How Joe Biden went from slumping to surging in Democratic presidential race in Iowa

[beastie boy]

The turnaround for Biden, who trailed rivals Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg in Iowa for much of the past year despite leading in national polls, is a promising sign for the front-runner who received less than 1% of the vote in the state during his failed 2008 bid.

Biden is now ahead or tied for the lead in Iowa with Sanders, a U.S. senator from Vermont. He has also risen into second place behind Sanders in polling averages in New Hampshire, the second state to vote in the nominating battle.

snip

A win for Biden in Iowa could upend the race. Unlike Warren and Buttigieg, who are banking on a strong showing in the predominantly white state to propel their campaigns forward, Biden has far stronger support from African-American voters in South Carolina and other more diverse states that could help him seal the nomination

The contest remains extremely fluid and close among the top contenders. Biden also faces a threat from Michael Bloomberg, the billionaire former New York mayor who is spending millions of his fortune on his own White House campaign focused on later voting states.

Yet Biden's campaign has shifted from lowering expectations in Iowa to saying a win there would allow him to control the race from the start.

https://news.yahoo.com/joe-biden-went-slumping-surging-111521974.html

[LakeArenal]

1. What slump? Saying slump a hundred times doesn't mean there was one.

Joe has consistently been leading.

[beastie boy]

3. The way the media use "slump" and "surge" is ridiculous, no matter who they are talking about

Virtually all the "slumps" and "surges" they covered were within the margin of error.

But the fact is, while the media speculated about Biden taking 4th place in Iowa only a month ago, they are now talking about Biden coming in first.

[George II]

2. Biden has gone from -3.6 on January 11 to + 3.7 today (a gain of 7.3%!!!) in Iowa....

...Both Sanders and Buttigieg have dropped precipitously and Warren has been holding steady. This is a mere 11 days from the Caucus.

[DarthDem]

4. Thanks, George

Nice polling summary. If Joe wins Iowa, we are in great shape. And the best part is that he doesn't have to win it by any means.

[Tiggeroshii]

5. Meanwhile his lead in super tuesday states has dropped to .2

And that isnt including a morning consult poll that came out today showing Bernie leading by 3 points. Wining IA is good for him, but he seems to have let his support in the other states sag a bit.

[Demsrule86]

6. You can post stuff like that...but it is untrue...he leads in

7 out of 8 polls ...nationally...

[Tiggeroshii]

10. Bleh.

I cant keep track of everything. Just wake me up on Super Tuesday if we have a clear nominee. If not, wake me up in May or June.

[Demsrule86]

11. It will be over with in March...

[Tiggeroshii]

12. Okay. Wake me up then.

[Demsrule86]

14. If this is goodbye...take care...enjoyed are sparring.

[Demsrule86]

7. Also, you seen to forget that there hasn't been much polling in super Tuesday states...He is ahead

in Nevada and killing it in Carolina.

[Tiggeroshii]

9. Nvm

Edited to erase what I said cause I need my head examined

[Demsrule86]

13. Hahah...will read the original head shrinker

[Cha]

15. KR!

[Tarheel_Dem]

16. K&R

[NCProgressive]

17. Go Joe !! KnR

[former9thward]

18. The surging seems to have stopped according to the NYT.

Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race, Times Poll Finds

With solid support from liberals, Mr. Sanders appears to be peaking just as the caucuses approach. But many Iowa voters said they could still change their mind.

Sanders 25%
Buttigieg 18%
Biden 17%
Warren 15%


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/25/us/politics/democratic-iowa-poll-sanders.html

[beastie boy]

19. It always does, doesn't it? No matter who the candidate is.

But that doesn't stop anyone from posting the poll du jour.

Welcome to the club!