NEW (Jan 19-21) Economist/YouGov poll: Biden 28, Warren 21, Sanders 18, Buttigieg 8

[highplainsdem]

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/alq58zq5zt/econTabReport.pdf


Tweet from the Economist;s G. Elliott Morris:

Link to tweet

#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last week)

Biden: 28 (1)
Warren: 21 (2)
Sanders: 18 (-3)
Buttigieg: 8 (1)
Bloomberg: 6 (1)
Klobuchar: 4 (1)
Yang: 3 (0)
Gabbard: 3 (0)
Steyer: 2 (1)

Editing to add that on the electability question, 65% of Democrats think Biden can probably beat Trump, compared to 52% for Sanders, 48% for Warren, 45% for Bloomberg, and 35% for Buttigieg.


This poll has a margin of error of 3%, so unlike the CNN poll showing Sanders with a slight lead over Biden, Biden's lead over Warren, who's in second place here, is outside the MOE.

[UncleNoel]

1. Joe ticks up, keeping steady, Warren surges above Sanders who slips

Go Joe!

[highplainsdem]

4. Yes. This poll should make Warren supporters happy, too.

[NYMinute]

2. Sanders is unsurging

[highplainsdem]

3. LOL! Well, most of today's polls so far have had Biden in the lead.

[boomer_wv]

5. CNN poll

Kind of looks like an outlier compared to everything else coming out today.

[Tarheel_Dem]

6. K&R

[My Pet Orangutan]

7. Warren supporter here.

It's still too early to judge how the Warren v Sanders bust up is playing out in voter land, but this poll is good news. So is the tick back up to 15% on Morning Consult.

The big unknown is how the nastiness of Biden v Sanders, particularly online, is changing the race. My hunch is Joe has amassed such a reservoir of good will and respect, it will backfire. Like Harris' frontal attack earlier in the contest, Sanders may be getting a sugar hit, but it will leave a bitter aftertaste when the shouting dies down.

I know many people have said this before, but Biden and Buttigieg must regret not hitting Sanders as hard as Warren when attacking Medicare For All. I agree with them - MFA is a vote loser - a bridge too far, most Warren people think so, but are still upset that Sanders got off scot-free on his half baked revenue proposals, and even less practical transition plan. 'At least Bernie is being honest' they all said.

[highplainsdem]

8. I agree that Sanders has been let off too easily. But he's being vetted more now.

[Cha]

9. KR!

[Polybius]

10. That same poll has Trump at 47%

Take it with a grain of salt.