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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:34 AM

 

Bernie Sanders holds "commanding lead" in New Hampshire, ahead among moderate and conservative voter

https://www.newsweek.com/bernie-sanders-poll-2020-new-hampshire-election-primary-1485364
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

11 replies, 649 views

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Response to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:39 AM

1. SWEEEET!! Oh sorry, forgot NH doesnt count anymore, now that Bernie is crushin it there!!

 


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #1)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:01 PM

5. And don't forget "Iowa is not very important" either.

 



Good luck to you and your preferred candidate tonight in Iowa!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #5)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:57 PM

10. Course not, unless Joe wins...then it's the best win in political history & the race is over!!

 


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:50 AM

2. Kicked and recommended.

 

Thanks for the thread OliverQ.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:53 AM

3. What constitutes a "commanding lead"? He'll get about 14 delegates, Biden about 10.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:00 PM

4. 538 projects Biden at about 6 delegates in NH

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/new-hampshire/
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:10 PM

6. Their averages include all candidates, they don't eliminate anyone under the magic 15%....

 

That's why they show Sanders with 10.5, Biden 5.6, Buttigieg 3.9, and Warren 3.4. But the last two won't get those 7.3 delegates combined, they'll be split by Sanders and Biden.

As of today:

Sanders 24.0
Biden 16.9
Warren 13.8
Buttigieg 12.9

Based on this, Sanders will get 5 of the statewide delegates, Biden 3, the others 0.
District-wise, Sanders will get about 9 or 10, Biden 6 or 7, the others 0.

That's 14-15 vs. 9-10.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #6)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:13 PM

7. Huh. Maybe so. Either way 538 also just has him leading by 4

 

Like you have said, even if the delegate counts were different. Which I didnt realize till after I posted.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #7)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:18 PM

8. Numbers won't be final until after the votes, but there won't be a huge difference in delegates.....

 

Iowa and NH combined will net a possible 5-7 difference.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #8)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 01:20 PM

9. Sounds right

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:01 PM

11. Same as 2016. How'd that work out for him?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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