Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumProjects.fivethirtyeight delegate projection as of Feb. 1:
Biden 1741 - needs only 249 more for the nomination
Sanders 1274 (-467)
Warren 453 (-1288)
BUttigieg 297 (-1444)
Bloomberg 131 (-1610)
Note: candidates below 300 pledged delegates cannot have their names placed in nomination at the convention.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)I feel like Rip Van Winkle ..What happened ?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
If polling and analytics were votes, there wouldn't be a President Trump.
The real work - organizing and building a winning campaign, isn't what 538 does. We all have to do that!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(48,892 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
denem
(11,045 posts)Less than 1 in 2.
The reason is quite clear. According to 538's model (but not reality IMO) a second place or worse in Iowa will considerably diminish Biden's chances.
For all those who suggest Iowa does not really matter, 538 disagrees. strongly. A win would put Biden odds on (80%) to win.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden