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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
One-Third of Youth in Iowa Poised to Caucus; Strong Support for Sanders
Bernie crushes with young voters, and this poll finds 35% of young voters in Iowa plan to caucus. That's over three times the 11% that participated in 2016. If that holds up, it's major good news for Sanders.
Our exclusive poll of young Iowans suggest the potential for historic youth participation--and may spell trouble among young voters for national polling leader Joe Biden.
Young people are poised to influence the direction of the 2020 election, starting with the upcoming, first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses. In addition to the work young people do on political campaigns and to register voters, a new, exclusive CIRCLE-Tisch College/Suffolk University poll of youth in Iowa (ages 18-29, regardless of party or voter registration) finds that more than a third (35%) say they are “extremely likely” to caucus on February 3rd and, on the Democratic side, they are supporting Senator Bernie Sanders by a substantial margin. According to our poll, 39% of young Iowans who are registered or identify as Democrats intend to caucus for Sanders, followed by 19% for Senator Elizabeth Warren, 14% for Pete Buttigieg, 9% for Andrew Yang, and 7% for former Vice President Joe Biden. Nine percent of young Iowa Democrats say they don’t know who they’re supporting.
....
Our poll finds that 35% are “extremely likely” to participate in the Iowa caucuses. If that holds true on February 3, it would represent a remarkable increase over 2016, when we estimated that 11% of youth participated. Of course, 2016 had contested primaries in both parties; the last two times that only one party had active nominating contests (Republicans in 2012 and Democrats in 2004) youth turnout was just 4%.
Young people are poised to influence the direction of the 2020 election, starting with the upcoming, first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses. In addition to the work young people do on political campaigns and to register voters, a new, exclusive CIRCLE-Tisch College/Suffolk University poll of youth in Iowa (ages 18-29, regardless of party or voter registration) finds that more than a third (35%) say they are “extremely likely” to caucus on February 3rd and, on the Democratic side, they are supporting Senator Bernie Sanders by a substantial margin. According to our poll, 39% of young Iowans who are registered or identify as Democrats intend to caucus for Sanders, followed by 19% for Senator Elizabeth Warren, 14% for Pete Buttigieg, 9% for Andrew Yang, and 7% for former Vice President Joe Biden. Nine percent of young Iowa Democrats say they don’t know who they’re supporting.
....
Our poll finds that 35% are “extremely likely” to participate in the Iowa caucuses. If that holds true on February 3, it would represent a remarkable increase over 2016, when we estimated that 11% of youth participated. Of course, 2016 had contested primaries in both parties; the last two times that only one party had active nominating contests (Republicans in 2012 and Democrats in 2004) youth turnout was just 4%.
http://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/one-third-youth-iowa-poised-caucus-strong-support-sanders
If I were to vote in a presidentialprimary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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If I were to vote in a presidentialprimary today, I would vote for: Undecided
