Does anybody remember undecideds being this high, this late?

[Recursion]

Random polling question, but it strikes me. Roughly half of the electorate still has to break. Have we seen that before this late?

EDIT: Sorry, to clarify, I'm talking about Iowa polling.

[NurseJackie]

1. I have my doubts.

[floppyboo]

2. following. Come one poll junkies! Inquiring minds need to know!

[Sloumeau]

3. I read something recently that said that Democrats and Republicans both are deciding later and later

I think, more and more, people are coming to the conclusion that who they choose really matters. That is a good thing.

[PETRUS]

4. Are you talking DU undecideds, or at large undecideds?

My choice is between Sanders and Warren, and my vote will go to whomever has the higher delegate count when my state's primary occurs. (Of course, things could change, but that's my current thinking.) I wonder if there are others with tactically similar plans.

[Recursion]

5. Sorry, specifically Iowa polling

Let me clarify the OP

[PETRUS]

6. A good question either way.

What do you think?

[NYMinute]

7. There is a good article about it

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/26/fobo-democratic-primary-iowa-caucuses-103963

Is FOBO Paralyzing the Democratic Primary?

Iowa voters have a problem: They can’t make up their minds.

Less than two weeks before the Iowa caucuses, there is still no breakout candidate in the Democratic primary. Instead, there are four frontrunners—Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg—none of whom poll over 25 percent in the state. Iowans, who are notoriously fickle to begin with, are outdoing themselves this year. Just 40 percent of voters have made up their minds on a candidate. Compare that to 2016, when nearly 60 percent had already made a definitive choice at this point in the race.


Even the New York Times can’t commit. Over the weekend, America’s paper of record proved itself incapable of endorsing just one candidate in the Democratic primary. Instead, it endorsed two. If the Gray Lady can’t make a decision ahead of 2020, how will voters?

What is happening here? It’s simple: The Democrats have FOBO, or Fear of a Better Option.

[ritapria]

8. The undecided are heading towards Bernie in Washington State

According to a new Survey USA Poll released tonight : Bernie 26% ...Biden 21% ...Warren 16% ...Bloomberg 12%...Buttigieg 8% ...Yang 4 % ...Go Bernie ! ….35 % of African - Americans and 44% of Asian -Americans favor Bernie in Washington State …..Source : Latest Polls 538

[judeling]

9. Iowa has always been late breaking.

But you need a pretty large field to get to this level of undecided.
2004 was not far behind and so was the 2012 Republican.

But it is not uncommon in Iowa for a candidate to have a 8 point or more swing from the final polls.

Even Trump underperformed his polls by 7%.

[TheRealNorth]

10. My preferred candidates are out now

Its kind of a wash between Klobuchar, Sanders, Warren, and Buttigieg. There are things I like about each one, but I see weaknesses in each one too.

[Skittles]

11. that's what happens when the best candidates have dropped out

[pnwmom]

12. Why make your mind up early? I've already seen several people I liked drop out.

(After I gave to them.) I'd rather see who's still standing by the time my primary happens.