MORNING CONSULT poll of Super Tuesday states

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[MineralMan]

1. What's the projected delegate count?

The raw percentages don't mean much, really, if they're averaged over all of the March 3 states. It is delegate counts that matter. And we'll know those on March 4, pretty closely. Those are the numbers that interest me, frankly.

[Tiggeroshii]

2. on 538 they've had biden and bernie in the mid to upper 400s with Biden ahead by about 20-30

delegates. That's a couple weeks ago now when I actually added up the projected delegates on 538. Don't know what they are now. Oh and my count included the projected early states as well, not just super tuesday.

[brooklynite]

4. Biden allies lower expectations for Iowa: 'Most feel it's not going to be great'

The Hill

Joe Biden’s campaign team is setting expectations low for the Iowa caucuses Monday night.

While some campaign aides were unsure how the results would turn out hours before the caucuses would begin, they expressed some apprehension about the outcome.

“Most [aides] feel it’s not going to be great,” one longtime Biden ally who has had conversations with top aides inside the campaign, acknowledged Monday.

Biden’s aides and allies said they were hoping to place in the top three. But even if they fall short, the campaign is “built for the long haul,” one Biden confidant said.

[highplainsdem]

3. Hmm. Looks like Biden's losing about as many voters to Bloomberg as Sanders loses to Warren.

The total support for the more leftwing candidates is less than the total support for the less leftwing, but that doesn't help Biden at the moment.

Bloomberg's really gaining in the polls. Except in the early primary states, where he isn't running..