliated peers have let us down time and time again by flaking out when it’s time to vote.

Let’s do the cruel math here: one right-wing racist bigot who hates Catholics and brown people but reliably goes down to the voting booth to support his crooked Republican candidate of choice counts more than a dozen Bernie enthusiasts who pout and stay home when it’s time to save the country if Bernie doesn’t get his forehead anointed with oil and the Democratic presidential nomination.

[still_one]

26. Emerson seems to have the most volatile polls from what I have seen

[Uncle Joe]

3. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread Tiggeroshii.

[George II]

5. That's actually a drop for Sanders from the previous release of this poll.....

Sanders dropped 3 and Buttigieg dropped 4. So both Biden and Warren have GAINED 3 points on Sanders and 4 points on Buttigieg.

11/22-11/26 vs. 1/13-1/16

Sanders 26 to 23 -3
Buttigieg 22 to 18 -4
Biden 14 to 14 =
Warren 14 to 14 =

Oooops!

[Tiggeroshii]

6. Sanders maintains a 9 point lead over Biden in this poll

[George II]

8. Yes, down from a 12 point lead over both Biden and Warren.

[Tiggeroshii]

9. The change is within the moe which suggests the lead could have stayed the same

[George II]

11. Or could have been cut in half.

[Tiggeroshii]

13. Doubtful

[boomer_wv]

43. Equally as possible as your scenerio though.

Confidence intervals are a bitch like that.

[Tiggeroshii]

44. Yep

[katmondoo]

32. I always wonder why I never knew of Bernie until he went against Hillary.

I was always involved in politics and he slipped past me.

[Tiggeroshii]

40. As a young college socialist, I saw a socialist was in Congress

And immediately became a supporter. But better late than never, is always true!

[Drunken Irishman]

33. Your headline is disingenuous. The only ones who slipped were Bernie and Mayor Pete.

Yet your poll states Biden slipped from ... tied for 3rd to ... tied for 3rd?

What a desperate post.

[Tiggeroshii]

34. Agreed. Apologies as I simply didn't look at the previous polls and made abhorrent assumptions.

FWIW I changed the headline.

Hope it helps!

[Drunken Irishman]

37. Thank you.

[highplainsdem]

10. As I recall, Emerson is usually more favorable to Sanders than other polls.

[Tiggeroshii]

12. Because their sample includes more young folks, it appears

[corbettkroehler]

15. No Worries - Here's Another Source

Link to tweet

[TwilightZone]

17. That's a different poll.

And not NH.

[George II]

18. That's not a New Hampshire poll.

[corbettkroehler]

25. No Problem

It only climbs from here.

Link to tweet

[Tiggeroshii]

41. Having trouble finding anything in his link indicating

Landline and landline numbers. Are you able to find it?

[NYMinute]

42. Another online poll clickety click and Bernie leads nt

[Sloumeau]

20. No wonder. About a third is from ONLINE POLLING.

First, go to the link:
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-sanders-holds-lead-klobuchar-surges-to-double-digits]

Then left-click on the Full Results Download button on the right to get the full results. Then scroll all the way to the bottom. You will see the following:

..............................Frequency..........Percent..........Valid Percent..........Cumulative Percent
Valid.....Online.........214...................32.6..............32.6.....................32.6
...........Landline.......443...................67.4..............67.4...................100.0
...........Total............657.................100.0..............100.0

About a third of the people polled were ONLINE. Online polls can often be totally FREEPED (skewed in a given direction by a bunch of people telling their like-minded friends to go vote in a poll to push the poll a certain way).

I doubt that this poll is very scientific at all.

[Tiggeroshii]

21. Polls like this are usually done through emails, sent with a secure link and a long survey to fill

out. Just because it is online doesnt mean it is not scientific.

[Sloumeau]

22. So, are you saying that the same Pro-Bernie people are voting in this poll month after month?

Hahahaha. "Many of the same people that favored Bernie last month like him again this month!"

[Tiggeroshii]

23. I'm saying you cannot freep it because the participants are selected by the polling company

Not the other way around.

[judeling]

28. Emerson is a A rated poll

This is one of the better outfits.

the results are in line with the general trends across all polling/

[totodeinhere]

29. I think it's great that Bernie has such strong online support. n/t

[stonecutter357]

27. good let's go Joe !

[Bucky]

31. Hmmm, Gabbard at 5%. I didn't expect that. But I guess congratulations, Tulsi!!

And, by extension, congratulations to Narendra Modi as well. I mean, Putin shouldn't have a monopoly on bagging a White House enabler.

[Doodley]

35. Does this mean a Democrat is in the lead? Can't keep up with whether or not Sanders is in our party.

[Tiggeroshii]

36. If you think Sanders is not in the party, then a Democrat is not in the lead.

Of course, for all intents and purposes outside of labels, he has functioned as a Democrat for the last 30 or so years.