Democratic Primaries

OliverQ

(3,363 posts) Mon Feb 3, 2020, 12:34 PM Feb 2020

Bernie Sanders holds "commanding lead" in New Hampshire, ahead among moderate and conservative voter

https://www.newsweek.com/bernie-sanders-poll-2020-new-hampshire-election-primary-1485364

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

11 replies

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Bernie Sanders holds "commanding lead" in New Hampshire, ahead among moderate and conservative voter (Original Post) OliverQ Feb 2020 OP

SWEEEET!! Oh sorry, forgot NH doesnt count anymore, now that Bernie is crushin it there!! InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #1

And don't forget "Iowa is not very important" either. bluewater Feb 2020 #5

Course not, unless Joe wins...then it's the best win in political history & the race is over!! InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #10

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Feb 2020 #2

What constitutes a "commanding lead"? He'll get about 14 delegates, Biden about 10. George II Feb 2020 #3

538 projects Biden at about 6 delegates in NH Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #4

Their averages include all candidates, they don't eliminate anyone under the magic 15%.... George II Feb 2020 #6

Huh. Maybe so. Either way 538 also just has him leading by 4 Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #7

Numbers won't be final until after the votes, but there won't be a huge difference in delegates..... George II Feb 2020 #8

Sounds right Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #9

Same as 2016. How'd that work out for him? octoberlib Feb 2020 #11

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)

1. SWEEEET!! Oh sorry, forgot NH doesnt count anymore, now that Bernie is crushin it there!!

Reply to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 12:39 PM

Feb 2020

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!

Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

5. And don't forget "Iowa is not very important" either.

Reply to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #1)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:01 PM

Feb 2020

Good luck to you and your preferred candidate tonight in Iowa!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)

10. Course not, unless Joe wins...then it's the best win in political history & the race is over!!

Reply to bluewater (Reply #5)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:57 PM

Feb 2020

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!

Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Uncle Joe

(58,349 posts)

2. Kicked and recommended.

Reply to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 12:50 PM

Feb 2020

Thanks for the thread OliverQ.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

3. What constitutes a "commanding lead"? He'll get about 14 delegates, Biden about 10.

Reply to OliverQ (Original post)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 12:53 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

4. 538 projects Biden at about 6 delegates in NH

Reply to George II (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:00 PM

Feb 2020

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/new-hampshire/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. Their averages include all candidates, they don't eliminate anyone under the magic 15%....

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:10 PM

Feb 2020

That's why they show Sanders with 10.5, Biden 5.6, Buttigieg 3.9, and Warren 3.4. But the last two won't get those 7.3 delegates combined, they'll be split by Sanders and Biden.

As of today:

Sanders 24.0
Biden 16.9
Warren 13.8
Buttigieg 12.9

Based on this, Sanders will get 5 of the statewide delegates, Biden 3, the others 0.
District-wise, Sanders will get about 9 or 10, Biden 6 or 7, the others 0.

That's 14-15 vs. 9-10.