Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumLet's look at the electoral track record of the Bernie coalition
In 2018, when running in GOP-held districts:
Our Revolution went 027
Justice Democrats went 018
Brand New Congress went 06.
Bernie Sanders not only hurts us in the Presidential election... but candidates that explicitly are with him failed to flip a single House seat in 2018.
We are looking at a Corbyn-style thumping across the board if we are foolish enough to nominate Sanders.
MODERATES flipped 39 of the 41 House seats that we won. We control the House specifically because moderates appealed to suburban whites who turned on the GOP and Trump.
We will keep those voters if we nominate Biden or Klobuchar. We will lose them if we nominate Sanders or Warren.
A Bernie nomination might give the House back to the GOP too. A disaster in the making.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pfeiffer
(280 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(319,076 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pfeiffer
(280 posts)BREAKING
based on the new Quinipiac poll
Best chance of winning against Donald Trump:
@JoeBiden
= 44 %
Sanders -19 %
Bloomberg= 9 %
Best leader: Biden 31 %
Sanders 18 %
Warren=17%
So there you go...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(35,820 posts)Isnt the main goal to remove dotard?? I guess it wouldnt seem so with some!!
Not only lose the presidency but possibly congress...the best chance to retake the senate is 2022, but that wont happen either
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)she won so those statistics can't be right.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MH1
(19,156 posts)See my post below.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Bernie's coalition didn't flip a single red seat to blue.
AOC is in a district where a pile of dog crap with a (D) next to it would defeat any Republican by 20 points.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)I missed the R to D flip so sorry nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(35,820 posts)Link to tweet
?s=21
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(319,076 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sheshe2
(97,627 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)yes, she was in a very blue district
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sheshe2
(97,627 posts)I have done the same thing.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MH1
(19,156 posts)Wikipedia has 7 for 79 overall for JD endorsements (still quite low), then notes the 7 were D seats. So for flipping seats, your zero number holds up. (Just checking. I immediately thought AOC, but should have realized that was a solid D seat so not counted for your stats.)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justice_Democrats
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)That should serve as alarm bells. Most of the district's we have to win nationally are purple, with a few red thrown into the mix.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Justice Democrats didnt flip a single seat.
AOC won a seat that was already solid blue and which literally any Dem defeats any GOP by at least 20.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sheshe2
(97,627 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)She's being primaried, which makes sense, since she promotes primarying incumbent Democrats who don't walk lockstep with Justice Democrats.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)of the democratic primary. One problem that someone on DU pointed out is that AOC has been weak on constituent services, Elizabeth Crowley has held political office and the note on her is that she is strong in that area, plus she is fairly young at 42.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)primary. All the other Justice Democrats were in similar districts. People like Lauren Underwood and others won in red or purple districts, a much tougher feat.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)You support Sanders because you think he can win and detest Biden. But sanders won't win the startes we need. Biden is the only candidate that can win those states. Sanders is underwater in Virginia snd Delaware for God`s sake.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)some of your old posts...just curious. They were quite good. I don't think we win even moderate voters with Sanders. The house is at risk too.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Which is obviously true. I still like him, it's just a plain fact that he doesn't have as strong a record on Social Security as Bernie.
My old posts, yeah I've been around since almost the start of DU. 2000 was my first election, I'm still mad at Nader. And I'm still against purity tests and stupid attacks against Democrats.
I was for Obama 08 and Clinton 16. I see a lot of similarities between Clinton 16 and Sanders 20, in the way that there seems to be a wave of unhinged hatred against them. It's odd, because they are different kinds of candidates. But the stuff people do where they try to dig up any silly association or take any little thing out of context to attack the candidate. They did it to Clinton in 16, and they're doing it to Bernie now.
Like, Clinton was a "neoliberal shill" because she was friends with someone who once worked with a Republican, or whatever. Or now, Bernie is some "racist" because his wife tweeted a video made by a guy who a decade ago made a parody video using MLK. That kind of silly hate-based attack on Democrats does nothing but help Republicans, it was true in 16, and it's true now.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)You honestly think people will buy that?
Or did you write that simply for yourself?
(my guess is it's a combo of the two)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)But, yeah, I do like Joe Biden, even though he has been in favor of Social Security cuts in the past.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)posted RCP must have picked and chosen states because the average doesn't show Sanders winning. posted all the major polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(179,869 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(319,076 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(179,869 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(29,078 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)Just doesn't win in middle America.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)Can't be said enough - Running Sanders Against Trump Would Be an Act of Insanity.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanieRains
(4,619 posts)According to election day poll.
Would beat Trump by 20 now.
My opinion.
A lifetime spent fighting for the little guy matters to lots of folks.
Bernie would beat Trump like a dirty rug on a clothesline.
Without corporate cash.
I like all our real candidates but I know who has my back.
I dont care what 3rd way scum says either.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
emmaverybo
(8,148 posts)career he never connected with black communities and leaders. Just who is this little guy? Gather hes not a woman and not African-American.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)In the blue wall states. He would never win.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NCProgressive
(1,315 posts)would support a magical candidate with no track record.

primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(179,869 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden