Latest 538 odds and delegate counts, just 2 days before the Iowa caucus:

[George II]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/

Biden holding steady at 1 in 2 odds to win the nomination
Sanders dropped to 1 in 4 (from 1 in 3) to win the nomination

Projected delegate count:

Biden 1750 (up from 1742 yesterday)
Sanders 1250 (down from 1289 yesterday)

Biden +500, up from 453.

1990 wins the nomination on the first ballot - Biden only 240 short!

Early states delegates (compared to yesterday):

Iowa:

Sanders 12.7 (-0.2)
Biden 12.6 (-0.1)
Warren 5.8 (+0.5)
Buttigieg 7.2 (-0.7)

New Hampshire:

Sanders 9.9 (0.0)
Biden 5.7 (0.0)
Warren 3.1 (+0.1)
Buttigieg 4.4 (-0.1)

Nevada:

Sanders 13.5 (-0.1)
Biden 12.9 (-0.2)
Warren 5.0 (-0.1)
Buttigieg 3.1 (+0.3)

South Carolina:

Sanders 15.0 (-0.4)
Biden 28.5 (+.8)
Warren 4.9 (-0.1)
Buttigieg 3.4 (-0.5)

[Cha]

1. KR!

[judeling]

2. Also From 538 on Amy

Election Update: Is Klobuchar Having A Last-Minute Surge In Iowa?

It appears the move may very well be real.

[jimlup]

3. Well flame me as you will

I'm voting for Bernie

[sheshe2]

5. I am confused.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

[jimlup]

7. you shouldn't be

it is pretty freakin' obvious

[sheshe2]

8. You are not for Warren.

Got it.

Sad, my Senator is one awesome woman and miles ahead of Sanders in accomplishments. She does not just talk about taking on the banks, she does something about it,

See CFPB.

[jimlup]

10. If you think this is between

Bernie and Elizabeth you've been misled. That is all.

[Sugarcoated]

12. We're all gonna vote who we like in the primary

but hopefully come together in the general.

[Thekaspervote]

4. Highly doubt Joe will have any trouble getting to 51% for a first ballot win at the convention!!

Yeah!!

[Demsrule86]

6. George K&R!!!

Thanks for the bright spot on a dark day for this country...the day the Senate GOP sold their souls.

[NYMinute]

9. K&R Go Joe!! nt

[Polybius]

11. Awesome, I close races

Close primaries like 2008 are better for us. Runaway ones like 2000 are boring.